Congo - Kinshasa vs Madagascar: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 2 days in Congo - Kinshasa and 3.9 days in Madagascar, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Madagascar, by 1.9 days, or 1.94 times that in Congo - Kinshasa.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

Congo - KinshasaMadagascarCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Madagascar has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Congo - Kinshasa at 25 days and Madagascar at 29.3 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Congo - Kinshasa	Madagascar
2014	2	3.9
2013	2	4.4
2012	2.1	3.6
2011	1.8	4
2010	1.7	3.7
2009	1.8	2.7
2008	1.5	3
2007	1.2	3.2
2006	1.5	2.5
2005	1.9	3.3
2004	1.7	3.3
2003	1.4	3.6
2002	1.7	3
2001	1.8	3
2000	1	2.8
1999	1.1	2.3
1998	1.2	2.5
1997	1.1	2.4
1996	1	2
1995	0.9	1.5
1994	0.8	1.8
1993	0.7	1.5
1992	0.6	1.4
1991	1.2	1.6
1990	1.2	2.8
1989	1.2	2.5
1988	0.9	2.5
1987	1	2
1986	1.1	2.5
1985	1	1.7
1984	1	2
1983	0.9	1.8
1982	0.8	1.3
1981	0.9	1.9
1980	0.9	1.9
1979	0.8	1.8
1978	0.6	1.4
1977	0.9	1.7
1976	0.7	1.4
1975	1	1.7
1974	0.8	1.8
1973	0.9	1.5
1972	0.6	1.5
1971	0.8	1.2
1970	0.6	1.4
1969	0.8	1.9
1968	0.7	1.6
1967	0.6	1
1966	0.6	1.4
1965	0.7	1.3
1964	0.3	1.3
1963	0.7	1.1
1962	0.9	1.7
1961	0.7	1.5
1960	0.9	1.7
1959	1	1.8
1958	0.7	1.6
1957	0.8	1.3
1956	0.7	1.3
1955	0.8	2.1
1954	0.7	1.6
1953	0.9	1.4
1952	0.8	1.5
1951	0.8	1.4
1950	0.9	1.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Congo - Kinshasa	Madagascar
2015	2.60.6–7.2	4.81.7–11.4
2016	1.80.1–4.9	4.31.4–10.8
2017	2.30.3–6.8	4.71.8–9.6
2018	2.30.4–6.4	5.21.3–12.6
2019	2.10.2–8	5.11.6–11.3
2020	2.30.5–7.1	5.61.9–10.8
2021	2.80.7–7.1	4.51.4–10.4
2022	2.60.6–7.1	6.31.9–12.3
2023	2.50.5–7.1	6.82.3–12.9
2024	2.90.8–8.2	61.9–11.4
2025	2.70.6–6.9	5.41.7–13.2
2026	3.10.5–8.9	6.12–14.7
2027	3.10.4–10.7	7.52.5–14.1
2028	3.50.6–10.3	6.62.3–13.4
2029	41.1–11.2	7.71.8–16
2030	3.30.6–10.6	72.4–15.7
2031	40.9–12	7.22.9–14.6
2032	4.50.8–13.6	7.73.1–19.1
2033	3.90.8–12.3	8.83.1–16.9
2034	4.20.6–13.2	9.43.5–18.6
2035	4.21–14.5	9.54–19.4
2036	4.40.3–11.6	7.73–15.4
2037	51–14.4	10.14–18
2038	5.61–14.9	10.15–17.2
2039	4.30.9–12.4	9.63.5–19.5
2040	4.80.9–16	8.33.6–18.8
2041	6.31–15	9.13.8–19
2042	6.50.9–18.4	10.95.4–21.4
2043	5.60.9–17.2	10.53.5–19.2
2044	5.11.1–14.8	10.33.5–21.1
2045	5.81.1–13.8	9.34.2–18.7
2046	8.31.2–20.5	11.73.8–20.8
2047	91.7–24.1	12.64.4–24.6
2048	8.61.6–21.1	12.95.5–23.9
2049	8.61.7–24.1	12.34.8–23.1
2050	7.11.1–19.8	13.35–24.3
2051	7.41.8–24.1	13.46.8–25.4
2052	9.21.7–21	14.96.6–26.1
2053	91.8–24.6	13.35.3–27
2054	9.71.5–23.8	14.36.1–29.8
2055	8.31.5–30.1	17.36.2–30.3
2056	9.50.8–30.7	15.35.4–29.9
2057	10.81.5–33	16.86.5–27.9
2058	11.92–28.6	15.76.3–31.7
2059	10.42.3–28.8	16.48.1–29.1
2060	12.31.7–31.3	14.85.7–28.4
2061	12.41.5–33	156.3–28.7
2062	10.52–30.9	15.97.6–32.4
2063	10.82–30.1	198–34.3
2064	11.32.6–32.5	177.6–27.5
2065	13.73.4–39.4	18.19–34.7
2066	11.42.8–33.3	17.66.9–35.1
2067	12.22.5–38.6	15.87.1–31.2
2068	132.7–35.8	19.87–39.1
2069	12.51.2–34.5	19.66.1–36
2070	122.7–42.2	198.1–38.8
2071	142.4–40.1	19.67.3–40.8
2072	15.93.2–34.3	21.58–38.1
2073	17.23.2–51	23.48.7–42.3
2074	13.72.8–36.9	208.4–40.3
2075	13.82.1–45.3	208.7–36.6
2076	14.63.2–50	24.29.4–38.2
2077	17.13.6–42.2	21.78.3–40
2078	15.62.6–46.9	22.310.2–42.8
2079	16.63.8–46.1	217.4–39.9
2080	16.53.5–42.8	25.17.6–41.3
2081	16.72.8–52.1	22.18.9–38.4
2082	17.53.4–47.2	22.29.7–36.4
2083	18.54.3–59.2	21.69.8–41.3
2084	19.23.2–43.4	239.5–39
2085	19.54–53.3	25.210.3–46.6
2086	19.43.2–53.1	22.311.7–41.2
2087	18.63.2–55.4	24.910.5–44.3
2088	18.84.5–54.1	24.87.7–48.5
2089	19.94.9–52.3	26.29.8–52.5
2090	194.5–48.3	26.610.2–49.3
2091	20.64.6–60.2	26.59.7–52.9
2092	21.64.2–57.7	26.99.5–48.7
2093	21.45.7–60.6	26.28.8–53.6
2094	23.54.9–63.1	26.710.8–45.3
2095	25.24.5–63.7	28.112.6–44.9
2096	19.44.3–59.5	25.19.8–51
2097	19.94–52.5	22.99.9–47.2
2098	20.83.2–65.2	26.79.7–47
2099	20.73.6–66	2810.4–48.3
2100	253.5–59	29.312.2–51.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time