布隆迪与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：布隆迪为 28.5 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年布隆迪的数值较高，高出 1.4 夜，是南非的 1.05 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

布隆迪南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，布隆迪的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年布隆迪为 67.4 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	布隆迪	南非
2014	28.5	27.1
2013	28.4	28.3
2012	28.8	27.9
2011	28.9	26.1
2010	27.9	26
2009	27.9	25.8
2008	27.8	24.8
2007	27.6	24.7
2006	27.7	25.5
2005	27.5	25.3
2004	27.6	25.8
2003	27.6	25.1
2002	27.6	25
2001	27.7	24.5
2000	27.3	23.3
1999	27.1	23
1998	27.1	23.4
1997	27.2	22.5
1996	26.9	20.4
1995	26.8	19.3
1994	26.5	20
1993	26.2	18.1
1992	26.1	18.1
1991	27	22.3
1990	26.8	22.7
1989	26.7	22
1988	26.6	21.2
1987	26.6	21.9
1986	26.7	21
1985	26.3	18.9
1984	26.4	20
1983	26.4	19
1982	26.5	20.3
1981	26.8	20
1980	26.4	21.2
1979	26.6	19.9
1978	26.3	19.8
1977	26.5	19.2
1976	26.4	19.2
1975	26.3	18.8
1974	26.3	19.7
1973	26.3	19.6
1972	26.2	19
1971	26.1	19.1
1970	26.1	18.6
1969	26.1	18.7
1968	26	17.8
1967	25.8	17.5
1966	25.9	17.8
1965	26.1	17.2
1964	25.7	14.9
1963	25.7	16.5
1962	26.2	19.6
1961	26.4	19.7
1960	26.5	19.8
1959	26.2	18.5
1958	26.2	19.3
1957	26.1	19.4
1956	26.1	18
1955	26.2	19.5
1954	26.2	18.4
1953	26.3	18.4
1952	26.2	19.3
1951	26.2	18.9
1950	26.2	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	布隆迪	南非
2015	29.627–36	28.620–39.5
2016	28.826.7–32.5	26.817.8–37.9
2017	3027–33.7	28.919.6–37.8
2018	30.327.4–34.4	29.620.6–40.6
2019	29.727.4–33.7	29.820.8–41.5
2020	30.927.7–37.7	29.518.9–39.1
2021	30.627.8–37	31.121.4–42.9
2022	30.828.5–36.7	3223.7–43.1
2023	30.528–36.7	31.922.9–41.8
2024	32.127.9–39	3324–45.6
2025	31.527.1–38.7	31.920.7–44.5
2026	31.927.4–38.3	34.521.9–46.9
2027	31.427.9–37.9	34.423–47.7
2028	32.328.4–37.9	33.522.9–46
2029	33.229–38.9	36.226.5–48.3
2030	32.728.1–39.9	36.124.9–49
2031	33.930–40.9	36.324.5–50.3
2032	33.829.9–43.1	36.424.5–49.2
2033	34.129.6–43.1	36.924.5–48.3
2034	33.829.8–45.5	37.626.4–51.8
2035	35.228.9–43.2	37.625.2–49.5
2036	34.729.5–45.8	3826.5–50.5
2037	36.830.3–48.2	39.928.2–53.4
2038	37.631.9–45.5	41.528.4–54.2
2039	36.929.5–47.7	39.227–52.9
2040	3630.7–49.3	38.125.6–55.6
2041	37.531.7–47.9	40.227.4–54.3
2042	3731.3–53.9	4229–56.4
2043	36.829.7–48.4	42.128.2–58.4
2044	37.429.9–48.5	41.929.5–57.8
2045	3932–53.6	42.728.2–59
2046	42.631.9–57.3	44.130–59.5
2047	41.632.9–56.2	44.630.7–61.2
2048	43.232.5–57.9	4531.9–61.5
2049	42.333.1–56.8	45.632.3–61.4
2050	43.331.4–55.8	46.931–63.6
2051	42.833–60	47.532–65
2052	44.333.2–62.1	48.332.7–64.3
2053	42.432.4–59.4	45.733.7–62.1
2054	44.532.8–68.5	4833.3–64.3
2055	44.234.5–64.8	46.833–68.4
2056	44.132.4–63.2	47.933.2–64.8
2057	45.534.3–65.8	50.232.6–68.9
2058	48.132.4–69.9	47.934–66.4
2059	47.736.2–69.1	51.333.1–66.9
2060	49.734.6–73	51.936–69.9
2061	50.833.4–71.8	50.534.8–71.3
2062	49.534.2–78.1	50.532.7–71
2063	48.434.2–67.7	50.434.3–69.7
2064	52.134.6–70.5	5134.1–67.7
2065	50.835.2–72.2	50.433.6–70.2
2066	51.336.5–72.8	5335.7–72.4
2067	52.334.3–81.3	50.634.8–70.4
2068	51.335.2–81.5	54.837.8–72.5
2069	50.134–76	54.339.1–73.4
2070	50.835.4–83.9	54.337.2–73.3
2071	51.235.5–90.8	55.837.9–76.9
2072	53.338.9–80	5639.4–78.6
2073	56.538.6–89	60.443.4–80.3
2074	53.736.7–82.1	57.439.1–75.3
2075	53.435–83	56.137.7–76
2076	58.636.5–90.7	58.538.4–75.3
2077	55.738.4–95.2	57.341–80.5
2078	55.938.6–89.1	5639.5–79
2079	60.637.3–91.2	57.639.3–78
2080	61.638–89.4	59.540.3–80.9
2081	59.339.3–91.1	5841.5–79.6
2082	61.139–95	58.839.7–77.7
2083	58.238.4–111.2	60.839.1–82.9
2084	65.239.6–104.5	62.540.4–82.9
2085	67.340.2–110.3	60.741.3–87.6
2086	61.340.8–104.5	60.542.1–83.3
2087	65.240.1–107.8	57.941–82.9
2088	66.340.9–101.4	64.243.4–85.3
2089	61.240.2–100.9	61.541.3–81.2
2090	59.540.9–115.5	61.641.5–86.8
2091	71.541.2–115.8	63.341.6–86.3
2092	64.742.1–120.7	63.144.9–84.8
2093	67.341.4–113.8	62.443.2–86.1
2094	67.342.1–115.2	63.145.6–87.4
2095	72.544.4–126.1	65.342.6–91.7
2096	65.841.2–122.9	6142.7–90.1
2097	63.939.5–121.8	58.841.2–84.6
2098	68.640.3–128.1	65.143.8–89.8
2099	63.440.9–122.9	64.345–87
2100	67.441.2–126.5	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数布隆迪：2022 年为 77 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡