Days above 35 °C in Tajikistan

Days above 35 °C in Tajikistan: 6.7 days in 1950 and 8.9 days in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014: 8.9 days; Modelled
Since 1950: +2.2 days
Projected, 2100: 17.8 days; CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 17.8 days in 2100, between 12.2 days and 24 days (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
The highest was 9 days in 2013, the lowest 5.6 days in 1983.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Tajikistan
2014	8.9
2013	9
2012	8.8
2011	8.8
2010	7.9
2009	9
2008	8.1
2007	8.2
2006	8.3
2005	8.3
2004	8
2003	7.8
2002	8.7
2001	7.6
2000	8.2
1999	8
1998	7.5
1997	7.7
1996	7.5
1995	6.9
1994	7
1993	6.2
1992	6.6
1991	6.9
1990	7.5
1989	7.4
1988	7.1
1987	7.1
1986	6.4
1985	6.5
1984	6.2
1983	5.6
1982	6.7
1981	6.8
1980	7
1979	6.8
1978	6.5
1977	6.3
1976	6
1975	6.6
1974	6.3
1973	5.7
1972	6.4
1971	5.9
1970	6.1
1969	6.3
1968	6
1967	6.5
1966	6.3
1965	6.1
1964	6.3
1963	6.2
1962	6.7
1961	6.8
1960	6.4
1959	6.6
1958	7.4
1957	7.1
1956	6.6
1955	6.2
1954	7
1953	6.1
1952	6.8
1951	6.8
1950	6.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Tajikistan
2015	10.17.2–12.5
2016	9.67.6–12.2
2017	9.96.9–13.1
2018	9.66.7–13
2019	10.17.4–12.8
2020	10.17.7–13.9
2021	10.56.8–14.3
2022	10.17.6–13.7
2023	11.57.8–14.2
2024	11.17.3–14.7
2025	11.28.8–14
2026	9.97.5–14.4
2027	10.88.1–14.3
2028	11.67.7–15.3
2029	10.37.8–14
2030	11.58.8–14.4
2031	11.69.3–15
2032	11.68.7–16.4
2033	11.98.4–15.8
2034	11.77.8–16
2035	11.98.5–16.4
2036	128.8–16.2
2037	12.39.2–16.9
2038	12.29.2–15.6
2039	11.98.8–15.9
2040	12.48.9–17.9
2041	13.18.6–16.8
2042	12.69.4–17.6
2043	11.88.4–17.2
2044	13.19.6–17.2
2045	139.2–17.2
2046	139.4–17.4
2047	13.49.8–18.2
2048	139.7–17.6
2049	13.19.7–17.8
2050	1410.1–18.9
2051	13.79.6–18.9
2052	13.89.4–18.3
2053	14.310.4–18.4
2054	14.611.1–18.6
2055	14.511.1–19.1
2056	14.710.5–19.5
2057	14.910.6–19
2058	14.711.1–19.6
2059	14.110.9–18.3
2060	15.310.5–20.2
2061	14.611.1–18.7
2062	14.811.5–19.1
2063	15.410.7–20.2
2064	14.810.5–20.1
2065	1611.4–20.6
2066	1511.6–19.2
2067	16.411.4–20.5
2068	15.511.9–20.9
2069	15.812.3–19.7
2070	15.912.7–21.3
2071	15.311.9–21.5
2072	15.310.5–21.9
2073	16.112.1–21.9
2074	1611.8–21.3
2075	15.912.4–21.7
2076	15.510.7–22.3
2077	16.512.2–21.7
2078	15.911.1–23.4
2079	15.610.9–21.8
2080	15.912.1–22.9
2081	15.912–22.5
2082	16.513.4–21.7
2083	16.912.7–21.8
2084	16.312.1–21.5
2085	15.612–22.9
2086	1711.9–22.5
2087	17.113.5–21.9
2088	17.212.5–22.7
2089	17.612.8–23.3
2090	17.112.8–22.2
2091	17.512.4–22.2
2092	17.512.7–22.8
2093	17.713.5–21.8
2094	17.513.3–24.1
2095	18.312.8–23.1
2096	18.213.7–23.2
2097	17.412.7–21.8
2098	18.213.2–23.8
2099	17.412.2–23.5
2100	17.812.2–24

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Days above 35 °C in Tajikistan

What the numbers say

Every year

Good to know

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