摩洛哥与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：摩洛哥为 59.6 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年叙利亚的数值较高，高出 30 夜，是摩洛哥的 1.5 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

摩洛哥叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，叙利亚的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年摩洛哥为 103.8 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	摩洛哥	叙利亚
2014	59.6	89.6
2013	60.7	90.8
2012	58.8	91.2
2011	58.4	89.6
2010	56.7	88.1
2009	58.6	86.2
2008	58.5	87.9
2007	54.8	85
2006	57.5	87.3
2005	56.9	85.3
2004	56.1	86.7
2003	54.6	86.7
2002	55.5	84.3
2001	56.4	85.9
2000	52.8	83.2
1999	53.6	82.1
1998	51.9	80.5
1997	51.2	80.5
1996	50.4	78.1
1995	48	75.8
1994	47.9	76.7
1993	44.6	71.5
1992	40.6	71.3
1991	48.7	75.5
1990	52.5	79.3
1989	48.3	75.7
1988	48.8	76.2
1987	47.3	73
1986	43.6	76
1985	43.5	72.6
1984	43.6	69.6
1983	42.1	67.9
1982	43.7	72
1981	43.6	72
1980	42.9	75
1979	45.9	67.7
1978	44	70.2
1977	45	70.1
1976	40.1	73.4
1975	42.5	69
1974	42	70
1973	43.5	70.7
1972	42.2	70.1
1971	40.7	70.7
1970	41.3	70.9
1969	40.7	71.3
1968	42	68.7
1967	41.1	68.8
1966	40.5	68.8
1965	39.4	64.3
1964	42.5	66.4
1963	41.7	69.1
1962	43.1	71.5
1961	42.7	70.8
1960	43	71.7
1959	43.3	72.7
1958	42.7	72.8
1957	42	72.6
1956	43.8	72.2
1955	45.5	70.3
1954	42.3	68.9
1953	42.8	72.2
1952	43.8	70.8
1951	44.1	72.4
1950	45.1	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	摩洛哥	叙利亚
2015	62.147.1–77	96.981.9–110.9
2016	62.747.4–77.9	93.581.2–108.2
2017	63.749–78.1	9782.1–109.5
2018	64.449.6–80.6	97.785.9–111
2019	67.950.6–82.7	98.983.7–111.2
2020	65.649.2–82	98.683.7–112.6
2021	66.351–84.5	10087.1–110.7
2022	70.554.8–87.8	101.684.9–113.2
2023	67.653.2–82.4	101.988.3–115.3
2024	70.456.5–85.5	102.790.7–113.8
2025	68.652.1–87	102.988.6–114.2
2026	68.754.7–84.2	103.389.5–116.1
2027	72.957.6–88.1	103.886.7–116.5
2028	73.253.6–89.6	103.589.2–116.4
2029	70.754.6–90.5	105.694–116.3
2030	71.453.4–86	105.991.3–119.2
2031	73.354.3–89.9	105.190.7–116
2032	74.160–88.7	107.893.2–119.4
2033	73.857.6–88.9	108.796.6–119.1
2034	77.761–94.3	107.593.9–119
2035	75.857.8–92.8	108.596.3–118.3
2036	75.660.5–91.7	105.793.2–118.7
2037	76.458–94.8	109.294.8–121.9
2038	77.962.2–97.3	111.897.8–125.5
2039	78.262.7–94.7	112.398.9–128
2040	73.957.1–97.5	111.898.5–127.5
2041	76.560.4–90.6	110.799.1–124.5
2042	78.663.1–96.4	112.996.4–126.5
2043	80.161.4–96.9	113.199.7–127.3
2044	79.362.3–96.1	112.599.8–128.8
2045	82.265.9–98.5	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	82.260.8–98.7	117.2104.7–129
2047	83.963.8–101	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	82.667.6–99.2	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	85.366.9–101.9	11499.3–128.9
2050	85.368.4–104.6	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	84.366.5–103.5	117.7105.5–129
2052	86.164.4–105.4	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	84.165.5–106.1	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	84.764.8–103.4	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	87.769.1–104.2	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	88.369.2–104.6	119.799.9–132.9
2057	8971.1–108.8	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	87.368.2–106.5	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	87.169.2–108.1	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	90.873.5–108.9	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	9274.9–111.9	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	87.868.3–110.2	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	95.174.5–114.4	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	88.969.9–113.6	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	91.270.6–112.5	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	94.275.6–115.8	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	91.273.1–113.3	126111.1–142.7
2068	93.573.6–114.5	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	95.873.9–113.3	123107.9–137.3
2070	9677.9–115.5	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	93.977.5–115.9	126109.5–142.8
2072	95.974.8–115.6	128111.8–141.9
2073	96.277.3–119.2	127.6108–143.7
2074	97.377.3–117	124.2107–139.7
2075	94.972.5–115.4	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	97.575.2–117.6	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	97.773.1–119.7	127.5109–143.3
2078	98.678.4–118.2	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	97.376.8–118.8	132.9116–146.9
2080	97.374.3–117.5	129111.8–144.3
2081	96.974.9–120.1	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	98.678.3–115.8	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	101.378.9–120.3	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	99.577.9–119.5	132.2111–145.1
2085	100.778.1–126.4	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	101.576.9–123.5	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	101.280.6–126.2	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	103.379–126	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	101.581.2–123	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	102.982.6–122.1	128.9115–145.8
2091	103.378.7–124.2	133.4116–150.3
2092	101.981.8–120.9	131.6115.3–149
2093	100.480.6–121.2	135119.8–151
2094	103.977.9–123.4	134118–148.5
2095	103.380.5–126	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	105.378.9–125.5	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	104.984–123.6	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	103.776.7–126.2	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	105.283.3–128.4	132.8116–145.1
2100	103.880.4–125.6	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

摩洛哥与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数摩洛哥：2022 年为 0 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡