Mozambique vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 18.3 days in Mozambique and 13.2 days in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mozambique, by 5.1 days, or 1.39 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

MozambiqueSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mozambique has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mozambique at 59.1 days and South Africa at 40 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Mozambique	South Africa
2014	18.3	13.2
2013	21.1	15.2
2012	17.2	14.3
2011	16	11.7
2010	16.5	12.5
2009	15.9	13.2
2008	15.6	12.3
2007	17	12
2006	15.4	11.9
2005	15.7	13.3
2004	16	13.9
2003	17.9	12.6
2002	16.4	12.6
2001	16.6	11.1
2000	16	11.8
1999	13.9	11
1998	15.4	12.1
1997	14.2	11.3
1996	13.1	9.4
1995	12	8.3
1994	10.8	8.5
1993	8.9	7.8
1992	10	7.1
1991	11.8	11.1
1990	13.3	10.1
1989	13.8	11.5
1988	13.8	9.4
1987	12.7	11.5
1986	12.6	10.2
1985	10.4	8.7
1984	10.8	8.7
1983	10.8	8.6
1982	10.6	10.5
1981	11.9	9.7
1980	11	10.3
1979	11.4	9.4
1978	10	9.5
1977	11.3	9.3
1976	9.7	9
1975	12.1	9.3
1974	12.8	8.8
1973	11.1	9.5
1972	11.2	8.4
1971	10	8.7
1970	11.7	8.2
1969	12	8.9
1968	10.8	8.4
1967	8.8	6.9
1966	9.4	7.8
1965	10.7	7.9
1964	7.7	6.4
1963	9.3	7
1962	11.6	8.9
1961	11.6	10.5
1960	11.8	9.7
1959	12.2	8.9
1958	12.8	9.3
1957	11.2	10.3
1956	9.7	7.9
1955	12.5	10.3
1954	11.1	9.1
1953	10.3	7.8
1952	10.8	9
1951	9.9	8.4
1950	11.3	8.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Mozambique	South Africa
2015	20.110–33.4	14.76.8–24
2016	199.5–34.6	13.46.3–22.2
2017	20.210.9–34.6	15.27.7–24.6
2018	20.99.6–35.4	179.7–28
2019	19.910.7–31.7	14.67.1–24.5
2020	22.211.7–37.3	15.77.4–23.5
2021	18.79.6–32.2	17.99.4–27
2022	2312.6–37.4	189.8–29
2023	24.111.6–39.7	18.69.9–27.1
2024	24.114–38.1	17.89.8–28
2025	227.9–40.6	16.57.5–29.6
2026	23.413–40.1	20.19.3–29.4
2027	26.213.1–49.9	19.910.5–32.8
2028	25.114.1–39.6	19.110.6–33.2
2029	27.512.3–45.4	21.412.9–33.6
2030	26.213.2–46	21.19.6–33.9
2031	2512.7–43.2	20.79.9–35.4
2032	26.515.1–40.9	2110.9–34.8
2033	30.714–47.1	22.612.2–34.2
2034	29.516.2–48.3	24.615–35.1
2035	29.515.8–49.4	20.911.7–31.3
2036	26.814.3–45.4	21.111.9–32.2
2037	32.717.6–51.1	23.412.6–35.2
2038	34.318–53.5	26.216–36.7
2039	30.113.8–48.9	22.611.4–35.9
2040	27.915.4–47.9	21.510.9–35.4
2041	29.815.7–50.5	23.213.2–35.8
2042	33.418.1–50.1	25.214.3–39.6
2043	31.416.9–56.7	25.613.4–39.9
2044	3216–55.5	26.113.1–41.6
2045	31.718–46.1	26.813.1–40.3
2046	34.118.4–51.3	25.914.5–40.8
2047	36.621.6–59.3	26.713.7–41.4
2048	36.322.3–58.8	29.215.6–45.4
2049	3418.6–57.4	29.117.3–44.7
2050	40.221.9–63.3	29.815.7–48.6
2051	4123.5–69.6	27.913.6–45.2
2052	42.322.5–67	31.918.3–46.8
2053	38.816.6–62.1	28.318.6–43.2
2054	4321.5–71.6	30.717.3–50.1
2055	42.423.5–70.7	2917.8–48
2056	40.619.9–69.6	29.916–45.3
2057	42.221.9–67.8	3117.4–50.1
2058	42.123.8–68.3	31.115.7–46
2059	48.226.6–69	3216.1–49.9
2060	43.822.1–68.9	33.419.8–49.7
2061	43.421.8–65.5	32.718.1–51.1
2062	43.223.3–72.1	31.317.7–52.6
2063	44.226.7–71.1	32.317.4–50.7
2064	43.325.1–66.1	31.817.7–47.6
2065	47.823.2–78.9	31.716.2–50.7
2066	46.724.4–77.2	34.318.4–55.3
2067	39.722.3–71.6	32.617.2–52.4
2068	46.923.9–80.2	33.819.2–54.3
2069	47.925.4–78.3	34.621.3–52.4
2070	43.424.1–73.6	32.819.3–51.1
2071	50.924–79.9	35.320.8–55.8
2072	52.526.1–78.8	37.820.3–54.6
2073	55.726.7–85.9	4425.6–62.1
2074	48.227.5–82.4	38.320.7–55.8
2075	48.826.1–77.1	34.218.7–53.1
2076	48.425.3–80.7	38.822.9–57.5
2077	52.230.5–85.4	39.124.2–60.3
2078	51.326.3–81.4	35.521.6–53.4
2079	50.928.6–84.5	40.522.9–59.7
2080	55.329.2–86.1	40.523.4–59
2081	53.225–83.8	38.523.8–59.9
2082	48.228.9–82.3	38.622.5–58.2
2083	52.429.3–84.7	38.518.7–62.9
2084	53.729.4–80.2	39.720.6–58.4
2085	58.431.9–88.8	4021.5–65.8
2086	51.229.5–81.6	40.823–63.7
2087	52.328.8–85.2	38.324.6–58.6
2088	59.226–92.2	42.222.6–66.3
2089	5531.8–84.3	41.624.2–59.1
2090	57.627.1–92.2	42.326.1–66.4
2091	59.926.4–92.9	43.324.2–63.6
2092	59.230.5–94.8	43.928–61.6
2093	55.726.5–95.5	37.521.3–63.4
2094	60.327.8–93.8	41.325.4–65.9
2095	60.931.9–87.9	43.522.9–70.2
2096	58.929.2–95.6	41.224.1–66.8
2097	52.827.2–87.8	37.723.7–60.9
2098	5930.9–94.6	46.425.1–71.4
2099	60.330.9–92.3	42.525.1–64.8
2100	59.132.4–93.7	4022.2–64.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Mozambique vs South Africa: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Mozambique vs South Africa

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