Canada vs Mexico: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0 days in Canada and 32.8 days in Mexico, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mexico, by 32.8 days, or 3,300 times that in Canada.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

CanadaMexicoCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mexico has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.6 days and Mexico at 67.8 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Canada	Mexico
2014	0	32.8
2013	0	31.6
2012	0	30.4
2011	0	30.5
2010	0	31.8
2009	0	30.6
2008	0	30.7
2007	0	29
2006	0	28.6
2005	0	29.2
2004	0	29.4
2003	0	27.2
2002	0	27.8
2001	0	29.6
2000	0	27.9
1999	0	26.4
1998	0	27
1997	0	26.7
1996	0	25.7
1995	0	25.1
1994	0	24.1
1993	0	21.9
1992	0	20.9
1991	0	26.5
1990	0	26.5
1989	0	24
1988	0	23.9
1987	0	25.7
1986	0	24.1
1985	0	21.9
1984	0	22
1983	0	20.7
1982	0	22.1
1981	0	23.4
1980	0	22.5
1979	0	24
1978	0	22.5
1977	0	22.8
1976	0	22.2
1975	0	21.3
1974	0	22.6
1973	0	21.7
1972	0	22.5
1971	0	21.2
1970	0	22.3
1969	0	23.1
1968	0	21.7
1967	0	22.8
1966	0	21.9
1965	0	20.3
1964	0	20.6
1963	0	22.1
1962	0	22.7
1961	0	23.5
1960	0	23.2
1959	0	23.7
1958	0	22.9
1957	0	22.3
1956	0	22.8
1955	0	23.1
1954	0	22.1
1953	0	22.5
1952	0	21.4
1951	0	22.1
1950	0	22.3

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Canada	Mexico
2015	00–0.2	35.225.3–48.5
2016	00–0.4	33.924.5–44.6
2017	00–0.2	35.424.4–46.9
2018	00–0.3	3625.2–47.9
2019	00–0.3	36.726–51.6
2020	0.10–0.3	37.325.8–50.6
2021	0.10–0.4	37.726.7–51.1
2022	0.10–0.4	37.225.5–52
2023	0.10–0.6	38.426.6–52.5
2024	00–0.3	42.228.1–55.6
2025	0.10–0.5	39.627.6–53.3
2026	0.10–0.7	39.126.4–51.8
2027	0.10–0.7	37.926.5–53.6
2028	0.10–0.5	40.127.8–55.7
2029	0.10–0.6	41.727.6–56.7
2030	0.10–0.4	39.325.9–53
2031	0.10–0.6	4127.8–56.3
2032	0.10–0.7	42.527.6–55.9
2033	0.10–0.7	42.530.2–57.1
2034	0.10–0.5	40.427.8–56.6
2035	0.10–0.9	40.528.2–56.9
2036	0.10–0.9	41.428.9–55.3
2037	0.10–0.7	44.230–59.6
2038	0.10–0.7	45.130.6–59.7
2039	0.10–0.7	4732.9–63.1
2040	0.10–1.3	46.933.9–61.8
2041	0.10–0.8	44.530.9–60.8
2042	0.10–0.7	48.633.8–64.3
2043	0.10–1	46.632.5–63.4
2044	0.20–1.3	47.234.1–63.7
2045	0.10–1.7	48.333.7–65.3
2046	0.10–1.3	5035.6–64.3
2047	0.10–1.2	51.537.2–67
2048	0.20–0.9	50.235.3–67.1
2049	0.10–1.1	52.336.1–69.5
2050	0.20–1.2	50.234.4–66.5
2051	0.20–1.4	50.436.9–66.9
2052	0.10–1	5235.5–68.6
2053	0.10–1	5336.9–70.2
2054	0.20–1.5	52.835.8–69.3
2055	0.20–1.3	54.437.3–71.1
2056	0.20–1.3	52.837.6–69.6
2057	0.20–1.4	55.937–72
2058	0.20–1.8	51.536.7–70.5
2059	0.20–1.3	55.340.6–72.6
2060	0.20–1.3	55.739.5–73.4
2061	0.20–1.9	57.642.1–73.9
2062	0.20–1.5	5535.6–77
2063	0.20–1.8	57.641.7–77.2
2064	0.10–1.1	58.242.8–75
2065	0.30–1.7	59.540.3–79
2066	0.20–2.1	57.940.6–76.3
2067	0.20–1.8	5841.9–76.7
2068	0.30–2.3	60.343.2–79.1
2069	0.40–2.2	58.339.8–80.5
2070	0.20–2.2	60.239.8–80.8
2071	0.20–1.9	61.344.6–81.4
2072	0.30–2.2	63.144–80.9
2073	0.20–1.9	62.842.3–85.4
2074	0.20–1.6	6043.5–80.9
2075	0.30–2.6	60.842.2–80.8
2076	0.20–2.3	61.242.4–83.6
2077	0.30–2.6	60.843.2–79.8
2078	0.30–2.6	64.744.4–86.4
2079	0.40–1.9	6646.1–87.4
2080	0.20–2.2	64.744–84.6
2081	0.40–2.2	64.845.7–84.4
2082	0.30–3	63.643.2–82.2
2083	0.30–2.8	65.140.9–89.7
2084	0.20–2.3	65.446.4–86.3
2085	0.40–2.2	65.744.8–85.9
2086	0.40.1–2.9	64.644.8–85.1
2087	0.40–2.9	64.644.4–84.2
2088	0.50–2.8	6545.7–86.5
2089	0.30–2.1	66.644.2–87.9
2090	0.40–3	66.246–89
2091	0.50–3.1	6946.6–92.4
2092	0.60.1–3.2	67.746–86.5
2093	0.40–2.5	66.846.9–91.6
2094	0.40–2.7	67.546.7–92.1
2095	0.50.1–3.6	70.149.8–93.9
2096	0.50–2.8	68.547.9–91.7
2097	0.50.1–3.4	67.346–89.7
2098	0.50.1–3.3	71.348.2–95.2
2099	0.40.1–2.6	68.349.1–91.5
2100	0.60–4.6	67.846.4–88.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Canada vs Mexico: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Canada vs Mexico

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