Canada vs Mexico

Canada vs Mexico: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 21.7 °C in Mexico, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mexico, by 24.2 °C.

°C · ERA5

Canada vs Mexico: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 21.7 °C in Mexico, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Mexico, by 24.2 °C.
CanadaMexicoCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Mexico has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and Mexico ranked 134 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and Mexico at 23.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.221.722
2024-1.8-22221.9
2023-1.8-2.321.721.9
2022-3.6-2.32121.9
2021-2.8-2.421.321.9
2020-3.6-2.521.621.9
2019-3.6-2.721.421.9
2018-4.2-2.721.121.8
2017-3.2-2.621.421.7
2016-2.7-2.721.221.6
2015-3.5-2.721.121.6
2014-4.1-2.62121.4
2013-4-2.920.821.5
2012-3-2.921.221.4
2011-3.4-321.321.4
2010-1.7-320.521.4
2009-4-3.121.221.4
2008-4.2-320.721.3
2007-4-3.120.721.2
2006-2.3-3.42121.2
2005-3.2-3.12121.3
2004-4.9-3.120.421.3
2003-3.7-3.120.921.2
2002-4.3-3.420.821.2
2001-3-3.420.721.2
2000-4.1-3.520.821.2
1999-3.3-3.420.721.1
1998-2.6-3.62121
1997-4.2-3.620.421.1
1996-4.9-3.920.820.9
1995-4.2-4.12120.9
1994-4.3-4.12120.8
1993-4.4-4.520.520.7
1992-5-4.620.120.6
1991-4.4-420.220.9
1990-5-3.720.421
1989-5-4.120.420.9
1988-4.1-4.420.220.9
1987-3.3-419.820.9
1986-4.8-4.220.120.8
1985-4.8-4.42020.7
1984-4.5-4.419.920.6
1983-4.7-4.62020.5
1982-5.8-4.220.520.6
1981-2.8-4.220.120.8
1980-4.4-4.420.520.7
1979-4.9-4.320.120.8
1978-5.4-4.420.120.7
1977-3.9-4.420.220.7
1976-4.9-4.719.420.7
1975-4.9-4.319.820.6
1974-5.6-4.419.920.6
1973-4-4.619.620.6
1972-6.8-4.720.220.6
1971-4.8-4.519.920.6
1970-5-4.419.920.6
1969-4.4-4.420.220.6
1968-4.7-4.819.620.6
1967-5.4-4.62020.6
1966-5.1-4.519.520.6
1965-5.5-4.619.820.5
1964-5.4-4.719.720.4
1963-4.6-4.52020.6
1962-4.8-4.520.220.6
1961-5-4.419.820.7
1960-4.4-4.519.820.7
1959-5.2-4.619.720.7
1958-4.2-4.219.920.7
1957-4.9-4.520.420.7
1956-5.7-4.419.920.7
1955-4.9-4.219.920.6
1954-4.7-4.520.320.6
1953-4.1-4.420.120.6
1952-4.1-4.419.920.5
1951-5.5-4.420.320.7
1950-6-4.320.320.6
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianMexicoMexico: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–2221.4–22.6
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–2221.4–22.7
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–22.121.5–22.7
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–22.121.6–22.7
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–22.221.4–22.7
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–22.121.5–22.8
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–22.221.5–22.7
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–22.321.6–22.9
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–22.221.7–22.9
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–22.221.5–22.9
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–22.321.8–22.8
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–22.421.5–23
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–22.421.7–23.1
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–22.521.8–23.2
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–22.521.9–23.1
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–22.521.7–23.1
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–22.621.9–23.2
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–22.622–23.2
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–22.521.9–23.1
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–22.621.9–23.3
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–22.622–23.3
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–22.722.1–23.5
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–22.722.1–23.4
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–22.822.1–23.5
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–22.822.1–23.5
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–22.922.2–23.5
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–22.822.1–23.5
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–22.922.1–23.7
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–2322.2–23.6
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–2322.2–23.7
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–22.922.2–23.7
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–2322.1–23.7
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–22.922.2–23.6
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–22.922.3–23.7
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–2322.3–23.7
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–2322.4–23.7
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–2322.1–23.9
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–23.122.4–23.9
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–23.122.5–23.9
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–23.222.3–23.9
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–23.222.4–23.9
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–23.222.5–24
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–23.222.4–24
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–23.222.3–24
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–23.322.4–24.1
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–23.422.5–24.2
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–23.422.5–24.1
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–23.422.4–24.2
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–23.322.6–24.1
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–23.422.4–24.1
2076–-0-2–2.1–23.322.4–24.3
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–23.422.4–24.1
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–23.522.6–24.3
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–23.522.6–24.4
2080–0-1.9–2–23.522.6–24.5
2081–0.1-2–2.2–23.522.7–24.3
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–23.522.6–24.3
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–23.522.5–24.5
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–23.522.7–24.5
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–23.522.7–24.3
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–23.522.6–24.4
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–23.522.6–24.4
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–23.622.7–24.3
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–23.622.6–24.5
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–23.622.6–24.5
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–23.722.7–24.6
2092–0.5-1.5–3–23.622.7–24.4
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–23.622.7–24.6
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–23.722.9–24.6
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–23.823–24.6
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–23.722.8–24.6
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–23.622.7–24.7
2098–0.9-1.2–3–23.822.9–24.6
2099–0.5-1.5–3–23.722.7–24.6
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–23.722.8–24.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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