尼泊尔与斯里兰卡：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：尼泊尔为 65.9 夜，斯里兰卡为 337.9 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年斯里兰卡的数值较高，高出 272 夜，是尼泊尔的 5.13 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

尼泊尔斯里兰卡CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，斯里兰卡的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年尼泊尔为 89.9 夜，斯里兰卡为 356.1 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	尼泊尔	斯里兰卡
2014	65.9	337.9
2013	66.5	338.4
2012	66	336.9
2011	64.7	336.8
2010	65.7	336.2
2009	63.8	337.2
2008	64.1	335.4
2007	64.3	333.4
2006	64.4	335.8
2005	64.4	335.4
2004	64.2	336
2003	64.2	334.5
2002	65	335.5
2001	63.6	335
2000	63.4	332.9
1999	63.3	332.1
1998	61.8	334.3
1997	62.3	330.9
1996	60.9	331.1
1995	60.7	331.2
1994	59.8	328.8
1993	59.6	326.3
1992	57.3	324.5
1991	62	331.7
1990	62.1	332.5
1989	61	330.1
1988	59.8	330.7
1987	60.2	329.7
1986	59.9	329.1
1985	59.2	328
1984	59.4	328.3
1983	57.4	324
1982	60.2	328
1981	59.9	330.5
1980	60.3	328.6
1979	59.2	328.3
1978	58.8	326.9
1977	59.3	328.8
1976	58.8	325.9
1975	58.3	325.6
1974	59.8	326.3
1973	59.2	326.9
1972	57.9	325.1
1971	58.9	326.9
1970	58.1	324.4
1969	57.9	324.5
1968	57.6	323.2
1967	57.3	322.4
1966	58.8	324.6
1965	57.3	324.1
1964	57.3	324.6
1963	58.1	322.6
1962	58.8	327.7
1961	59.1	326.8
1960	59.8	326.4
1959	60.2	326.1
1958	59.1	327.2
1957	59.3	325.5
1956	59.1	324.6
1955	58.2	326.1
1954	59.3	324.6
1953	58.7	324.4
1952	59	325.9
1951	59.3	326.3
1950	59.1	328.4

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	尼泊尔	斯里兰卡
2015	66.560–73.8	339.4328.1–347.4
2016	66.358.3–73.6	339326.4–346.7
2017	66.758.6–73.6	339.5327.6–346.8
2018	65.658.9–73.3	340.4328.3–347
2019	66.358–74.3	340.4328.1–346.4
2020	68.360.6–75.9	341.6331.3–348.4
2021	67.959.6–75.8	341.5327.8–347.3
2022	68.661–75.3	340.6329.7–347.9
2023	69.361.6–76.2	342.4331–349.4
2024	7063–78.7	343.6332.7–349.8
2025	68.660.3–78.1	342.3331–348.4
2026	69.859.8–78.5	341.7328.8–350.2
2027	69.761–78.1	344334.3–351.2
2028	70.562.6–78	344.3334.6–350.5
2029	70.461.7–80.6	344333.2–350
2030	7061.3–78.5	345.4334.7–351.4
2031	71.262.8–78.6	344.1331.4–351.1
2032	72.163.9–81.1	344.5332.2–352.3
2033	71.264.8–78	346.1333.6–351.7
2034	71.663.8–80.2	346.2334.9–352.2
2035	72.664.3–83	345.6337.6–353
2036	71.965–80.3	347.3335.8–353.1
2037	74.165.9–84.2	347332.5–352.5
2038	74.167–83.3	348338.7–353.5
2039	73.565.2–82.5	347.7338.1–352.8
2040	73.865.9–83.3	347.7337.4–353.8
2041	75.368.2–83.4	347.8336.6–353.4
2042	75.667.7–84.9	347.4336.7–353.8
2043	75.566.3–85	348.1337.1–353.8
2044	76.467.5–85.4	347.5338.5–354.6
2045	76.567.9–85.2	348.5339.9–354.9
2046	76.966.8–86	350339–355.4
2047	77.766.9–86.2	350.1339.2–355.3
2048	78.367.8–88	350.9339.3–356.1
2049	78.568.6–87.8	351.7340.7–355.9
2050	79.367.8–90	350.2339.4–356.3
2051	7970.1–88.5	350.4340.3–356.3
2052	79.570.4–88.6	351.5341.3–356.8
2053	79.170.1–88.4	350.6341.6–356.1
2054	79.168.9–89	351.2339.9–357.3
2055	80.571.8–89.3	351.2342.2–356.7
2056	79.771.5–89.6	352.4341–358.2
2057	80.671.9–89.8	352.2341–357
2058	80.771–91.5	351.2340.8–358.1
2059	80.770.6–93.7	352.4343–357.5
2060	82.472.9–91.7	354342.7–358.8
2061	80.871.4–90.4	351.9340.9–357.2
2062	82.172–93.2	352.6341.4–358.1
2063	82.271.5–92.1	353341.7–358.6
2064	82.872.6–92	353.4342.5–358.9
2065	82.672.2–93.3	353.2343.7–357.9
2066	83.772.4–94.2	353.9342.3–358.5
2067	82.771.9–93.3	352.9342.4–358.9
2068	84.772.4–95.1	353.4343–359.6
2069	8573–94.3	354344.3–359.1
2070	83.273.2–92.7	354.3342.8–358.6
2071	83.872.9–93.9	353.5343.4–359.4
2072	85.274.6–95.4	354.7345.5–359.2
2073	85.875.3–96.4	353.6343.3–359
2074	84.474.5–95.8	354.1345–359.7
2075	8574.2–95.4	354.7344.7–359.5
2076	85.974.8–95	354.7341.4–360.4
2077	86.775.4–97.4	354.9343.5–359.9
2078	85.775.7–96.6	353.6342.5–359.6
2079	85.973.7–96	354.2343.4–360
2080	87.576.4–97.7	354.8343–361.4
2081	87.577.2–98.1	355.4345.4–360.3
2082	86.877.3–98.8	355.3345–359.4
2083	8876.6–99.5	355.7344.3–360.1
2084	88.377.6–99.6	355.9346.4–361.2
2085	87.876.3–100.8	354.7345.1–360.5
2086	87.975.2–100.2	356344.9–360.4
2087	87.476.2–98.9	355.2344.8–360.4
2088	87.375.6–99.2	355.7345–361.9
2089	8776.2–100.1	356346.1–360.1
2090	87.977.5–99	355.6345.5–360.8
2091	88.877.6–101.7	356.2343.4–360.7
2092	88.477.7–101.1	356.2345.3–361.5
2093	88.776.8–99.9	355.8343.7–360.9
2094	88.677.6–99.5	356344.9–360.6
2095	89.478.8–99.7	357.1345.9–361
2096	89.178.6–101.7	356.2346.8–362.3
2097	87.976.6–99.4	356.6344.6–360.4
2098	89.678.1–100.1	356.8344.4–361.1
2099	89.778.5–100.7	355.9344.9–361.1
2100	89.980–100	356.1346.8–360.4

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

尼泊尔与斯里兰卡对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数尼泊尔：2022 年为 0 人死亡斯里兰卡：2022 年为 0 人死亡