Colombia vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 279.9 nights in Colombia and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Colombia, by 252.8 nights, or 10 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

ColombiaSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Colombia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Colombia at 297.4 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Colombia	South Africa
2014	279.9	27.1
2013	279.8	28.3
2012	280.7	27.9
2011	280	26.1
2010	279.1	26
2009	279.3	25.8
2008	278.4	24.8
2007	277.3	24.7
2006	277.5	25.5
2005	277.7	25.3
2004	278.2	25.8
2003	277.5	25.1
2002	277.3	25
2001	278	24.5
2000	276.2	23.3
1999	274.6	23
1998	275.2	23.4
1997	274.4	22.5
1996	271.2	20.4
1995	271.3	19.3
1994	270.4	20
1993	268	18.1
1992	264.7	18.1
1991	273.9	22.3
1990	275.6	22.7
1989	271.9	22
1988	270.3	21.2
1987	271.8	21.9
1986	271.4	21
1985	268.4	18.9
1984	268.2	20
1983	265.1	19
1982	269.2	20.3
1981	272.1	20
1980	270.2	21.2
1979	269.3	19.9
1978	268.3	19.8
1977	269.6	19.2
1976	266.1	19.2
1975	261.6	18.8
1974	266.6	19.7
1973	269.9	19.6
1972	266.6	19
1971	265.7	19.1
1970	265.4	18.6
1969	266	18.7
1968	264.6	17.8
1967	261.7	17.5
1966	263.7	17.8
1965	263.2	17.2
1964	260.3	14.9
1963	254.8	16.5
1962	266.7	19.6
1961	267	19.7
1960	268.6	19.8
1959	265.5	18.5
1958	268	19.3
1957	267.4	19.4
1956	263.3	18
1955	267.7	19.5
1954	267.2	18.4
1953	267.9	18.4
1952	268.1	19.3
1951	267.2	18.9
1950	266.5	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Colombia	South Africa
2015	280.4265.9–286.4	28.620–39.5
2016	279.9267.9–285.6	26.817.8–37.9
2017	281.7270.6–286.3	28.919.6–37.8
2018	281.5271.8–286.3	29.620.6–40.6
2019	281.1269.5–286.9	29.820.8–41.5
2020	282.1270.6–287.9	29.518.9–39.1
2021	283.2273.9–287.8	31.121.4–42.9
2022	283.7273.6–288.5	3223.7–43.1
2023	282.6274.2–288.8	31.922.9–41.8
2024	284.7274.7–289.8	3324–45.6
2025	283.5273.3–289.7	31.920.7–44.5
2026	283.4272.7–289.7	34.521.9–46.9
2027	283.9273.4–289.2	34.423–47.7
2028	285275.1–290.7	33.522.9–46
2029	285.8276–290.3	36.226.5–48.3
2030	284.2273.4–289.8	36.124.9–49
2031	285.8274.8–291.2	36.324.5–50.3
2032	286.7278.3–292.6	36.424.5–49.2
2033	285.7274.7–290.3	36.924.5–48.3
2034	285275.8–292.8	37.626.4–51.8
2035	285.9277.3–292	37.625.2–49.5
2036	286276.9–291.6	3826.5–50.5
2037	287.5279.3–291.9	39.928.2–53.4
2038	288279.7–292.4	41.528.4–54.2
2039	287.6278.8–292.7	39.227–52.9
2040	287.6279.3–294.5	38.125.6–55.6
2041	288.2279.9–292.7	40.227.4–54.3
2042	288.2278.3–295	4229–56.4
2043	287.7277.7–293.4	42.128.2–58.4
2044	287.8278.5–295.1	41.929.5–57.8
2045	288.8280.5–293.9	42.728.2–59
2046	290.4281–295.5	44.130–59.5
2047	289.9280.6–294.6	44.630.7–61.2
2048	290.7281.4–296.8	4531.9–61.5
2049	290.9282–295.3	45.632.3–61.4
2050	290.1280.8–296	46.931–63.6
2051	290.6280.9–295.7	47.532–65
2052	290.9281.9–296.7	48.332.7–64.3
2053	290.5280.8–296.3	45.733.7–62.1
2054	290.8281.3–297.2	4833.3–64.3
2055	291.1282.6–298	46.833–68.4
2056	291.5281.5–298.6	47.933.2–64.8
2057	291.5281.2–297.3	50.232.6–68.9
2058	291.8281.7–298.9	47.934–66.4
2059	292.8282–299.2	51.333.1–66.9
2060	293.2283–300.1	51.936–69.9
2061	292.2281.9–298.7	50.534.8–71.3
2062	292.6282.4–299.7	50.532.7–71
2063	293.6282.3–298.6	50.434.3–69.7
2064	292.7282.9–299.1	5134.1–67.7
2065	293.8283.6–299.4	50.433.6–70.2
2066	293.1283.4–299.8	5335.7–72.4
2067	292.9281.8–299.6	50.634.8–70.4
2068	294.2282.5–300.6	54.837.8–72.5
2069	292.9282.4–300	54.339.1–73.4
2070	292.9282.8–300.8	54.337.2–73.3
2071	294.2282.8–301.5	55.837.9–76.9
2072	294.9285.1–301.9	5639.4–78.6
2073	294.9285.5–302.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	293.9283.3–300.3	57.439.1–75.3
2075	294.1283.2–300.6	56.137.7–76
2076	294.9284.6–302	58.538.4–75.3
2077	295.3284.3–301.9	57.341–80.5
2078	294.4285–302	5639.5–79
2079	294.8283.7–301.8	57.639.3–78
2080	295.1283.4–302.8	59.540.3–80.9
2081	295.1284.8–302.6	5841.5–79.6
2082	295.1284.9–301.3	58.839.7–77.7
2083	295.4284.5–304.6	60.839.1–82.9
2084	296285.1–304.4	62.540.4–82.9
2085	296.6285–305	60.741.3–87.6
2086	295.6284.8–303.6	60.542.1–83.3
2087	295.3284.1–303.4	57.941–82.9
2088	295.9284.5–305.5	64.243.4–85.3
2089	295.6285–304.5	61.541.3–81.2
2090	295.7285.8–304.6	61.641.5–86.8
2091	297285–304.9	63.341.6–86.3
2092	296.8286–305.7	63.144.9–84.8
2093	296.3285.6–305.3	62.443.2–86.1
2094	296.4285.8–305	63.145.6–87.4
2095	297.9285.6–304.9	65.342.6–91.7
2096	296285.9–307.5	6142.7–90.1
2097	296.5284.8–303.4	58.841.2–84.6
2098	296.6286–307.3	65.143.8–89.8
2099	297284.6–305.4	64.345–87
2100	297.4286.5–305.2	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Colombia vs South Africa: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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Colombia vs South Africa

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