China vs Nigeria

China vs Nigeria: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 19.5 °C, or 3.36 times that in China.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

China vs Nigeria: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 19.5 °C, or 3.36 times that in China.
ChinaNigeriaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, China ranked 212 and Nigeria ranked 16 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and Nigeria at 29.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.37.927.827.9
20248.47.927.828
202387.827.627.8
20227.87.82727.9
20217.87.727.527.8
20207.67.727.327.7
20197.67.727.327.7
20187.57.627.227.7
20177.87.727.427.7
20167.87.527.427.6
20157.77.527.327.7
20147.47.327.127.7
20137.47.527.327.7
20126.67.42727.7
20116.97.427.227.6
20107.27.327.727.6
20097.47.227.527.5
20087.27.126.827.5
20077.77.12727.4
20067.67.227.527.5
200577.327.527.4
20047.37.127.127.4
20037.17.127.127.5
20027.37.126.927.4
20017.27.226.727.6
20006.8726.727.4
19997.46.926.927.3
19987.66.927.427.3
19976.96.926.827.3
19966.56.826.827.2
19956.86.726.727.2
19947.26.626.527.1
19936.66.326.826.9
19926.46.226.226.9
19916.76.726.727.2
199076.82727.3
19896.66.726.227.1
19886.76.626.827.2
19876.86.627.427.1
19866.36.526.827.2
19856.16.526.627
19846.16.326.827.1
19836.36.126.927
19826.66.526.627.1
19816.46.526.427.1
19806.36.526.727.1
19796.56.426.627.1
19786.56.526.327
19776.26.426.527.1
19765.96.226.226.9
19756.66.42627
19746.16.526.127
19736.56.427.127.1
19726.16.326.727
19716.26.326.426.9
197066.326.527
196966.326.627
19686.16.326.327
19675.86.426.226.9
19666.26.426.826.9
19656.26.226.626.9
19646.36.326.726.7
19636.56.526.626.7
19626.26.526.327.1
19616.56.626.227
19606.46.526.627.1
19596.56.526.527
19586.56.426.527
19575.76.625.527.1
19565.76.625.826.9
19556.26.625.827
19546.16.52627
195376.525.927
19526.36.425.927
19516.56.525.927.1
19506.76.625.827
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–7.97.1–9–2827.1–28.5
2027–87.2–8.9–2827.2–28.6
2028–8.17.1–9.1–2827.5–28.6
2029–8.17.3–9–28.227.6–28.6
2030–8.17.3–8.9–28.127.4–28.7
2031–8.17.2–9–28.127.5–28.8
2032–8.27.4–9–28.127.6–28.7
2033–8.37.4–9–28.227.5–28.8
2034–8.37.4–9.3–28.127.5–28.7
2035–8.37.4–9.3–28.327.5–28.8
2036–8.37.5–9.2–28.227.5–28.8
2037–8.47.5–9.4–28.427.8–28.9
2038–8.57.6–9.3–28.527.9–29
2039–8.57.5–9.5–28.427.7–28.8
2040–8.57.6–9.5–28.327.8–29
2041–8.57.6–9.6–28.427.9–29.1
2042–8.57.5–9.6–28.527.8–29.1
2043–8.57.6–9.7–28.427.8–28.9
2044–8.77.7–9.7–28.427.8–29.2
2045–8.77.8–9.6–28.527.8–29.1
2046–8.87.8–9.7–28.727.9–29.3
2047–8.87.8–9.8–28.727.9–29.3
2048–8.97.9–9.9–28.728–29.3
2049–8.87.8–10–28.728–29.4
2050–97.8–10.1–28.628.1–29.5
2051–98.1–10–28.728.1–29.5
2052–8.87.9–9.8–28.928–29.5
2053–98–10–28.827.9–29.5
2054–98.1–10.1–28.928–29.6
2055–98.1–10.1–28.928.3–29.6
2056–9.28.2–10.3–28.928.1–29.7
2057–9.27.8–10.3–2928.2–29.8
2058–9.18.2–10.2–28.928.2–29.7
2059–9.28.1–10.4–2928.4–29.8
2060–9.28.1–10.4–2928.4–29.8
2061–9.28.2–10.3–29.128.1–29.9
2062–9.38.3–10.6–29.128.2–30
2063–9.38.3–10.4–29.128.3–29.9
2064–9.28.3–10.3–2928.3–29.9
2065–9.38.3–10.4–29.228.5–29.9
2066–9.38.3–10.4–29.228.4–30.1
2067–9.38.3–10.5–2928.3–30.2
2068–9.68.4–10.7–29.228.4–30.1
2069–9.68.3–10.7–29.228.3–30.1
2070–9.48.3–10.7–29.228.5–30.2
2071–9.58.3–10.9–29.328.5–30.3
2072–9.58.3–10.8–29.328.5–30.2
2073–9.78.5–10.8–29.428.5–30.4
2074–9.78.4–11–29.228.3–30.4
2075–9.68.5–10.9–29.428.4–30.1
2076–9.68.5–10.8–29.428.6–30.3
2077–9.78.7–11–29.628.6–30.6
2078–9.68.6–11–29.428.5–30.4
2079–9.78.5–11–29.428.7–30.2
2080–9.78.6–10.9–29.528.5–30.4
2081–9.68.6–11.1–29.528.5–30.4
2082–9.78.6–11–29.428.6–30.5
2083–9.98.9–11.1–29.528.6–30.6
2084–9.98.5–11.1–29.428.6–30.6
2085–9.88.6–11.3–29.628.7–30.6
2086–9.98.5–11.2–29.628.6–30.6
2087–9.88.7–11.3–29.528.6–30.6
2088–9.88.7–11.3–29.528.6–30.7
2089–9.98.6–11.4–29.528.7–30.7
2090–108.9–11.2–29.628.7–30.6
2091–10.19–11.2–29.728.7–30.7
2092–9.98.7–11.2–29.828.7–30.7
2093–9.98.9–11.2–29.728.8–30.7
2094–108.8–11.2–29.728.9–30.7
2095–108.7–11.3–29.928.8–30.9
2096–10.18.5–11.3–29.528.9–30.8
2097–108.7–11.3–29.528.7–30.7
2098–9.98.9–11.4–29.828.7–30.7
2099–108.7–11.3–29.728.8–30.8
2100–108.9–11.3–29.628.9–30.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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