Tajikistan

Tropical nights in Tajikistan

Tropical nights in Tajikistan: 9 nights in 1950 and 12.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
12.1 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+3.2 nights
Projected, 2100
21.8 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in TajikistanTropical nights in Tajikistan: 9 nights in 1950 and 12.1 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 21.8 nights in 2100, between 16.3 nights and 28.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 21.8 nights in 2100, between 16.3 nights and 28.6 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 12.2 nights in 2013, the lowest 7.9 nights in 1983.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearTajikistan
201412.1
201312.2
201211.7
201111.6
201011
200911.7
200811.1
200711.4
200611.3
200511
200410.9
200311
200211.5
200110.8
200010.7
199910.8
199810.4
199710.3
199610.2
19959.9
19949.8
19938.9
19928.8
19919.6
199010.1
198910.1
19889.3
19879.5
19868.9
19859
19848.6
19837.9
19829.2
19819.4
19809
19799.1
19788.9
19778.4
19768.4
19758.7
19748.4
19738.5
19729
19718.4
19708.3
19698.6
19688
19678.6
19668.3
19658.3
19648.5
19638.6
19628.7
19618.8
19608.8
19598.7
19589.6
19579
19569
19558.6
19549
19538.4
19529
19518.6
19509
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearTajikistan
201513.210–15.9
201612.910.5–16
201713.210.7–16
201812.99.7–16.3
201913.310.4–16.5
202013.410.9–17
202113.910.7–17.4
202214.110.9–17.6
202314.411.3–17
202414.510.6–17.8
202514.911.7–18.3
20261410.7–18
202714.411.4–18.2
202814.811.6–18.6
202914.110.9–18
203014.911.8–17.9
203115.412.3–18.6
203215.312.1–19.1
203315.311.6–19.4
203415.211.4–19.5
203516.112–19.5
203615.512.4–19.6
203715.912.6–19.2
203816.112.9–19.6
203915.612.2–19.1
204016.212.5–20.4
204116.612.7–20.2
204216.512.6–20.2
204315.812.1–20.7
204416.613.6–20.7
204516.812.9–20.4
20461712.8–21.9
20471713.2–21.7
204816.813.7–21.1
204916.913.7–21.4
205017.614–22.1
205117.513.7–22.9
205217.413.9–22.1
205317.814.4–21.5
205417.914.3–22.4
205518.214.6–22.5
205618.514.2–22.9
205718.914.2–23.2
205818.314.3–23.5
205918.114.5–23.3
206018.714.3–23.3
206118.514.1–22.4
20621914.9–24.2
20631914.8–23.3
206418.713.9–23.5
206519.515.3–24.9
206619.515.9–23.6
206719.915.5–25
206819.815.8–24.2
206919.716–24.2
207019.516–25.2
207119.516–25.1
207219.315.4–25.5
207319.915.8–25.6
207420.116.7–25.4
207519.516–25.6
207620.114.4–25.3
207720.615.5–27
20782015.3–27.2
207919.414.9–25.5
208020.315.3–26.6
208119.815.7–25.8
208220.716.3–26.1
208320.916.3–26.4
208420.615.4–26.5
208520.515.9–27.5
208620.715.6–26.8
208720.917.3–25.8
208821.115.5–26.9
208921.216.7–26.7
20902115.6–26.7
20912216.7–27.4
209221.416.7–26.6
209321.716.9–26.7
209421.817–28
209521.916.8–27.4
209622.417.9–27.9
209721.817.2–27.4
209822.317–28.6
209922.217.1–27.3
210021.816.3–28.6

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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