China vs Tajikistan

China vs Tajikistan: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 2.9 °C in Tajikistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in China, by 5.3 °C, or 2.82 times that in Tajikistan.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

China vs Tajikistan: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 8.3 °C in China and 2.9 °C in Tajikistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in China, by 5.3 °C, or 2.82 times that in Tajikistan.
ChinaTajikistanCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • China has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, China ranked 212 and Tajikistan ranked 227 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts China at 10 °C and Tajikistan at 3.2 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20258.37.92.91.2
20248.47.91.31.1
202387.81.60.8
20227.87.81.70.8
20217.87.710.8
20207.67.70.30.9
20197.67.710.6
20187.57.60.80.6
20177.87.71.10.8
20167.87.51.60.6
20157.77.50.80.5
20147.47.300.5
20137.47.50.90.5
20126.67.4-0.70.4
20116.97.40.50.4
20107.27.30.50.1
20097.47.2-0.20.1
20087.27.10.4-0
20077.77.10.80.2
20067.67.20.90.2
200577.3-0.30
20047.37.10.30.1
20037.17.1-0.20.1
20027.37.10.40.3
20017.27.20.5-0.1
20006.87-0.3-0.2
19997.46.9-0.3-0
19987.66.90.5-0.2
19976.96.90.2-0.3
19966.56.8-1-0.1
19956.86.7-0.5-0.3
19947.26.6-0.2-0.5
19936.66.3-0.6-0.7
19926.46.2-0.3-0.8
19916.76.7-0.4-0.3
199076.80.7-0.4
19896.66.7-1.5-0.4
19886.76.60.2-0.6
19876.86.6-0.3-0.4
19866.36.5-0.5-0.7
19856.16.50-0.5
19846.16.3-0.3-0.9
19836.36.10-1.1
19826.66.5-0.9-0.7
19816.46.5-0-0.5
19806.36.50.5-0.6
19796.56.40.3-0.7
19786.56.50.2-0.7
19776.26.40.4-0.9
19765.96.2-0.4-1
19756.66.4-1.1-0.8
19746.16.5-1.3-0.8
19736.56.4-0.2-1
19726.16.3-1.9-0.9
19716.26.30.1-1
197066.3-0.1-1
196966.3-1-1
19686.16.3-0.6-1.2
19675.86.4-1.1-0.9
19666.26.4-0.5-1
19656.26.2-0.8-1
19646.36.3-1.6-1
19636.56.50.2-1
19626.26.5-0.9-0.7
19616.56.6-0.4-0.8
19606.46.5-0.9-0.7
19596.56.5-0.4-0.7
19586.56.4-0.7-1
19575.76.6-1.7-0.6
19565.76.6-0.1-0.9
19556.26.6-0.4-0.7
19546.16.5-1.1-0.7
195376.5-0.3-1
19526.36.4-0.2-0.9
19516.56.5-0.4-0.7
19506.76.6-0.9-0.6
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearChinaChina: CMIP6 historical run, model medianTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–7.97.1–9–0.9-0–2.3
2027–87.2–8.9–1.10.3–1.9
2028–8.17.1–9.1–1.10.3–2.1
2029–8.17.3–9–1.20.2–2
2030–8.17.3–8.9–1.10.1–2
2031–8.17.2–9–1.20.5–2
2032–8.27.4–9–1.30.2–2.1
2033–8.37.4–9–1.10.5–2.2
2034–8.37.4–9.3–1.30.2–2.3
2035–8.37.4–9.3–1.30.3–2.3
2036–8.37.5–9.2–1.30.6–2.1
2037–8.47.5–9.4–1.80.6–2.6
2038–8.57.6–9.3–1.50.6–2.4
2039–8.57.5–9.5–1.40.5–2.4
2040–8.57.6–9.5–1.60.7–2.7
2041–8.57.6–9.6–1.50.7–2.7
2042–8.57.5–9.6–1.50.4–2.7
2043–8.57.6–9.7–1.40.4–2.6
2044–8.77.7–9.7–1.81–2.7
2045–8.77.8–9.6–1.70.8–2.7
2046–8.87.8–9.7–2.11.1–2.9
2047–8.87.8–9.8–1.90.8–2.8
2048–8.97.9–9.9–1.71–2.9
2049–8.87.8–10–1.91–2.9
2050–97.8–10.1–2.11.1–3.2
2051–98.1–10–1.90.8–3
2052–8.87.9–9.8–20.7–3.1
2053–98–10–21.1–3
2054–98.1–10.1–20.9–3.4
2055–98.1–10.1–2.21.1–3.4
2056–9.28.2–10.3–2.21.4–3.2
2057–9.27.8–10.3–2.21.1–3.5
2058–9.18.2–10.2–2.11.2–3.1
2059–9.28.1–10.4–2.41.4–3.6
2060–9.28.1–10.4–21.1–3.7
2061–9.28.2–10.3–2.21.4–3.1
2062–9.38.3–10.6–2.51.2–3.7
2063–9.38.3–10.4–2.41.6–3.5
2064–9.28.3–10.3–2.31–3.7
2065–9.38.3–10.4–2.41.4–3.5
2066–9.38.3–10.4–2.41.6–4
2067–9.38.3–10.5–2.61.8–3.5
2068–9.68.4–10.7–2.71.6–3.9
2069–9.68.3–10.7–2.71.7–3.8
2070–9.48.3–10.7–2.61.6–3.5
2071–9.58.3–10.9–2.61.4–3.8
2072–9.58.3–10.8–2.41.3–4.2
2073–9.78.5–10.8–2.91.6–4.3
2074–9.78.4–11–2.91.8–4.5
2075–9.68.5–10.9–2.71.8–4.3
2076–9.68.5–10.8–2.41.2–4
2077–9.78.7–11–31.5–4.4
2078–9.68.6–11–2.81.5–4.3
2079–9.78.5–11–2.61.5–3.9
2080–9.78.6–10.9–2.71.7–4
2081–9.68.6–11.1–2.51.7–4.2
2082–9.78.6–11–2.91.9–3.9
2083–9.98.9–11.1–3.12.2–4.3
2084–9.98.5–11.1–3.11.9–4.1
2085–9.88.6–11.3–2.91.9–4.6
2086–9.98.5–11.2–2.71.3–4.4
2087–9.88.7–11.3–2.91.9–4.3
2088–9.88.7–11.3–2.81.7–4.5
2089–9.98.6–11.4–3.12.1–4.6
2090–108.9–11.2–3.21.9–4.4
2091–10.19–11.2–3.11.6–4.3
2092–9.98.7–11.2–3.12–4.5
2093–9.98.9–11.2–3.12.3–4.4
2094–108.8–11.2–3.22–4.8
2095–108.7–11.3–3.11.4–4.7
2096–10.18.5–11.3–3.21.9–4.6
2097–108.7–11.3–32.1–4.4
2098–9.98.9–11.4–3.52–4.8
2099–108.7–11.3–3.11.4–4.7
2100–108.9–11.3–3.22.1–4.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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