Canada vs United States

Canada vs United States: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 10.5 °C in United States, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United States, by 13.1 °C.

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°C · ERA5

Canada vs United States: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: -2.6 °C in Canada and 10.5 °C in United States, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in United States, by 13.1 °C.
CanadaUnited StatesCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • United States has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Canada ranked 232 and United States ranked 197 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Canada at 0.8 °C and United States at 13.3 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited StatesUnited States: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025-2.6-2.210.511.2
2024-1.8-210.811
2023-1.8-2.310.511
2022-3.6-2.31011.2
2021-2.8-2.410.311.1
2020-3.6-2.510.310.9
2019-3.6-2.71010.9
2018-4.2-2.710.210.9
2017-3.2-2.610.510.7
2016-2.7-2.710.910.7
2015-3.5-2.710.510.7
2014-4.1-2.69.610.8
2013-4-2.99.310.5
2012-3-2.910.410.5
2011-3.4-39.610.5
2010-1.7-39.610.6
2009-4-3.19.210.4
2008-4.2-3910.3
2007-4-3.11010.3
2006-2.3-3.41010.3
2005-3.2-3.19.910.4
2004-4.9-3.19.610.3
2003-3.7-3.19.710.3
2002-4.3-3.49.710.2
2001-3-3.49.610.2
2000-4.1-3.59.510.1
1999-3.3-3.49.410.1
1998-2.6-3.69.99.9
1997-4.2-3.699.9
1996-4.9-3.98.79.8
1995-4.2-4.19.49.7
1994-4.3-4.19.49.6
1993-4.4-4.58.99.4
1992-5-4.699.3
1991-4.4-49.59.7
1990-5-3.79.69.8
1989-5-4.18.99.6
1988-4.1-4.49.39.6
1987-3.3-49.69.7
1986-4.8-4.29.59.5
1985-4.8-4.48.69.5
1984-4.5-4.48.79.3
1983-4.7-4.68.99.2
1982-5.8-4.28.59.5
1981-2.8-4.29.79.5
1980-4.4-4.49.19.4
1979-4.9-4.38.69.6
1978-5.4-4.48.79.4
1977-3.9-4.49.29.4
1976-4.9-4.78.69.2
1975-4.9-4.38.49.4
1974-5.6-4.48.89.3
1973-4-4.68.99.2
1972-6.8-4.78.39.2
1971-4.8-4.58.49.4
1970-5-4.48.69.4
1969-4.4-4.48.79.2
1968-4.7-4.88.49
1967-5.4-4.68.89.2
1966-5.1-4.58.49.3
1965-5.5-4.68.59
1964-5.4-4.78.48.9
1963-4.6-4.599.2
1962-4.8-4.58.89.3
1961-5-4.48.59.4
1960-4.4-4.58.69.4
1959-5.2-4.68.89.4
1958-4.2-4.28.99.5
1957-4.9-4.59.19.4
1956-5.7-4.48.69.6
1955-4.9-4.28.59.4
1954-4.7-4.59.39.4
1953-4.1-4.49.59.4
1952-4.1-4.48.99.3
1951-5.5-4.48.49.6
1950-6-4.38.69.4
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearCanadaCanada: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUnited StatesUnited States: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–-2.2-3.6–-0.3–11.110–12.3
2027–-2.2-3.6–-0.5–11.310–12.7
2028–-2.2-3.8–-0.8–11.210.1–12.5
2029–-2.1-3.4–-0.6–11.410.2–12.5
2030–-2.2-3.7–-0.6–11.410.2–12.5
2031–-2.1-3.6–-0.6–11.410.1–12.6
2032–-1.9-3.5–-0.4–11.310.2–12.5
2033–-2-3.4–-0.7–11.410.4–12.6
2034–-1.8-3–-0.6–11.510.5–12.6
2035–-1.7-3.1–-0.3–11.610.2–12.7
2036–-1.8-3.2–-0.3–11.610.5–12.8
2037–-1.7-3.3–-0.1–11.510.3–12.8
2038–-1.7-3.3–0.2–11.810.5–12.9
2039–-1.5-3.1–0.2–11.810.6–12.9
2040–-1.6-3.1–0.2–11.810.7–12.8
2041–-1.3-2.7–0.1–11.810.6–13
2042–-1.5-2.8–0.2–11.810.6–13.1
2043–-1.5-2.9–0.4–11.910.6–13.1
2044–-1.2-2.6–0.5–1210.7–13.2
2045–-1.5-3.1–0.2–1210.9–13.4
2046–-1-2.6–0.8–12.110.7–13.4
2047–-1-2.6–0.6–1210.7–13.5
2048–-1.2-2.7–0.6–1210.8–13.4
2049–-0.9-2.3–0.7–12.211–13.4
2050–-1.1-2.7–0.9–12.210.9–13.6
2051–-1.2-2.7–0.8–12.211–13.4
2052–-0.9-2.4–0.9–12.110.8–13.5
2053–-0.9-2.9–0.8–12.210.9–13.5
2054–-1.2-2.7–1.1–12.211–13.5
2055–-0.7-2.5–1–12.310.8–13.6
2056–-1.1-3.1–0.9–12.410.9–13.7
2057–-0.8-2.4–1.2–12.410.9–13.8
2058–-0.7-2.4–1.4–12.511.3–13.7
2059–-0.5-1.9–1.4–12.511.2–13.6
2060–-0.4-1.9–1.2–12.311.2–13.8
2061–-0.3-2.2–1.5–12.611.3–13.9
2062–-0.5-2.4–1.7–12.511.1–14
2063–-0.5-1.9–1.5–12.611.3–14
2064–-0.6-2.3–1.5–12.411.1–13.7
2065–-0.5-2.1–1.8–12.511.2–14
2066–-0.4-2–2.1–12.711.3–13.9
2067–-0.4-1.9–1.5–12.611.5–14.1
2068–-0.3-1.8–2.1–12.811.3–14.1
2069–-0.1-2.1–1.8–12.711.2–14.1
2070–-0.4-2–2.1–12.811.4–14.4
2071–-0.3-2.1–2–12.711.2–14.2
2072–-0-1.8–2.2–12.811.5–14.2
2073–0.1-1.9–2.5–12.911.2–14.5
2074–-0-1.6–2.2–12.811.5–14.4
2075–-0.3-1.9–1.9–12.811.1–14.4
2076–-0-2–2.1–12.811.5–14.4
2077–0.1-1.7–2.5–12.911.5–14.4
2078–-0-1.5–2.5–1311.6–14.4
2079–-0.1-1.8–2.3–1311.6–14.4
2080–0-1.9–2–1311.7–14.5
2081–0.1-2–2.2–12.911.6–14.4
2082–0.2-1.5–2.3–13.111.7–14.6
2083–0.1-1.5–2.3–1311.5–14.6
2084–0.2-1.5–2.4–1311.6–14.7
2085–0.5-1.7–2.8–13.111.7–14.6
2086–0.5-1.3–2.7–13.211.8–14.6
2087–0.4-1.4–2.6–13.311.9–14.8
2088–0.3-1.8–2.5–13.111.6–14.5
2089–0.3-1.6–2.4–13.111.6–14.7
2090–0.3-1.9–2.3–13.311.7–14.7
2091–0.4-1.3–2.7–13.311.9–14.8
2092–0.5-1.5–3–13.211.6–14.7
2093–0.5-1.5–2.9–13.311.8–14.9
2094–0.5-1.6–2.9–13.311.9–14.8
2095–0.6-1.2–3.2–13.512–14.9
2096–0.7-1.3–3.3–13.411.9–15
2097–0.8-1.1–2.9–13.311.7–15.2
2098–0.9-1.2–3–13.311.8–14.9
2099–0.5-1.5–3–13.311.9–14.8
2100–0.8-1.4–3.2–13.311.9–15.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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