缅甸与南非：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：缅甸为 201.9 夜，南非为 27.1 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年缅甸的数值较高，高出 174.8 夜，是南非的 7.45 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

缅甸南非CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，缅甸的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年缅甸为 244.5 夜，南非为 58.7 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	缅甸	南非
2014	201.9	27.1
2013	203.1	28.3
2012	201.1	27.9
2011	200.9	26.1
2010	202.1	26
2009	199	25.8
2008	198.1	24.8
2007	196.8	24.7
2006	198.2	25.5
2005	196.7	25.3
2004	200.3	25.8
2003	195.3	25.1
2002	196.6	25
2001	199	24.5
2000	197.2	23.3
1999	196.4	23
1998	194.7	23.4
1997	194.4	22.5
1996	191.4	20.4
1995	189.9	19.3
1994	188.8	20
1993	185	18.1
1992	180.5	18.1
1991	191.7	22.3
1990	191.5	22.7
1989	190.3	22
1988	190.7	21.2
1987	190.8	21.9
1986	189.7	21
1985	187.4	18.9
1984	189.1	20
1983	182.3	19
1982	186.7	20.3
1981	188.4	20
1980	189	21.2
1979	189.8	19.9
1978	186.8	19.8
1977	187.4	19.2
1976	185.8	19.2
1975	183.6	18.8
1974	185.5	19.7
1973	187.5	19.6
1972	184.8	19
1971	185.2	19.1
1970	184.9	18.6
1969	184.3	18.7
1968	183.7	17.8
1967	182.3	17.5
1966	186.2	17.8
1965	182.9	17.2
1964	180.6	14.9
1963	183.1	16.5
1962	187.3	19.6
1961	188.7	19.7
1960	187.1	19.8
1959	186.5	18.5
1958	187.1	19.3
1957	186.2	19.4
1956	187.9	18
1955	185.9	19.5
1954	185.7	18.4
1953	185	18.4
1952	186.1	19.3
1951	187.1	18.9
1950	186.9	18.1

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	缅甸	南非
2015	205.2186.4–218.9	28.620–39.5
2016	202.8186.2–218.8	26.817.8–37.9
2017	203.4187.3–218.3	28.919.6–37.8
2018	205.5190.9–219.9	29.620.6–40.6
2019	205.2186.7–222.2	29.820.8–41.5
2020	208.2188.5–223.5	29.518.9–39.1
2021	208.9191.2–224.1	31.121.4–42.9
2022	209.9192.7–224.9	3223.7–43.1
2023	210.6195.4–226.3	31.922.9–41.8
2024	210.4193.8–226.6	3324–45.6
2025	209.9190.3–225.2	31.920.7–44.5
2026	212.2194.3–229.2	34.521.9–46.9
2027	212195.6–228.6	34.423–47.7
2028	213195.7–227.2	33.522.9–46
2029	215.3193.9–231.9	36.226.5–48.3
2030	212.2194.9–228	36.124.9–49
2031	214.3197.2–230.8	36.324.5–50.3
2032	215199.3–229.6	36.424.5–49.2
2033	215.5198.5–230.1	36.924.5–48.3
2034	214.9198.4–233.5	37.626.4–51.8
2035	214.9199.2–236.8	37.625.2–49.5
2036	216198.7–234.5	3826.5–50.5
2037	217.2199.6–233.5	39.928.2–53.4
2038	220.7204.8–235.1	41.528.4–54.2
2039	219.7202.4–234.3	39.227–52.9
2040	219.2202.9–235	38.125.6–55.6
2041	220.7203.9–237.7	40.227.4–54.3
2042	221.8206.1–237.2	4229–56.4
2043	219.5201.2–237.1	42.128.2–58.4
2044	221.4201.6–239.6	41.929.5–57.8
2045	223.7204.8–241.5	42.728.2–59
2046	223.2203.2–240.2	44.130–59.5
2047	224.3204.8–241.1	44.630.7–61.2
2048	226.4207.7–243.8	4531.9–61.5
2049	226.5205.6–242.8	45.632.3–61.4
2050	227209.3–243.5	46.931–63.6
2051	229.6212.4–246.4	47.532–65
2052	227.2208.6–244.2	48.332.7–64.3
2053	227.9208.7–247.7	45.733.7–62.1
2054	227.9209.6–244.8	4833.3–64.3
2055	229.1209.8–247.5	46.833–68.4
2056	231.8210.4–252.1	47.933.2–64.8
2057	228.6208–249	50.232.6–68.9
2058	228.9208.8–249	47.934–66.4
2059	230.7212.1–247.5	51.333.1–66.9
2060	234.7211.1–251.5	51.936–69.9
2061	231.9213–247.7	50.534.8–71.3
2062	233.6209.9–252.8	50.532.7–71
2063	233215.4–250.5	50.434.3–69.7
2064	233.2214.4–251.3	5134.1–67.7
2065	230.7210.4–250.7	50.433.6–70.2
2066	233.5214.3–251.2	5335.7–72.4
2067	233211.5–253.3	50.634.8–70.4
2068	233.1212.4–253.7	54.837.8–72.5
2069	236.1214.6–253.4	54.339.1–73.4
2070	235.9218.1–253.4	54.337.2–73.3
2071	235.1213.5–259.6	55.837.9–76.9
2072	234.6216.1–252.6	5639.4–78.6
2073	237.2219.3–257.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	236.4215.7–254.5	57.439.1–75.3
2075	236.7214.4–255.9	56.137.7–76
2076	237.7216–257	58.538.4–75.3
2077	237.5219–258.7	57.341–80.5
2078	238.5217.3–257.8	5639.5–79
2079	238.5219.2–257.2	57.639.3–78
2080	240.5218.8–258.3	59.540.3–80.9
2081	240219.7–260.9	5841.5–79.6
2082	239.4217.1–258.8	58.839.7–77.7
2083	239.1220.5–259.2	60.839.1–82.9
2084	241.3218.9–260.6	62.540.4–82.9
2085	241.7218.8–260.7	60.741.3–87.6
2086	241.7217.4–262.7	60.542.1–83.3
2087	241.4220.5–260.9	57.941–82.9
2088	241.8222.3–261.5	64.243.4–85.3
2089	240.7221.2–262.6	61.541.3–81.2
2090	241.3224.4–260.9	61.641.5–86.8
2091	242.6220.3–262.5	63.341.6–86.3
2092	241.9221.6–263.3	63.144.9–84.8
2093	242.1220.2–260	62.443.2–86.1
2094	242.5222.5–261.9	63.145.6–87.4
2095	244.9224–264.4	65.342.6–91.7
2096	243.9221.1–266.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	243.6219.6–264.2	58.841.2–84.6
2098	243.6222.5–263.9	65.143.8–89.8
2099	244.7221.8–263.5	64.345–87
2100	244.5223.2–261.8	58.742–88.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

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冲突

冲突死亡人数缅甸：2022 年为 2,720 人死亡南非：2022 年为 0 人死亡