China vs France: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 12.3 °C in France, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 4.1 °C, or 1.49 times that in China.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

ChinaFranceCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

France has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and France at 13.7 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

Year	China	China: CMIP6 historical run, model median	France	France: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2025	8.3	7.9	12.3	12.1
2024	8.4	7.9	12.2	11.9
2023	8	7.8	12.8	11.9
2022	7.8	7.8	13	12.3
2021	7.8	7.7	11.4	12.1
2020	7.6	7.7	12.6	12
2019	7.6	7.7	12.2	12
2018	7.5	7.6	12.4	11.9
2017	7.8	7.7	11.8	11.6
2016	7.8	7.5	11.6	11.9
2015	7.7	7.5	12.1	11.7
2014	7.4	7.3	12.3	11.5
2013	7.4	7.5	10.9	11.7
2012	6.6	7.4	11.3	11.4
2011	6.9	7.4	12.2	11.6
2010	7.2	7.3	10.4	11.6
2009	7.4	7.2	11.5	11.6
2008	7.2	7.1	11.1	11.6
2007	7.7	7.1	11.5	11.5
2006	7.6	7.2	11.8	11.6
2005	7	7.3	11.2	11.5
2004	7.3	7.1	11.2	11.4
2003	7.1	7.1	12	11.4
2002	7.3	7.1	11.7	11.2
2001	7.2	7.2	11.3	11.3
2000	6.8	7	11.6	11.3
1999	7.4	6.9	11.5	11.1
1998	7.6	6.9	11	11.1
1997	6.9	6.9	11.7	11
1996	6.5	6.8	10.4	11
1995	6.8	6.7	11.4	10.9
1994	7.2	6.6	11.9	10.9
1993	6.6	6.3	10.6	10.6
1992	6.4	6.2	10.9	10.6
1991	6.7	6.7	10.5	11
1990	7	6.8	11.6	11
1989	6.6	6.7	11.7	11
1988	6.7	6.6	11.1	10.8
1987	6.8	6.6	10.3	10.9
1986	6.3	6.5	10.3	10.5
1985	6.1	6.5	9.9	10.6
1984	6.1	6.3	10.2	10.8
1983	6.3	6.1	10.9	10.6
1982	6.6	6.5	11.2	10.6
1981	6.4	6.5	10.6	10.7
1980	6.3	6.5	9.8	10.8
1979	6.5	6.4	10.1	10.6
1978	6.5	6.5	10.1	10.7
1977	6.2	6.4	10.6	10.4
1976	5.9	6.2	10.9	10.3
1975	6.6	6.4	10.5	10.6
1974	6.1	6.5	10.6	10.8
1973	6.5	6.4	10.3	10.6
1972	6.1	6.3	10	10.5
1971	6.2	6.3	10.3	10.4
1970	6	6.3	10.4	10.3
1969	6	6.3	10.3	10.4
1968	6.1	6.3	10.4	10.4
1967	5.8	6.4	10.6	10.5
1966	6.2	6.4	10.8	10.5
1965	6.2	6.2	10	10.4
1964	6.3	6.3	10.5	10.4
1963	6.5	6.5	9.5	10.6
1962	6.2	6.5	10	10.6
1961	6.5	6.6	11.6	10.6
1960	6.4	6.5	10.7	10.5
1959	6.5	6.5	11.5	10.7
1958	6.5	6.4	10.7	10.6
1957	5.7	6.6	10.8	10.5
1956	5.7	6.6	9.5	10.7
1955	6.2	6.6	10.8	10.7
1954	6.1	6.5	9.9	10.5
1953	7	6.5	10.5	10.5
1952	6.3	6.4	10.5	10.7
1951	6.5	6.5	10.3	10.6
1950	6.7	6.6	10.7	10.7

12.3Projected

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100

Year	China	China: CMIP6 historical run, model median	France	France: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026	–	7.97.1–9	–	12.311.4–13.4
2027	–	87.2–8.9	–	12.211.6–13.3
2028	–	8.17.1–9.1	–	12.211.5–13.5
2029	–	8.17.3–9	–	12.211.4–13.1
2030	–	8.17.3–8.9	–	12.111.3–13
2031	–	8.17.2–9	–	12.111.3–13.2
2032	–	8.27.4–9	–	12.511.5–13.4
2033	–	8.37.4–9	–	12.311.3–13.3
2034	–	8.37.4–9.3	–	12.511.4–13.5
2035	–	8.37.4–9.3	–	12.411.4–13.5
2036	–	8.37.5–9.2	–	12.511.7–13.7
2037	–	8.47.5–9.4	–	12.411.5–13.2
2038	–	8.57.6–9.3	–	12.411.7–13.2
2039	–	8.57.5–9.5	–	12.411.5–13.2
2040	–	8.57.6–9.5	–	12.311.5–13.6
2041	–	8.57.6–9.6	–	12.311.7–13.3
2042	–	8.57.5–9.6	–	12.411.7–13.5
2043	–	8.57.6–9.7	–	12.511.3–13.7
2044	–	8.77.7–9.7	–	12.511.4–13.7
2045	–	8.77.8–9.6	–	12.612–13.5
2046	–	8.87.8–9.7	–	12.511.5–13.4
2047	–	8.87.8–9.8	–	12.811.7–13.5
2048	–	8.97.9–9.9	–	12.712.1–13.7
2049	–	8.87.8–10	–	12.611.9–14.2
2050	–	97.8–10.1	–	12.912.2–13.7
2051	–	98.1–10	–	12.811.5–13.9
2052	–	8.87.9–9.8	–	12.811.7–14
2053	–	98–10	–	12.911.7–13.8
2054	–	98.1–10.1	–	12.811.9–13.8
2055	–	98.1–10.1	–	12.911.9–14
2056	–	9.28.2–10.3	–	12.811.6–14.3
2057	–	9.27.8–10.3	–	12.911.8–14.3
2058	–	9.18.2–10.2	–	13.112.3–14.4
2059	–	9.28.1–10.4	–	1311.8–14.1
2060	–	9.28.1–10.4	–	13.212.3–13.8
2061	–	9.28.2–10.3	–	13.312.3–14.1
2062	–	9.38.3–10.6	–	13.212–14.2
2063	–	9.38.3–10.4	–	13.412.2–14.2
2064	–	9.28.3–10.3	–	12.812–13.9
2065	–	9.38.3–10.4	–	13.111.7–14.5
2066	–	9.38.3–10.4	–	13.112.1–14.4
2067	–	9.38.3–10.5	–	13.412–14.5
2068	–	9.68.4–10.7	–	13.212.4–14.6
2069	–	9.68.3–10.7	–	13.512.3–14.5
2070	–	9.48.3–10.7	–	13.112.1–14.8
2071	–	9.58.3–10.9	–	13.312–14.7
2072	–	9.58.3–10.8	–	13.312.5–14.6
2073	–	9.78.5–10.8	–	13.312.4–14.5
2074	–	9.78.4–11	–	13.412.2–14.6
2075	–	9.68.5–10.9	–	1312.1–14.4
2076	–	9.68.5–10.8	–	13.312.2–14.9
2077	–	9.78.7–11	–	13.112–14.4
2078	–	9.68.6–11	–	13.212.3–15
2079	–	9.78.5–11	–	13.212.1–14.8
2080	–	9.78.6–10.9	–	13.312.4–14.7
2081	–	9.68.6–11.1	–	13.312.3–14.8
2082	–	9.78.6–11	–	13.412.3–14.8
2083	–	9.98.9–11.1	–	13.412.4–14.5
2084	–	9.98.5–11.1	–	13.512.4–14.5
2085	–	9.88.6–11.3	–	13.712.6–14.5
2086	–	9.98.5–11.2	–	13.612.4–14.9
2087	–	9.88.7–11.3	–	13.712.7–15.2
2088	–	9.88.7–11.3	–	13.812.6–15.3
2089	–	9.98.6–11.4	–	13.712.5–14.8
2090	–	108.9–11.2	–	13.912.6–14.9
2091	–	10.19–11.2	–	13.612.6–15
2092	–	9.98.7–11.2	–	13.612.5–14.8
2093	–	9.98.9–11.2	–	13.412.5–14.7
2094	–	108.8–11.2	–	13.512.4–15.2
2095	–	108.7–11.3	–	13.512.3–15.1
2096	–	10.18.5–11.3	–	13.912.2–15
2097	–	108.7–11.3	–	13.412.5–15.1
2098	–	9.98.9–11.4	–	13.812.5–14.9
2099	–	108.7–11.3	–	13.912.5–14.9
2100	–	108.9–11.3	–	13.712.5–14.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

China vs France: Temperature

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

Good to know

China vs France

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