Afghanistan vs Tajikistan: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 50.8 nights in Afghanistan and 12.1 nights in Tajikistan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Afghanistan, by 38.6 nights, or 4.18 times that in Tajikistan.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

AfghanistanTajikistanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Afghanistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Afghanistan at 72.3 nights and Tajikistan at 21.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Afghanistan	Tajikistan
2014	50.8	12.1
2013	50.6	12.2
2012	50.1	11.7
2011	49.9	11.6
2010	48.2	11
2009	48.9	11.7
2008	48.8	11.1
2007	48.3	11.4
2006	48.7	11.3
2005	48.1	11
2004	47.9	10.9
2003	47.2	11
2002	49.4	11.5
2001	47	10.8
2000	47.9	10.7
1999	47.9	10.8
1998	46.8	10.4
1997	46.8	10.3
1996	45	10.2
1995	44.4	9.9
1994	44.6	9.8
1993	42.4	8.9
1992	42.5	8.8
1991	45.1	9.6
1990	45.5	10.1
1989	45.5	10.1
1988	44.3	9.3
1987	44.5	9.5
1986	44	8.9
1985	43.5	9
1984	43.4	8.6
1983	40.5	7.9
1982	43.1	9.2
1981	43.8	9.4
1980	43	9
1979	44	9.1
1978	43.1	8.9
1977	41.5	8.4
1976	41.6	8.4
1975	41.4	8.7
1974	41.6	8.4
1973	41.7	8.5
1972	42.1	9
1971	40.8	8.4
1970	41.6	8.3
1969	41.3	8.6
1968	40.8	8
1967	41.5	8.6
1966	41	8.3
1965	41.1	8.3
1964	41.3	8.5
1963	41.8	8.6
1962	41.8	8.7
1961	42.6	8.8
1960	42.1	8.8
1959	41.8	8.7
1958	43.3	9.6
1957	42.2	9
1956	42.3	9
1955	41.4	8.6
1954	42.5	9
1953	41.8	8.4
1952	42.9	9
1951	41.5	8.6
1950	42.8	9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Afghanistan	Tajikistan
2015	52.244.8–59.8	13.210–15.9
2016	52.545–59.7	12.910.5–16
2017	52.345.8–58.8	13.210.7–16
2018	5244.6–59.3	12.99.7–16.3
2019	53.345.9–60.7	13.310.4–16.5
2020	54.347.1–61.2	13.410.9–17
2021	53.746.7–61.4	13.910.7–17.4
2022	53.146.2–61.6	14.110.9–17.6
2023	55.646–62.7	14.411.3–17
2024	5647.3–64	14.510.6–17.8
2025	55.947.9–65	14.911.7–18.3
2026	54.945.9–64.5	1410.7–18
2027	55.948.7–64.2	14.411.4–18.2
2028	5647.4–64	14.811.6–18.6
2029	54.747.9–62.5	14.110.9–18
2030	56.749.3–63.8	14.911.8–17.9
2031	58.650.2–65.4	15.412.3–18.6
2032	57.649.8–65.4	15.312.1–19.1
2033	57.749.1–65.5	15.311.6–19.4
2034	59.148.6–68.2	15.211.4–19.5
2035	60.251.4–67.7	16.112–19.5
2036	59.251.7–66.6	15.512.4–19.6
2037	59.751.1–70	15.912.6–19.2
2038	6051.9–67.2	16.112.9–19.6
2039	58.651.3–66	15.612.2–19.1
2040	59.651.8–68	16.212.5–20.4
2041	5951.1–68	16.612.7–20.2
2042	60.752.4–69.9	16.512.6–20.2
2043	59.351.2–68.5	15.812.1–20.7
2044	60.752.6–69.8	16.613.6–20.7
2045	61.152.7–69.7	16.812.9–20.4
2046	61.452.3–71.6	1712.8–21.9
2047	62.553.6–71.5	1713.2–21.7
2048	63.354.7–72.3	16.813.7–21.1
2049	62.253.1–71.9	16.913.7–21.4
2050	63.754.4–73.1	17.614–22.1
2051	62.853.2–73.2	17.513.7–22.9
2052	64.254.7–73.4	17.413.9–22.1
2053	63.354.9–71.6	17.814.4–21.5
2054	64.355.6–73.4	17.914.3–22.4
2055	64.956.7–73.7	18.214.6–22.5
2056	64.155.8–73.4	18.514.2–22.9
2057	65.555.1–75.6	18.914.2–23.2
2058	65.256.7–74.7	18.314.3–23.5
2059	64.556.1–73.6	18.114.5–23.3
2060	66.855.9–75.6	18.714.3–23.3
2061	65.857.4–73.2	18.514.1–22.4
2062	66.856.9–77.4	1914.9–24.2
2063	67.359.1–76.6	1914.8–23.3
2064	66.357.6–76.7	18.713.9–23.5
2065	67.457.8–78.5	19.515.3–24.9
2066	6859.4–77.9	19.515.9–23.6
2067	69.258.5–79.9	19.915.5–25
2068	6858.5–77.7	19.815.8–24.2
2069	68.560.5–78.3	19.716–24.2
2070	6859.6–78.7	19.516–25.2
2071	68.458.2–78.9	19.516–25.1
2072	68.558.7–79.3	19.315.4–25.5
2073	69.960.2–80.9	19.915.8–25.6
2074	69.260.9–79.3	20.116.7–25.4
2075	68.459.6–81.4	19.516–25.6
2076	69.457.9–81	20.114.4–25.3
2077	70.158.3–80.8	20.615.5–27
2078	67.958.5–82.4	2015.3–27.2
2079	68.757.9–81.2	19.414.9–25.5
2080	69.459.3–82	20.315.3–26.6
2081	69.158.1–81.3	19.815.7–25.8
2082	70.960.1–83	20.716.3–26.1
2083	70.960.3–82.8	20.916.3–26.4
2084	71.760.2–82.3	20.615.4–26.5
2085	70.260.1–85.4	20.515.9–27.5
2086	69.660.3–82.9	20.715.6–26.8
2087	71.362.8–84.1	20.917.3–25.8
2088	71.660.7–85.2	21.115.5–26.9
2089	72.361.4–83.9	21.216.7–26.7
2090	7160.2–83.4	2115.6–26.7
2091	72.261.1–83.3	2216.7–27.4
2092	72.261.6–83.3	21.416.7–26.6
2093	72.562.6–83.5	21.716.9–26.7
2094	72.962.2–85.3	21.817–28
2095	73.761.1–84.3	21.916.8–27.4
2096	73.362.9–85.7	22.417.9–27.9
2097	70.960.6–84.3	21.817.2–27.4
2098	73.562.2–87.3	22.317–28.6
2099	72.761–84.1	22.217.1–27.3
2100	72.360.5–87.4	21.816.3–28.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time