Bhutan vs China: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 18.5 nights in Bhutan and 41.5 nights in China, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in China, by 23 nights, or 2.25 times that in Bhutan.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

BhutanChinaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

China has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Bhutan at 34 nights and China at 63.3 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Bhutan	China
2014	18.5	41.5
2013	18.2	41.7
2012	17.6	40.8
2011	16.9	40.2
2010	17.7	40.5
2009	16.7	39.5
2008	16.5	39.2
2007	16.2	38.7
2006	16.5	39.5
2005	16.6	39.5
2004	16.2	39.7
2003	16.1	38.5
2002	16.1	38.8
2001	16.1	39.5
2000	15.7	38.6
1999	15.4	38.5
1998	15.5	37.6
1997	15.2	37.1
1996	13.7	36.6
1995	13.4	35.1
1994	13.5	34.9
1993	12.4	33.2
1992	11.7	32.3
1991	15.1	35.9
1990	14.8	36.4
1989	13.8	36.1
1988	13.4	35.1
1987	13.6	34.5
1986	13.6	34
1985	13.4	33.5
1984	13	33.4
1983	12.1	31.5
1982	13.2	34.1
1981	13.3	34.2
1980	13	34.3
1979	13	33.8
1978	12.6	34.8
1977	12.8	33.3
1976	13.1	32.7
1975	12.5	33.1
1974	13.1	33.3
1973	12.9	33.1
1972	12.2	32.6
1971	12.6	33
1970	12.2	32.4
1969	12.3	33.4
1968	12.4	32.8
1967	11.9	33.4
1966	12.7	33.4
1965	12.1	32.5
1964	11.9	32.1
1963	12.1	34.5
1962	13.2	34
1961	13.2	34.6
1960	13.1	34.1
1959	13.4	34
1958	13.1	35
1957	13.2	34.4
1956	12.9	34.6
1955	13.2	34.2
1954	12.9	34.2
1953	12.9	34.3
1952	13.3	34.3
1951	13.4	35.1
1950	12.9	34.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Bhutan	China
2015	17.413.4–22.5	42.334.8–49.8
2016	1812.6–22	42.134.4–50
2017	18.714–22.7	43.135.3–51.6
2018	17.914.3–22.1	42.335.5–49.5
2019	18.513–23.2	43.836.5–51.1
2020	18.713.9–24.4	43.736.8–51.1
2021	19.415.2–23.6	44.136–52.1
2022	19.616–23.8	44.737.5–52.7
2023	20.716.1–25.6	45.737.8–53.4
2024	20.616–26.1	45.738.1–54
2025	2015.7–27.4	46.337.5–54.8
2026	20.515.2–26.5	46.237.6–55.5
2027	20.315.9–25.7	46.138–54.9
2028	21.116.8–27.3	46.438.4–54.3
2029	2116.5–27.9	46.939.1–55.6
2030	21.116.2–26	47.138.8–55.3
2031	21.415.6–26.5	4738.8–56
2032	2217.7–26.6	48.339.3–57.4
2033	21.917.6–26.3	47.939.7–56.6
2034	21.818.3–26.9	48.440.5–57.3
2035	22.717.8–29.6	49.740.8–58.6
2036	22.418.2–28.1	4940.1–58.2
2037	23.919.2–28.5	4941.2–57.6
2038	24.220.3–30.4	50.542.4–59.3
2039	24.419.8–29.5	49.641.2–59.2
2040	24.119.6–30.6	50.942.4–60.4
2041	25.420.9–30.9	51.342.5–61.1
2042	25.519.8–31.7	51.642–61.5
2043	24.519.5–30.9	50.742.7–61
2044	2519.6–30.5	51.942.4–61.9
2045	25.219.9–30.9	51.542.8–61.1
2046	26.119.4–32.3	5343.7–62.7
2047	25.820.3–31.1	53.544.5–62.5
2048	26.820.8–32.8	53.144–62.6
2049	26.722.4–33.4	52.843.8–63.3
2050	27.321.2–33.6	53.644.4–63.8
2051	27.422.2–34.2	54.345.1–64.8
2052	27.322.1–33.9	53.444.6–63.2
2053	26.722.5–32.6	54.244.2–64.2
2054	27.522.7–33.6	54.545.3–64.8
2055	27.923.2–34.2	5545.1–65.8
2056	2822.9–34.8	55.245.1–66.6
2057	28.622.2–34.8	54.844.9–65.7
2058	28.123.1–36.3	55.145.8–67.7
2059	28.323.4–36.1	55.345.1–67.2
2060	30.123.7–35.4	57.246.9–68.1
2061	28.724.1–34.7	56.546.6–66.3
2062	29.622.9–36.3	56.846.9–68.5
2063	29.523.7–36.7	57.247.2–68.6
2064	29.323.2–35.4	5747.1–67.7
2065	29.324.2–36.3	57.347.1–67.8
2066	30.224.1–36.5	57.347.9–68.7
2067	29.623.6–35.8	57.546.4–68.2
2068	30.422.8–37.3	58.748.5–70.5
2069	30.523.7–36.5	58.548.4–69
2070	30.324.5–36.1	5847.6–71.7
2071	31.224.2–37.3	59.347.4–71.6
2072	31.224–37.3	59.248.1–71.5
2073	31.425.4–38.3	59.849.1–70.9
2074	30.625–38.4	59.648.7–71.1
2075	30.624.1–38.5	58.748.3–71.4
2076	31.225.3–37.8	60.249–70.9
2077	31.626.1–39.2	60.851.1–72.4
2078	31.526.7–38.7	59.648.8–72.4
2079	31.525.1–38.1	60.750.1–72.6
2080	32.626.5–37.7	59.950–72.3
2081	32.327.1–39.8	60.950–73.2
2082	32.525.8–39	6149.8–73.3
2083	32.526.5–40.9	61.251.2–73.6
2084	32.926.4–41.3	61.749.7–74.6
2085	33.328–41.5	61.250.8–75.2
2086	33.627.3–40.5	61.648.9–74.5
2087	33.127.1–40.1	61.650.6–75
2088	33.427.6–41.2	62.750.5–77.1
2089	32.928.3–40.8	61.950–75.2
2090	33.628.4–40.2	62.551.4–73.7
2091	34.328.3–41.5	63.852–75.7
2092	34.128–42.1	63.251.2–75.1
2093	33.928.3–42	63.252–75.4
2094	33.828–41.5	6351.1–76.3
2095	34.329.5–40.8	63.952.8–76.4
2096	3428–42.1	63.852.2–76.8
2097	3327.7–41.5	62.750.7–75.1
2098	34.227.2–41.8	63.451.2–76.8
2099	33.928.4–41.5	63.851.9–76.1
2100	3428.3–42.1	63.351.7–76.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Bhutan vs China: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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