Egypt vs Syria: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 145 nights in Egypt and 89.6 nights in Syria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Egypt, by 55.4 nights, or 1.62 times that in Syria.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

EgyptSyriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Egypt has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Egypt at 183.4 nights and Syria at 133.8 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Egypt	Syria
2014	145	89.6
2013	145	90.8
2012	145.1	91.2
2011	144.7	89.6
2010	143.5	88.1
2009	140.2	86.2
2008	142.6	87.9
2007	140.5	85
2006	139.6	87.3
2005	140	85.3
2004	141.3	86.7
2003	141	86.7
2002	137.7	84.3
2001	139	85.9
2000	134.8	83.2
1999	135.5	82.1
1998	133	80.5
1997	134	80.5
1996	132.1	78.1
1995	130.2	75.8
1994	129.8	76.7
1993	123.6	71.5
1992	126.1	71.3
1991	129.7	75.5
1990	129.7	79.3
1989	126	75.7
1988	124.3	76.2
1987	125.8	73
1986	128.9	76
1985	125.7	72.6
1984	119.4	69.6
1983	119.4	67.9
1982	120.7	72
1981	122.6	72
1980	124.9	75
1979	119.2	67.7
1978	122.6	70.2
1977	121.3	70.1
1976	123.2	73.4
1975	121.9	69
1974	123.1	70
1973	123.5	70.7
1972	120.1	70.1
1971	120.7	70.7
1970	119.7	70.9
1969	118.3	71.3
1968	119.4	68.7
1967	116.2	68.8
1966	116.1	68.8
1965	112.9	64.3
1964	116.4	66.4
1963	120.2	69.1
1962	118.9	71.5
1961	118.7	70.8
1960	123.6	71.7
1959	123.2	72.7
1958	120.7	72.8
1957	122.4	72.6
1956	122.7	72.2
1955	119.4	70.3
1954	120.8	68.9
1953	121.3	72.2
1952	120.7	70.8
1951	121.2	72.4
1950	118.8	68.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Egypt	Syria
2015	149.6131.4–164.2	96.981.9–110.9
2016	147.7133.5–160.2	93.581.2–108.2
2017	150.8134.8–163.2	9782.1–109.5
2018	147.4133.4–165.6	97.785.9–111
2019	149.6132.7–164	98.983.7–111.2
2020	150.8136.4–164.7	98.683.7–112.6
2021	152.1137.8–168.1	10087.1–110.7
2022	154138.1–170.6	101.684.9–113.2
2023	154.4139–168.4	101.988.3–115.3
2024	155.8141.7–168.5	102.790.7–113.8
2025	154.5139.6–168.1	102.988.6–114.2
2026	155.1144.5–165.9	103.389.5–116.1
2027	154.2139.5–166.3	103.886.7–116.5
2028	154.5141.8–168.6	103.589.2–116.4
2029	156.3139.9–169.5	105.694–116.3
2030	156.3143.1–169.1	105.991.3–119.2
2031	155.5141.5–171.2	105.190.7–116
2032	158.3144.6–170.4	107.893.2–119.4
2033	159.9143.8–172.9	108.796.6–119.1
2034	159.8144.9–173.2	107.593.9–119
2035	163.5146.6–175.8	108.596.3–118.3
2036	156.2143.7–170.6	105.793.2–118.7
2037	158.8142.9–173.8	109.294.8–121.9
2038	164.9146.1–177.8	111.897.8–125.5
2039	161.8146.1–180.1	112.398.9–128
2040	161.6147.9–176.5	111.898.5–127.5
2041	163.7149.4–177.3	110.799.1–124.5
2042	166.5149.7–180.6	112.996.4–126.5
2043	163.6150.3–176.8	113.199.7–127.3
2044	162.2147–178	112.599.8–128.8
2045	167.2152.5–181	118.4105.5–131.3
2046	166149–181.1	117.2104.7–129
2047	165.9151.8–181.5	114.9100.6–129.1
2048	167.2154.5–180.1	114.3101.2–130.8
2049	165.3148.7–177.9	11499.3–128.9
2050	170152.8–183	116.8104.6–132.7
2051	165.6152.7–179.5	117.7105.5–129
2052	167.3156–180.2	116.2103.9–128.2
2053	170.1153.6–183.8	119.1105.2–131.3
2054	169153.3–183	119.7102.7–135.5
2055	170.5153.5–183.3	120.8104.3–134.2
2056	168.3151.2–181.4	119.799.9–132.9
2057	166.8150.7–185.3	120.6102.3–137.1
2058	171.8154.2–188.2	120.1103.1–136.5
2059	173.3157.8–188.6	123.5107.4–137.2
2060	170.5154.8–189.3	119.6106.4–140.3
2061	170.3155.1–184.6	122.8103.9–136.1
2062	172.1155.2–185.7	121.8104.3–136.5
2063	169.7152.8–182.6	122.1106.2–136.7
2064	172.3155.9–187.2	124.3108.4–136.6
2065	173.3159.7–189.9	123.7108.9–138.7
2066	170155–187.7	122.1104.4–136.2
2067	176.2161.5–190	126111.1–142.7
2068	174.6157.3–193.1	126.8112.1–140.3
2069	175.8158.8–191.7	123107.9–137.3
2070	173.3158.3–191.7	126.5110.3–139.4
2071	176.8158.1–194.7	126109.5–142.8
2072	177.6160.8–192.1	128111.8–141.9
2073	176159.2–189.3	127.6108–143.7
2074	171.9156.5–194.1	124.2107–139.7
2075	171.8157–191.9	124.7109.2–140.6
2076	177161–194.6	126.6109.8–140.8
2077	179.7157–194.1	127.5109–143.3
2078	178.4161–195	127.2113.3–141.8
2079	178.2160.2–193.7	132.9116–146.9
2080	178.5163–193.3	129111.8–144.3
2081	177.2160–192.8	127.6112.5–145.6
2082	178.8164.5–193.3	129.1111.3–143.8
2083	180.6164.4–195.7	133.2110.3–144.1
2084	181.4162.4–197.8	132.2111–145.1
2085	178.8163–196.7	130.9112.7–143.3
2086	181.9166.6–198.8	130.9112.6–146.5
2087	178156.4–194.3	129.6109.8–148.7
2088	177.8163.5–196	132.5116.9–146.5
2089	180.9163.5–198.9	130.4115.3–148.4
2090	179.9162.4–197.8	128.9115–145.8
2091	184.2165.1–198.9	133.4116–150.3
2092	180.3162.9–196.3	131.6115.3–149
2093	181.1166.1–198.2	135119.8–151
2094	185.4168–198.9	134118–148.5
2095	181.9165.5–197.3	134.3117.3–148.9
2096	183.1163.5–200.3	131.5113.7–148.7
2097	181.5165.4–198.9	136.2112.7–154.1
2098	181.7162.1–198.8	131.5115.2–152.2
2099	179.9164.2–197.8	132.8116–145.1
2100	183.4162.9–198.1	133.8113.2–152.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Egypt vs Syria: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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