Tajikistan vs United Kingdom: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 12.1 nights in Tajikistan and 0.2 nights in United Kingdom, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Tajikistan, by 12 nights, or 76 times that in United Kingdom.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

TajikistanUnited KingdomCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Tajikistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Tajikistan at 21.8 nights and United Kingdom at 0.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Tajikistan	United Kingdom
2014	12.1	0.2
2013	12.2	0.2
2012	11.7	0.2
2011	11.6	0.2
2010	11	0.2
2009	11.7	0.2
2008	11.1	0.2
2007	11.4	0.2
2006	11.3	0.2
2005	11	0.2
2004	10.9	0.2
2003	11	0.2
2002	11.5	0.2
2001	10.8	0.2
2000	10.7	0.2
1999	10.8	0.2
1998	10.4	0.2
1997	10.3	0.2
1996	10.2	0.2
1995	9.9	0.1
1994	9.8	0.2
1993	8.9	0.1
1992	8.8	0.2
1991	9.6	0.2
1990	10.1	0.2
1989	10.1	0.2
1988	9.3	0.1
1987	9.5	0.2
1986	8.9	0.2
1985	9	0.1
1984	8.6	0.1
1983	7.9	0.1
1982	9.2	0.1
1981	9.4	0.1
1980	9	0.1
1979	9.1	0.1
1978	8.9	0.1
1977	8.4	0.1
1976	8.4	0.1
1975	8.7	0.1
1974	8.4	0.1
1973	8.5	0.1
1972	9	0.1
1971	8.4	0.1
1970	8.3	0.1
1969	8.6	0.1
1968	8	0.1
1967	8.6	0.1
1966	8.3	0.1
1965	8.3	0.1
1964	8.5	0.1
1963	8.6	0.1
1962	8.7	0.2
1961	8.8	0.1
1960	8.8	0.1
1959	8.7	0.1
1958	9.6	0.1
1957	9	0.2
1956	9	0.2
1955	8.6	0.2
1954	9	0.1
1953	8.4	0.1
1952	9	0.1
1951	8.6	0.1
1950	9	0.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Tajikistan	United Kingdom
2015	13.210–15.9	0.20.2–0.3
2016	12.910.5–16	0.20.2–0.4
2017	13.210.7–16	0.20.2–0.4
2018	12.99.7–16.3	0.20.2–0.3
2019	13.310.4–16.5	0.20.1–0.2
2020	13.410.9–17	0.20.2–0.3
2021	13.910.7–17.4	0.20.1–0.4
2022	14.110.9–17.6	0.20.2–0.3
2023	14.411.3–17	0.20.2–0.4
2024	14.510.6–17.8	0.20.2–0.3
2025	14.911.7–18.3	0.20.2–0.4
2026	1410.7–18	0.20.2–0.4
2027	14.411.4–18.2	0.20.2–0.3
2028	14.811.6–18.6	0.20.2–0.3
2029	14.110.9–18	0.20.2–0.3
2030	14.911.8–17.9	0.20.2–0.3
2031	15.412.3–18.6	0.20.2–0.4
2032	15.312.1–19.1	0.20.2–0.4
2033	15.311.6–19.4	0.20.2–0.4
2034	15.211.4–19.5	0.20.2–0.9
2035	16.112–19.5	0.20.2–0.6
2036	15.512.4–19.6	0.20.2–0.5
2037	15.912.6–19.2	0.20.2–0.4
2038	16.112.9–19.6	0.20.2–0.5
2039	15.612.2–19.1	0.20.2–0.5
2040	16.212.5–20.4	0.20.2–0.5
2041	16.612.7–20.2	0.20.2–0.4
2042	16.512.6–20.2	0.20.2–0.6
2043	15.812.1–20.7	0.20.2–0.6
2044	16.613.6–20.7	0.20.2–0.7
2045	16.812.9–20.4	0.20.2–0.6
2046	1712.8–21.9	0.20.2–0.6
2047	1713.2–21.7	0.20.2–0.8
2048	16.813.7–21.1	0.20.2–0.8
2049	16.913.7–21.4	0.20.2–1.1
2050	17.614–22.1	0.20.2–0.7
2051	17.513.7–22.9	0.20.2–0.7
2052	17.413.9–22.1	0.20.2–1.1
2053	17.814.4–21.5	0.20.2–0.9
2054	17.914.3–22.4	0.20.2–1.3
2055	18.214.6–22.5	0.20.2–1
2056	18.514.2–22.9	0.20.2–0.6
2057	18.914.2–23.2	0.20.2–1
2058	18.314.3–23.5	0.30.2–1.3
2059	18.114.5–23.3	0.20.2–0.9
2060	18.714.3–23.3	0.20.2–1
2061	18.514.1–22.4	0.20.2–1
2062	1914.9–24.2	0.40.2–1.4
2063	1914.8–23.3	0.20.2–1.4
2064	18.713.9–23.5	0.20.2–0.7
2065	19.515.3–24.9	0.20.2–2
2066	19.515.9–23.6	0.20.2–0.8
2067	19.915.5–25	0.40.2–2
2068	19.815.8–24.2	0.20.2–0.8
2069	19.716–24.2	0.30.2–1.3
2070	19.516–25.2	0.30.2–1.7
2071	19.516–25.1	0.30.2–1.5
2072	19.315.4–25.5	0.30.2–0.9
2073	19.915.8–25.6	0.30.2–2.2
2074	20.116.7–25.4	0.30.2–1.9
2075	19.516–25.6	0.30.2–1.4
2076	20.114.4–25.3	0.30.2–2.2
2077	20.615.5–27	0.20.2–2.2
2078	2015.3–27.2	0.50.2–2.2
2079	19.414.9–25.5	0.20.2–1.4
2080	20.315.3–26.6	0.20.2–1.6
2081	19.815.7–25.8	0.30.2–1.7
2082	20.716.3–26.1	0.30.2–2.6
2083	20.916.3–26.4	0.40.2–1.9
2084	20.615.4–26.5	0.20.2–1.6
2085	20.515.9–27.5	0.30.2–1.9
2086	20.715.6–26.8	0.30.2–2.6
2087	20.917.3–25.8	0.50.2–4
2088	21.115.5–26.9	0.30.2–2.1
2089	21.216.7–26.7	0.40.2–1.7
2090	2115.6–26.7	0.30.2–2.1
2091	2216.7–27.4	0.40.2–2.2
2092	21.416.7–26.6	0.60.2–2.2
2093	21.716.9–26.7	0.30.2–1.7
2094	21.817–28	0.40.2–1.9
2095	21.916.8–27.4	0.50.2–2.7
2096	22.417.9–27.9	0.40.2–4
2097	21.817.2–27.4	0.30.2–2.9
2098	22.317–28.6	0.40.2–3
2099	22.217.1–27.3	0.40.2–2.5
2100	21.816.3–28.6	0.40.2–1.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time