Burkina Faso vs Madagascar: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 306.2 nights in Burkina Faso and 138.3 nights in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Burkina Faso, by 167.9 nights, or 2.21 times that in Madagascar.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Burkina FasoMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Burkina Faso has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Burkina Faso at 341.5 nights and Madagascar at 198.5 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Burkina Faso	Madagascar
2014	306.2	138.3
2013	299.1	138
2012	307.8	138.3
2011	305	136.8
2010	303.3	134.2
2009	300.5	133.5
2008	301	132.3
2007	299.3	133.1
2006	298.1	131.6
2005	296.5	130.3
2004	294.5	133.5
2003	300.9	131
2002	297.7	131.8
2001	301.4	131.7
2000	295.9	127.4
1999	291.5	128.4
1998	290.8	128.6
1997	291.6	125.3
1996	287.9	121.8
1995	288.6	123.3
1994	285.2	121.8
1993	284.9	116
1992	283.1	116.6
1991	289.7	124.9
1990	292.7	126.2
1989	284.6	124
1988	284.4	123.8
1987	286.1	122.8
1986	289.8	123.8
1985	286.2	120
1984	284.2	118.6
1983	280.7	116.5
1982	284	121.8
1981	285.9	122.1
1980	282.6	120.3
1979	283.1	120.7
1978	283.8	119.3
1977	288.8	119
1976	280.6	117.4
1975	282.6	116.5
1974	280.3	119.5
1973	282.4	119
1972	280.9	117
1971	279.4	116.3
1970	283.1	117
1969	276.3	116.3
1968	279.9	113.1
1967	279.9	113
1966	276.7	114.1
1965	279.7	112.2
1964	277.3	109.6
1963	277.8	109.7
1962	283	115.3
1961	279.6	118.5
1960	284.1	118.2
1959	280.9	119
1958	279.2	118.7
1957	282.7	117.6
1956	281.5	115.5
1955	281.1	116.6
1954	283.2	115.9
1953	280.3	116.4
1952	277	117.4
1951	281.4	116
1950	276.6	116.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Burkina Faso	Madagascar
2015	301.5278.6–322.3	142.8126.7–159.3
2016	301.6278.8–316.1	137.8122.2–156
2017	304.7279.1–320.9	143.1125.6–159.4
2018	305.6287.7–324.5	143.7125.9–160.3
2019	299.1275.1–327.4	143.4124.4–162.3
2020	301.4280.4–326.7	143.4125.2–159
2021	306.3286.3–324.6	145.4128.8–160.4
2022	309.9284.7–326.3	150.4133.4–165.2
2023	303.9284.2–324.9	149.7132.1–166
2024	314.6290.4–329.4	150.7131.4–167.9
2025	309.1286.3–326.7	149128.8–169.1
2026	308.4284.8–333.8	150.1127.4–169.9
2027	309.4290.1–329.6	151.8131.9–170.8
2028	315.7291.3–332.1	154.9137.7–173.1
2029	312.7293.8–332.6	155.7135.2–173.8
2030	314.8294–329.7	154.8136.4–171.3
2031	318.3294.9–335.1	158.1141.3–174.8
2032	316.8288.4–334.4	157.9136.2–178.4
2033	319.5291.6–336.9	158.9136.7–177.8
2034	315290.8–331.4	158.6140.6–179.6
2035	316.3295.4–337	161.1140.2–181.6
2036	316.2292.5–340.3	159.5139.4–177.1
2037	320.9298–335.8	165.8144.7–182.8
2038	321.6302.1–336.1	166.5149.3–183.9
2039	316.9300.1–335.4	164.1145.1–183.9
2040	320.6297.4–338.4	162.8144.5–184.8
2041	319.7303.1–340.8	165.8143.5–183.9
2042	319.4297.9–340.3	165.1144.3–188.4
2043	319.5297.3–335.6	165.6148.5–184.7
2044	325.1301.2–341.9	167.3145.8–187
2045	320.6300.1–341.4	166.9147.1–187.1
2046	324.4302.8–338	171.4149.6–193
2047	324304.1–344.8	171.7148.8–193.4
2048	323.9307–341.3	173.7151.7–193.6
2049	330.1308–342.5	172.2151.4–192.9
2050	326.2302.4–342.3	174.4150.5–193.6
2051	325308.4–342.8	175154.3–195.1
2052	323.3305.7–342.2	176153.8–196.7
2053	326.1303.8–343.8	176.6151.1–197.8
2054	329.9306.2–346.3	175.5152.8–199.2
2055	326.1306.7–341.6	179.2157.3–196.8
2056	330.4305.8–346.1	178.8156.5–199.7
2057	332.8310.2–349.5	177.7155.5–201
2058	326.9308.7–346.1	180.5158.9–202.4
2059	330.9312.9–352.1	181.8158.3–202.5
2060	329.8309.1–348.3	185.1159.5–207.8
2061	330.4308.6–349.7	180.6157.6–203.8
2062	328.9306.7–344.4	180.6157.1–205.6
2063	333.4307.6–347.8	185156.8–210.7
2064	330.5311.7–352.2	184.7159.1–205.7
2065	331.3316.3–351.2	183.8157.1–208.5
2066	331.6311.1–348.1	187.3159.6–211
2067	331.4306.8–349.9	184.9155.9–208.9
2068	334.9313.7–353.8	187.5161.7–211.1
2069	332.4314.1–345.4	187.5162–211.3
2070	333.5312–349	187.8160.4–213.6
2071	335.3312.3–348.8	190.7162.7–216.6
2072	339.6318.4–350.6	191.8168.2–215.8
2073	333.6312.8–348	191.4168.7–214.5
2074	332.2311.4–348.7	189.4162.6–217.7
2075	333.1316.8–350.7	189.3163.8–214.2
2076	336.1315.6–349.7	191.1164.3–214
2077	339.7315.9–354.5	191.9168.8–217.1
2078	338.9318.9–348.4	190.1166.5–219.3
2079	335.1319.3–350.6	190.1163.7–216.2
2080	339.1316–355.1	194.8167.7–219.4
2081	336.1310.9–352.7	191.7166.7–218.1
2082	336.1315.8–351.3	193.8169.2–216.7
2083	337.4319.9–355.5	194.6166.1–218.1
2084	336318.8–355.3	197.9170–219.7
2085	339.7318.5–356.3	197.8172.3–223.7
2086	338.9318.1–353.1	192.9169.6–220
2087	338.2316.6–354.8	195.2170.4–220.1
2088	336.6315.1–351.8	198.1165.1–225.5
2089	335.9318.8–351.7	196.3167.9–227.6
2090	337.9315.4–354.2	197.5172.4–228.1
2091	338.3313.7–354.4	199.2172.7–226.7
2092	337.5312.4–353.6	202.4170.7–226.6
2093	341.4319.5–355.1	202.1172.3–230.5
2094	340.2317–355.9	198.3168.6–224
2095	338.6317.5–354.7	200.7171.7–225.1
2096	337.1318.6–358.2	199.8173.6–226.3
2097	336.6312.6–351.9	201.2170–227.6
2098	336.1315.6–354.2	201.1170.7–227.2
2099	337.9322.1–353.7	198.3173.8–225.8
2100	341.5313.9–356.9	198.5173.3–227.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time