Burkina Faso vs Madagascar: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 177.4 days in Burkina Faso and 3.9 days in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Burkina Faso, by 173.5 days, or 45 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Burkina FasoMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Burkina Faso has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Burkina Faso at 245.7 days and Madagascar at 29.3 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Burkina Faso	Madagascar
2014	177.4	3.9
2013	171.9	4.4
2012	170.9	3.6
2011	170.8	4
2010	166.4	3.7
2009	165.1	2.7
2008	164.2	3
2007	163.3	3.2
2006	162.7	2.5
2005	162.9	3.3
2004	170.8	3.3
2003	165.6	3.6
2002	163.8	3
2001	170.1	3
2000	162.9	2.8
1999	157.3	2.3
1998	155.2	2.5
1997	161.5	2.4
1996	152.4	2
1995	150.5	1.5
1994	142.5	1.8
1993	137.5	1.5
1992	137.6	1.4
1991	151.5	1.6
1990	157.8	2.8
1989	151.7	2.5
1988	150.2	2.5
1987	151.1	2
1986	154.4	2.5
1985	145.5	1.7
1984	148	2
1983	148.1	1.8
1982	147.5	1.3
1981	149.6	1.9
1980	154.6	1.9
1979	152.1	1.8
1978	146.1	1.4
1977	149.6	1.7
1976	142.3	1.4
1975	140.2	1.7
1974	140.2	1.8
1973	150.1	1.5
1972	144.8	1.5
1971	141.7	1.2
1970	145.9	1.4
1969	147.9	1.9
1968	140.2	1.6
1967	141	1
1966	138.2	1.4
1965	142	1.3
1964	127.3	1.3
1963	132.5	1.1
1962	145	1.7
1961	150	1.5
1960	151.8	1.7
1959	146.2	1.8
1958	150.3	1.6
1957	152.8	1.3
1956	141.2	1.3
1955	143.7	2.1
1954	150.6	1.6
1953	153.5	1.4
1952	145.7	1.5
1951	151.2	1.4
1950	144.8	1.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Burkina Faso	Madagascar
2015	171.8138.5–202.8	4.81.7–11.4
2016	167138.6–189.8	4.31.4–10.8
2017	173136.2–207.5	4.71.8–9.6
2018	167.9137.3–197.7	5.21.3–12.6
2019	175.4136.6–201.5	5.11.6–11.3
2020	174.1132.8–206.2	5.61.9–10.8
2021	173.4149–204	4.51.4–10.4
2022	179.9147.4–206.6	6.31.9–12.3
2023	175.9143.4–203.4	6.82.3–12.9
2024	185.5154.5–217.4	61.9–11.4
2025	180.8148.5–207.8	5.41.7–13.2
2026	184.8125.9–213.3	6.12–14.7
2027	185.6144.6–214.2	7.52.5–14.1
2028	189.4147.6–221.4	6.62.3–13.4
2029	188.6155.5–213.2	7.71.8–16
2030	188.2153.3–224.2	72.4–15.7
2031	190.7158.2–220	7.22.9–14.6
2032	189.7144.5–222.8	7.73.1–19.1
2033	190.6150.8–223.1	8.83.1–16.9
2034	182.7151.2–226.6	9.43.5–18.6
2035	195.9147–222.6	9.54–19.4
2036	191.3152.7–227.7	7.73–15.4
2037	198.5161.4–227.4	10.14–18
2038	200.4157.8–231.7	10.15–17.2
2039	191.9165.2–229.3	9.63.5–19.5
2040	199.4166.4–229.5	8.33.6–18.8
2041	202.3167.7–230.7	9.13.8–19
2042	201.6158.8–230.6	10.95.4–21.4
2043	196171.6–228	10.53.5–19.2
2044	204.2159.8–236.6	10.33.5–21.1
2045	205.6165.3–232.4	9.34.2–18.7
2046	206.7168.7–236.9	11.73.8–20.8
2047	212.3165.8–237.4	12.64.4–24.6
2048	209.2175.1–235.8	12.95.5–23.9
2049	202.6175.1–236.6	12.34.8–23.1
2050	205.7170.1–250.8	13.35–24.3
2051	206173.1–245.1	13.46.8–25.4
2052	216167.4–251.3	14.96.6–26.1
2053	209.8164.8–248	13.35.3–27
2054	216175.1–253.5	14.36.1–29.8
2055	212.6179.6–249.1	17.36.2–30.3
2056	217.5177.9–254.9	15.35.4–29.9
2057	225.7184.4–260.6	16.86.5–27.9
2058	218.7182–255.8	15.76.3–31.7
2059	217.4186.9–255.5	16.48.1–29.1
2060	217.2181.4–253.1	14.85.7–28.4
2061	223182.6–263.1	156.3–28.7
2062	217.6182–260.7	15.97.6–32.4
2063	223.4187.5–260	198–34.3
2064	224.2183–252.2	177.6–27.5
2065	225.1190.1–255.2	18.19–34.7
2066	227.3190.1–263.3	17.66.9–35.1
2067	219.3187.3–256.8	15.87.1–31.2
2068	224.6179.7–260	19.87–39.1
2069	219.3179–264.3	19.66.1–36
2070	224.3183.9–265.6	198.1–38.8
2071	226.6183.6–266.4	19.67.3–40.8
2072	229.4193.4–265.8	21.58–38.1
2073	230194.7–270.6	23.48.7–42.3
2074	224.9185–275.2	208.4–40.3
2075	238.9189.1–262.1	208.7–36.6
2076	231.6194.9–271.7	24.29.4–38.2
2077	241.9190.8–279.1	21.78.3–40
2078	234.6189.9–278.6	22.310.2–42.8
2079	230.6194.9–269.2	217.4–39.9
2080	239.5189.7–275.3	25.17.6–41.3
2081	234.4190–280.1	22.18.9–38.4
2082	230197.6–277.7	22.29.7–36.4
2083	236.9200.8–270	21.69.8–41.3
2084	232.8200.8–273.8	239.5–39
2085	244.3201.6–278.9	25.210.3–46.6
2086	236.6192.9–281.6	22.311.7–41.2
2087	236.3186.9–275.1	24.910.5–44.3
2088	233.1189.9–280.9	24.87.7–48.5
2089	229.4191.6–282.5	26.29.8–52.5
2090	238.6197.4–278.1	26.610.2–49.3
2091	241.2205.8–274.6	26.59.7–52.9
2092	247.9196–276.6	26.99.5–48.7
2093	243195.2–289.1	26.28.8–53.6
2094	245.7207.9–277.4	26.710.8–45.3
2095	250.4189.1–284.6	28.112.6–44.9
2096	238.4206.4–283.7	25.19.8–51
2097	231.9194–278.5	22.99.9–47.2
2098	240.9202.3–274.2	26.79.7–47
2099	244.4202.7–283.6	2810.4–48.3
2100	245.7203.3–288.4	29.312.2–51.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time