China vs Kazakhstan

China vs Kazakhstan: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 9 °C in Kazakhstan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kazakhstan, by 0.8 °C, or 1.09 times that in China.

°C · ERA5

China vs Kazakhstan: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 9 °C in Kazakhstan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kazakhstan, by 0.8 °C, or 1.09 times that in China.
ChinaKazakhstanCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kazakhstan has been higher since 2025, when it overtook China.
  • In 2025, China ranked 212 and Kazakhstan ranked 206 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and Kazakhstan at 10 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKazakhstanKazakhstan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.37.997.9
20248.47.97.87.8
202387.88.87.5
20227.87.87.97.7
20217.87.77.87.5
20207.67.77.97.5
20197.67.77.87.5
20187.57.66.47.5
20177.87.77.67.6
20167.87.57.77.2
20157.77.57.97.4
20147.47.36.37.2
20137.47.58.27.3
20126.67.46.77.3
20116.97.46.37
20107.27.37.37.2
20097.47.277.2
20087.27.17.66.9
20077.77.17.87
20067.67.27.47
200577.37.66.9
20047.37.17.96.8
20037.17.16.57
20027.37.17.77.1
20017.27.27.16.7
20006.8776.6
19997.46.97.26.5
19987.66.96.56.6
19976.96.97.46.5
19966.56.85.46.7
19956.86.77.76.3
19947.26.65.86.1
19936.66.34.95.8
19926.46.265.7
19916.76.76.96.2
199076.876.4
19896.66.76.96
19886.76.66.55.9
19876.86.65.76
19866.36.56.16
19856.16.55.86.2
19846.16.35.15.3
19836.36.17.95.4
19826.66.56.55.8
19816.46.575.8
19806.36.55.96
19796.56.46.45.8
19786.56.56.25.7
19776.26.46.35.7
19765.96.24.65.7
19756.66.46.85.7
19746.16.55.55.9
19736.56.46.35.5
19726.16.34.65.6
19716.26.36.65.4
197066.35.75.5
196966.33.95.7
19686.16.35.65.5
19675.86.46.25.6
19666.26.46.15.8
19656.26.26.75.1
19646.36.35.25.6
19636.56.56.95.7
19626.26.56.85.8
19616.56.66.66
19606.46.54.55.6
19596.56.54.86.1
19586.56.45.65.4
19575.76.65.95.9
19565.76.65.45.7
19556.26.66.56.1
19546.16.54.35.7
195376.56.15.9
19526.36.45.45.7
19516.56.55.95.7
19506.76.64.86.1
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKazakhstanKazakhstan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–7.97.1–9–7.56.2–8.9
2027–87.2–8.9–8.16.5–9.2
2028–8.17.1–9.1–7.96.6–9.1
2029–8.17.3–9–7.96.6–9
2030–8.17.3–8.9–86.7–9.2
2031–8.17.2–9–8.26.9–9.3
2032–8.27.4–9–8.26.9–9.4
2033–8.37.4–9–8.16.9–9.4
2034–8.37.4–9.3–8.16.9–9.7
2035–8.37.4–9.3–86.9–9.3
2036–8.37.5–9.2–8.36.8–9.2
2037–8.47.5–9.4–8.46.6–9.4
2038–8.57.6–9.3–8.36.9–9.7
2039–8.57.5–9.5–8.17.1–9.7
2040–8.57.6–9.5–8.57.4–10
2041–8.57.6–9.6–8.56.9–10.1
2042–8.57.5–9.6–8.36.5–9.6
2043–8.57.6–9.7–8.47–9.3
2044–8.77.7–9.7–8.46.9–10
2045–8.77.8–9.6–8.47.2–10.1
2046–8.87.8–9.7–8.87.6–9.9
2047–8.87.8–9.8–8.87.4–10.3
2048–8.97.9–9.9–8.87.4–10
2049–8.87.8–10–9.17.7–10.7
2050–97.8–10.1–8.77.3–10.2
2051–98.1–10–8.87.2–10.1
2052–8.87.9–9.8–8.87.5–10
2053–98–10–9.17.8–10.4
2054–98.1–10.1–8.87.5–10.8
2055–98.1–10.1–8.87.4–10.5
2056–9.28.2–10.3–9.48–10.6
2057–9.27.8–10.3–9.17.1–10.9
2058–9.18.2–10.2–8.97.7–10.7
2059–9.28.1–10.4–9.47.7–11.1
2060–9.28.1–10.4–9.18–10.8
2061–9.28.2–10.3–8.87.6–10.5
2062–9.38.3–10.6–9.27.6–11
2063–9.38.3–10.4–9.47.5–10.8
2064–9.28.3–10.3–97.6–10.9
2065–9.38.3–10.4–9.57.9–10.7
2066–9.38.3–10.4–9.28.1–10.9
2067–9.38.3–10.5–9.37.8–11.1
2068–9.68.4–10.7–9.37.8–11.3
2069–9.68.3–10.7–9.78–11.1
2070–9.48.3–10.7–9.37.8–11.1
2071–9.58.3–10.9–9.57.8–11.2
2072–9.58.3–10.8–9.37.9–11.5
2073–9.78.5–10.8–9.48.1–11.5
2074–9.78.4–11–9.88.5–11.4
2075–9.68.5–10.9–9.48.1–11.5
2076–9.68.5–10.8–9.68.1–11.1
2077–9.78.7–11–9.68.2–11.3
2078–9.68.6–11–9.58–11.4
2079–9.78.5–11–9.68–11.4
2080–9.78.6–10.9–9.48–11
2081–9.68.6–11.1–9.28.1–11.4
2082–9.78.6–11–9.88.3–11.2
2083–9.98.9–11.1–9.98.6–11.6
2084–9.98.5–11.1–9.98.3–11.4
2085–9.88.6–11.3–9.98.3–11.6
2086–9.98.5–11.2–108.3–11.3
2087–9.88.7–11.3–108.4–11.7
2088–9.88.7–11.3–9.78.5–11.4
2089–9.98.6–11.4–9.88.6–11.6
2090–108.9–11.2–9.98.5–11.9
2091–10.19–11.2–10.37.9–11.6
2092–9.98.7–11.2–10.28.5–11.8
2093–9.98.9–11.2–10.28.8–11.6
2094–108.8–11.2–9.98.5–12.1
2095–108.7–11.3–108.7–11.9
2096–10.18.5–11.3–108.5–12.2
2097–108.7–11.3–10.18.8–12
2098–9.98.9–11.4–10.38.2–11.9
2099–108.7–11.3–108–12.1
2100–108.9–11.3–108.7–11.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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