Canada vs Kenya: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.5 nights in Canada and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 245.1 nights, or 460 times that in Canada.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

CanadaKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 4.1 nights and Kenya at 277 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Canada	Kenya
2014	0.5	245.6
2013	0.4	245.4
2012	0.5	244.7
2011	0.5	245
2010	0.4	243.8
2009	0.5	242.3
2008	0.4	240.3
2007	0.4	240.9
2006	0.5	241.5
2005	0.4	241.2
2004	0.4	241.8
2003	0.4	240.8
2002	0.4	240.7
2001	0.3	242
2000	0.3	239.5
1999	0.4	237.8
1998	0.3	239.2
1997	0.3	236.9
1996	0.3	234.2
1995	0.3	232.9
1994	0.2	231.9
1993	0.2	227.4
1992	0.1	224.8
1991	0.2	233.8
1990	0.3	236.4
1989	0.2	234.5
1988	0.2	233.1
1987	0.2	232.6
1986	0.2	233
1985	0.2	228.7
1984	0.2	230.2
1983	0.1	226.7
1982	0.1	230.6
1981	0.2	232.9
1980	0.2	231.3
1979	0.2	229.6
1978	0.2	228.7
1977	0.2	229.9
1976	0.1	227.8
1975	0.3	225.9
1974	0.2	230.5
1973	0.2	230.4
1972	0.2	228.7
1971	0.1	226
1970	0.2	226.3
1969	0.1	225.9
1968	0.1	222.9
1967	0.1	224
1966	0.2	225.2
1965	0.2	224.2
1964	0.1	221.8
1963	0.2	220.2
1962	0.2	227.2
1961	0.3	228.3
1960	0.2	228.8
1959	0.2	228.3
1958	0.2	229.1
1957	0.2	228
1956	0.2	225.5
1955	0.2	228.7
1954	0.2	227.4
1953	0.1	227.6
1952	0.2	228.5
1951	0.2	228.3
1950	0.2	226.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Canada	Kenya
2015	0.60.1–1.9	246.9232.3–256.1
2016	0.60.2–1.9	244.9230.1–255
2017	0.60.1–2	248.1233.1–257.7
2018	0.60.2–1.8	248.7237–257.4
2019	0.60.2–1.9	247.1234.8–256.7
2020	0.60.1–2	248.6233.2–259.2
2021	0.60.1–1.9	249.5236.3–258.1
2022	0.80.3–2.3	251.5239.7–259.5
2023	0.80.2–2.5	251.8239–260.8
2024	0.70.1–2.6	254.2239.1–263
2025	0.90.2–2.5	251.5238.1–261.8
2026	10.2–3.1	252.2237.2–263.3
2027	0.90.2–3.3	252.8238.4–263.8
2028	10.3–2.6	254.9241.9–264.2
2029	10.3–3	256243.4–264.6
2030	10.2–2.7	253.6240.6–263.1
2031	0.90.2–2.7	256244.7–264.4
2032	1.10.3–3.3	257243.8–267.1
2033	1.10.4–3	256241.8–265.9
2034	1.10.3–3.1	256.2241.2–267.9
2035	1.30.3–3.8	256.7243.3–266.7
2036	1.30.3–4	256.2242.4–266.7
2037	10.3–3.3	258.7245.9–268.4
2038	1.10.3–3.9	260.3244.5–268.9
2039	1.10.3–3.5	259244.4–268
2040	1.40.3–4.9	258.3246.2–269.8
2041	1.30.4–3.7	260.7244.8–271.2
2042	1.20.4–3.9	260.3246.5–272.7
2043	1.20.3–4.5	259246.6–270.5
2044	1.60.5–4.3	261.2248.8–270.9
2045	1.40.4–4.2	261.8248.7–272.9
2046	1.60.4–4.9	264.8249.6–275.3
2047	1.70.6–4.8	264.4249.8–275.3
2048	1.60.5–4.1	264.2252.3–274.9
2049	1.60.4–5	265.2252.8–275.6
2050	1.70.4–5.2	263.9249.8–275.1
2051	1.80.5–6	265.4252.1–275.1
2052	20.3–5.2	266.3252.6–276.2
2053	1.50.3–4.9	265.2251–275.4
2054	1.80.4–5.7	265.2250.2–277.2
2055	20.5–5	266.8251.6–277.6
2056	1.90.5–5.8	266.2251.2–277.8
2057	20.5–5.8	266.8253–278
2058	2.10.5–6.4	266.7251.5–277.9
2059	20.6–5.9	269.8254.7–280.5
2060	2.50.8–5.6	271.1253.9–280.7
2061	2.40.6–6	267.5253.9–281.7
2062	2.60.4–6.4	268.1254–281.2
2063	2.20.6–6.4	268.9255–280.1
2064	1.70.4–6	270254.1–279.8
2065	2.40.5–7	269.4255.8–282.3
2066	2.30.5–7.4	270.6258.1–281
2067	2.40.6–6.3	270.7256.1–283
2068	2.50.5–7.9	270.2256–283
2069	2.90.8–7	269.8256.1–283.3
2070	2.30.7–7.2	270.1255.8–282.6
2071	2.40.5–7.3	271.9257.9–284.4
2072	2.50.7–7.2	273.5260.3–283.8
2073	2.60.6–7.6	273.1259.9–285.4
2074	2.60.7–7.6	271.9257.5–285.4
2075	2.60.6–7.7	271.1256.5–284.7
2076	2.80.7–7.9	274.1258.6–285.8
2077	2.90.7–8.5	273.4259–286.6
2078	2.60.8–8.4	273.1260–284.4
2079	30.7–7.4	273.3258.7–286.6
2080	2.70.8–7.5	275.5259.4–286.9
2081	31–8.6	274.7259.8–285.6
2082	3.40.7–9.1	274.8261.3–286.4
2083	3.21–9.4	274259.6–289.3
2084	2.90.8–8.4	276.8259–288.8
2085	3.51–9.1	276.2261.5–289.1
2086	3.51–9.4	275.1260–289.1
2087	3.80.9–9.5	276.2260.3–288.5
2088	3.60.7–9.2	276.8261.6–289.7
2089	3.40.9–8.5	275.9260.3–288.8
2090	3.30.8–9	275.3260.5–290.5
2091	3.91–10.6	277.7260.4–290.9
2092	3.91–10	276.2261.2–290.7
2093	3.61–9.6	276.9262–290.1
2094	3.90.6–9.2	277262.8–288.9
2095	3.71.1–11.2	278.4262.3–290.4
2096	3.91.1–10.7	277.6260.5–292
2097	41.1–10.7	277261–290.2
2098	3.71.1–10.2	277.6262.3–291.5
2099	3.81.3–9.7	277.9260.8–292.4
2100	4.11–11.5	277261.8–290.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Canada vs Kenya: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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