巴基斯坦与叙利亚：热带夜

2014 年热带夜：巴基斯坦为 149.9 夜，叙利亚为 89.6 夜（CMIP6 气候模型中位数模拟）。 2014 年巴基斯坦的数值较高，高出 60.3 夜，是叙利亚的 1.67 倍。

每年夜数 · CMIP6

巴基斯坦叙利亚CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径）模型第 10–90 百分位

数据解读

自 1950 年以来，在两国都有数据的每一年，巴基斯坦的数值都更高。
根据CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），2100 年巴基斯坦为 177.6 夜，叙利亚为 133.8 夜。

逐年数据

每年夜数 · CMIP6

年份	巴基斯坦	叙利亚
2014	149.9	89.6
2013	149.1	90.8
2012	149.9	91.2
2011	149	89.6
2010	148.4	88.1
2009	147.1	86.2
2008	147.4	87.9
2007	147.3	85
2006	146.7	87.3
2005	146.5	85.3
2004	147.5	86.7
2003	146	86.7
2002	148.3	84.3
2001	145.4	85.9
2000	144.7	83.2
1999	146.9	82.1
1998	144.8	80.5
1997	143.2	80.5
1996	141.2	78.1
1995	141.8	75.8
1994	142.1	76.7
1993	140.4	71.5
1992	139.9	71.3
1991	142.5	75.5
1990	142.6	79.3
1989	142.5	75.7
1988	140.3	76.2
1987	140	73
1986	140	76
1985	140	72.6
1984	138.9	69.6
1983	136.3	67.9
1982	138.5	72
1981	141.5	72
1980	139.5	75
1979	139.1	67.7
1978	139	70.2
1977	138.6	70.1
1976	139.2	73.4
1975	136.5	69
1974	138.7	70
1973	137.8	70.7
1972	137.4	70.1
1971	136	70.7
1970	137.7	70.9
1969	135.9	71.3
1968	136.6	68.7
1967	135.2	68.8
1966	136.9	68.8
1965	138.3	64.3
1964	135.1	66.4
1963	135.7	69.1
1962	137	71.5
1961	138.6	70.8
1960	139	71.7
1959	138.6	72.7
1958	137.7	72.8
1957	140	72.6
1956	137.8	72.2
1955	137.5	70.3
1954	137.8	68.9
1953	136.9	72.2
1952	138.1	70.8
1951	136.7	72.4
1950	139.1	68.9

CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径） · 2015–2100

年份	巴基斯坦	叙利亚
2015	152.4138.7–163.3	96.981.9–110.9
2016	150.6139.4–161.7	93.581.2–108.2
2017	151.3138.8–162	9782.1–109.5
2018	152.6139.8–161.8	97.785.9–111
2019	151.8138.1–163.3	98.983.7–111.2
2020	153.1140.3–164.5	98.683.7–112.6
2021	154.1140.6–165.7	10087.1–110.7
2022	153.1140.2–165.7	101.684.9–113.2
2023	155.5141.6–165.9	101.988.3–115.3
2024	156.8143.3–168.7	102.790.7–113.8
2025	155.7141.5–168.6	102.988.6–114.2
2026	155.3142.2–167.9	103.389.5–116.1
2027	156.8140.9–168.9	103.886.7–116.5
2028	156.5143.9–167.6	103.589.2–116.4
2029	155.9141.5–167.7	105.694–116.3
2030	156.3143.3–167.6	105.991.3–119.2
2031	157.3144.4–168.1	105.190.7–116
2032	157.4142.5–169.6	107.893.2–119.4
2033	157.7143.6–169.4	108.796.6–119.1
2034	159.5145.6–173.4	107.593.9–119
2035	159.3146.7–170.3	108.596.3–118.3
2036	159.1147.5–171.4	105.793.2–118.7
2037	162.2147.5–175.3	109.294.8–121.9
2038	161.4148.6–171.7	111.897.8–125.5
2039	160148.2–170.4	112.398.9–128
2040	160.9147.9–171.3	111.898.5–127.5
2041	160.8146.7–171.7	110.799.1–124.5
2042	162.3149.9–175.6	112.996.4–126.5
2043	161.1150.3–173.8	113.199.7–127.3
2044	163150.9–173.9	112.599.8–128.8
2045	163149.5–174.8	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	163.5149.8–177.2	117.2104.7–129
2047	165.2151.8–178.5	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	166.4154.1–179.4	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	165150.8–178.2	11499.3–128.9
2050	166.9153.5–179.3	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	165.6150.8–180	117.7105.5–129
2052	166.7155.4–179.5	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	166.3154.2–178.8	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	167.5153.9–181	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	167.8155.8–182.5	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	166.3153.6–179.7	119.799.9–132.9
2057	168.3153.9–182.3	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	167.5157–179.9	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	170.9155.9–183.8	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	170.3156.5–181.8	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	168.8156.8–179.6	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	171.6153.5–186.5	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	171.3159.5–183.8	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	170.2155.3–184.5	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	169.7156.4–185	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	172.2157–186.7	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	173.2160.2–186.3	126111.1–142.7
2068	172.6157.7–186.3	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	171.8157.3–185.6	123107.9–137.3
2070	171.7158.9–186.7	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	173.4158.7–186.8	126109.5–142.8
2072	174161.5–186.9	128111.8–141.9
2073	175.6157.2–187.9	127.6108–143.7
2074	173.5160–186.3	124.2107–139.7
2075	173161.5–187.8	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	172.9158.8–186.7	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	175161.3–187.8	127.5109–143.3
2078	174.4160.9–189.3	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	172.5158.3–187.7	132.9116–146.9
2080	175.1160.7–189.2	129111.8–144.3
2081	174.9159.2–190.2	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	175.4161.8–190.6	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	176.5161.8–190.8	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	176.1160.9–190.5	132.2111–145.1
2085	176.3161.9–193.6	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	173.9160–189.1	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	176161–193.1	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	175.4160.5–195.2	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	177.2164.2–191.7	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	177.7163.9–192.2	128.9115–145.8
2091	177.8162.8–192.2	133.4116–150.3
2092	178.7162.9–192.9	131.6115.3–149
2093	177164–191	135119.8–151
2094	176.8164.1–190.7	134118–148.5
2095	178.6163.8–193.1	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	177.8163.7–192.5	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	177.3160.4–192.5	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	178.7162.6–195.7	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	176159.9–193.2	132.8116–145.1
2100	177.6162.2–193	133.8113.2–152.2

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须知

一年中气温始终高于 20 °C 的夜晚数，取全国平均。
来源：World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median。
虚线为CMIP6 模型中位数（SSP2-4.5，中间路径），是一种情景而非预报；阴影带为其模型第 10–90 百分位。
气候模型值为 CMIP6 各模型的中位数：2014 年及以前按历史排放模拟，此后按中间路径 SSP2-4.5 模拟；它们并非实测数据。

各图层如何运作、数据从何而来，以及它们无法告诉你什么：历年各国数据

巴基斯坦与叙利亚对比

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冲突

冲突死亡人数巴基斯坦：2022 年为 738 人死亡叙利亚：2022 年为 1,574 人死亡