莫桑比克与南非：35 °C 以上天数

2014 年35 °C 以上天数：莫桑比克为 18.3 天，南非为 13.2 天（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年莫桑比克的数值较高，高出 5.1 天，是南非的 1.39 倍。

每年天数 · CMIP6

莫桑比克南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，莫桑比克的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年莫桑比克为 59.1 天，南非为 40 天。

逐年数据

每年天数 · CMIP6

年份	莫桑比克	南非
2014	18.3	13.2
2013	21.1	15.2
2012	17.2	14.3
2011	16	11.7
2010	16.5	12.5
2009	15.9	13.2
2008	15.6	12.3
2007	17	12
2006	15.4	11.9
2005	15.7	13.3
2004	16	13.9
2003	17.9	12.6
2002	16.4	12.6
2001	16.6	11.1
2000	16	11.8
1999	13.9	11
1998	15.4	12.1
1997	14.2	11.3
1996	13.1	9.4
1995	12	8.3
1994	10.8	8.5
1993	8.9	7.8
1992	10	7.1
1991	11.8	11.1
1990	13.3	10.1
1989	13.8	11.5
1988	13.8	9.4
1987	12.7	11.5
1986	12.6	10.2
1985	10.4	8.7
1984	10.8	8.7
1983	10.8	8.6
1982	10.6	10.5
1981	11.9	9.7
1980	11	10.3
1979	11.4	9.4
1978	10	9.5
1977	11.3	9.3
1976	9.7	9
1975	12.1	9.3
1974	12.8	8.8
1973	11.1	9.5
1972	11.2	8.4
1971	10	8.7
1970	11.7	8.2
1969	12	8.9
1968	10.8	8.4
1967	8.8	6.9
1966	9.4	7.8
1965	10.7	7.9
1964	7.7	6.4
1963	9.3	7
1962	11.6	8.9
1961	11.6	10.5
1960	11.8	9.7
1959	12.2	8.9
1958	12.8	9.3
1957	11.2	10.3
1956	9.7	7.9
1955	12.5	10.3
1954	11.1	9.1
1953	10.3	7.8
1952	10.8	9
1951	9.9	8.4
1950	11.3	8.7

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	莫桑比克	南非
2015	20.110–33.4	14.76.8–24
2016	199.5–34.6	13.46.3–22.2
2017	20.210.9–34.6	15.27.7–24.6
2018	20.99.6–35.4	179.7–28
2019	19.910.7–31.7	14.67.1–24.5
2020	22.211.7–37.3	15.77.4–23.5
2021	18.79.6–32.2	17.99.4–27
2022	2312.6–37.4	189.8–29
2023	24.111.6–39.7	18.69.9–27.1
2024	24.114–38.1	17.89.8–28
2025	227.9–40.6	16.57.5–29.6
2026	23.413–40.1	20.19.3–29.4
2027	26.213.1–49.9	19.910.5–32.8
2028	25.114.1–39.6	19.110.6–33.2
2029	27.512.3–45.4	21.412.9–33.6
2030	26.213.2–46	21.19.6–33.9
2031	2512.7–43.2	20.79.9–35.4
2032	26.515.1–40.9	2110.9–34.8
2033	30.714–47.1	22.612.2–34.2
2034	29.516.2–48.3	24.615–35.1
2035	29.515.8–49.4	20.911.7–31.3
2036	26.814.3–45.4	21.111.9–32.2
2037	32.717.6–51.1	23.412.6–35.2
2038	34.318–53.5	26.216–36.7
2039	30.113.8–48.9	22.611.4–35.9
2040	27.915.4–47.9	21.510.9–35.4
2041	29.815.7–50.5	23.213.2–35.8
2042	33.418.1–50.1	25.214.3–39.6
2043	31.416.9–56.7	25.613.4–39.9
2044	3216–55.5	26.113.1–41.6
2045	31.718–46.1	26.813.1–40.3
2046	34.118.4–51.3	25.914.5–40.8
2047	36.621.6–59.3	26.713.7–41.4
2048	36.322.3–58.8	29.215.6–45.4
2049	3418.6–57.4	29.117.3–44.7
2050	40.221.9–63.3	29.815.7–48.6
2051	4123.5–69.6	27.913.6–45.2
2052	42.322.5–67	31.918.3–46.8
2053	38.816.6–62.1	28.318.6–43.2
2054	4321.5–71.6	30.717.3–50.1
2055	42.423.5–70.7	2917.8–48
2056	40.619.9–69.6	29.916–45.3
2057	42.221.9–67.8	3117.4–50.1
2058	42.123.8–68.3	31.115.7–46
2059	48.226.6–69	3216.1–49.9
2060	43.822.1–68.9	33.419.8–49.7
2061	43.421.8–65.5	32.718.1–51.1
2062	43.223.3–72.1	31.317.7–52.6
2063	44.226.7–71.1	32.317.4–50.7
2064	43.325.1–66.1	31.817.7–47.6
2065	47.823.2–78.9	31.716.2–50.7
2066	46.724.4–77.2	34.318.4–55.3
2067	39.722.3–71.6	32.617.2–52.4
2068	46.923.9–80.2	33.819.2–54.3
2069	47.925.4–78.3	34.621.3–52.4
2070	43.424.1–73.6	32.819.3–51.1
2071	50.924–79.9	35.320.8–55.8
2072	52.526.1–78.8	37.820.3–54.6
2073	55.726.7–85.9	4425.6–62.1
2074	48.227.5–82.4	38.320.7–55.8
2075	48.826.1–77.1	34.218.7–53.1
2076	48.425.3–80.7	38.822.9–57.5
2077	52.230.5–85.4	39.124.2–60.3
2078	51.326.3–81.4	35.521.6–53.4
2079	50.928.6–84.5	40.522.9–59.7
2080	55.329.2–86.1	40.523.4–59
2081	53.225–83.8	38.523.8–59.9
2082	48.228.9–82.3	38.622.5–58.2
2083	52.429.3–84.7	38.518.7–62.9
2084	53.729.4–80.2	39.720.6–58.4
2085	58.431.9–88.8	4021.5–65.8
2086	51.229.5–81.6	40.823–63.7
2087	52.328.8–85.2	38.324.6–58.6
2088	59.226–92.2	42.222.6–66.3
2089	5531.8–84.3	41.624.2–59.1
2090	57.627.1–92.2	42.326.1–66.4
2091	59.926.4–92.9	43.324.2–63.6
2092	59.230.5–94.8	43.928–61.6
2093	55.726.5–95.5	37.521.3–63.4
2094	60.327.8–93.8	41.325.4–65.9
2095	60.931.9–87.9	43.522.9–70.2
2096	58.929.2–95.6	41.224.1–66.8
2097	52.827.2–87.8	37.723.7–60.9
2098	5930.9–94.6	46.425.1–71.4
2099	60.330.9–92.3	42.525.1–64.8
2100	59.132.4–93.7	4022.2–64.5

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须知

一年中最高气温超过 35 °C 的天数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

莫桑比克与南非对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数莫桑比克：2022 年为 704 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡