El Salvador vs Guatemala: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 17 days in El Salvador and 16.9 days in Guatemala, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in El Salvador, by 0 days, or 1 times that in Guatemala.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

El SalvadorGuatemalaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

El Salvador has been higher since 2011, when it overtook Guatemala.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts El Salvador at 78.9 days and Guatemala at 47.9 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	El Salvador	Guatemala
2014	17	16.9
2013	17	15.5
2012	16	15.4
2011	15.8	14.9
2010	16.5	17.5
2009	15	13.6
2008	14.3	14.5
2007	15.5	15.2
2006	13.7	14.5
2005	15.5	14.1
2004	14.8	13.7
2003	12.2	13.4
2002	13.2	13.5
2001	14.4	14.5
2000	13	12.9
1999	11.4	12.6
1998	12.5	11
1997	10.9	11.9
1996	9	10.7
1995	8.8	9
1994	8.5	10.3
1993	8.6	11
1992	6	8.9
1991	12.3	12.5
1990	13.1	13.4
1989	9.7	10.6
1988	7.5	10.1
1987	9.1	10
1986	11.5	12.2
1985	7.3	8.2
1984	8.5	7.4
1983	7.6	9
1982	10.9	11.1
1981	9.8	12
1980	6.8	8.5
1979	8.6	10.9
1978	8.5	8.5
1977	9.9	11
1976	8.3	10.3
1975	6.5	9
1974	7.9	10.5
1973	9.1	8.8
1972	7.7	10.2
1971	7.1	7.9
1970	7.3	9.2
1969	7.2	10.1
1968	7.4	8.6
1967	6.6	8.1
1966	8.2	8.2
1965	6.2	7.4
1964	6.6	9.2
1963	6.8	9.6
1962	8	10.1
1961	8.4	10.6
1960	8.2	10
1959	5.7	9.5
1958	8.6	9.3
1957	8	9.3
1956	7.3	8.7
1955	8	9.9
1954	9.7	8.9
1953	7.9	9.2
1952	9.8	9.6
1951	9.1	8.6
1950	7	8.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	El Salvador	Guatemala
2015	19.910.2–34.6	19.39.9–31.9
2016	17.28.8–32.8	16.19.8–23.4
2017	22.38.5–32.8	17.98.3–27.3
2018	19.310.9–37.1	17.610–28.9
2019	19.59.2–36.9	16.88.8–30.9
2020	21.28.3–38.3	19.29.2–30
2021	20.38.7–39	18.311–28.2
2022	21.512.9–36.9	20.211.8–31.7
2023	21.812–39.1	18.210.7–35.1
2024	25.712.7–43.3	23.112.3–35.2
2025	24.19.4–44.2	21.610.6–36
2026	23.28.4–43.3	19.59.8–35.1
2027	23.213.4–43.3	19.310.5–34.7
2028	25.114.6–42.8	21.711.2–40.8
2029	28.116–45	22.911.9–38
2030	23.911.6–44.3	199–33.2
2031	26.814–46.5	20.111.1–36.5
2032	2512.7–46	23.113–35.3
2033	24.514.2–38.6	20.512.3–33.2
2034	24.510.7–46.6	21.610.3–38.1
2035	27.715–48.4	22.211.8–31.9
2036	26.317.5–41.3	23.513.6–33.7
2037	34.819.4–54.4	25.114.3–37.8
2038	34.918.5–51.1	26.613.9–40.6
2039	31.415.4–52.1	26.514.9–41.2
2040	32.117.7–50.6	24.811.2–37.4
2041	33.321.9–56.5	22.411.3–40.7
2042	32.615.6–64.1	26.412–41.9
2043	32.919–60	26.815.7–50.1
2044	31.715.7–70	25.912.8–48
2045	3419.3–64.6	26.412.9–47.2
2046	4319.6–67.1	30.916.1–47.6
2047	36.522.3–69.7	29.918.1–49
2048	41.521.9–64.8	28.816.9–44
2049	41.521.4–69.8	32.716.4–52.8
2050	39.724–67.4	27.819.1–43.8
2051	41.426.7–79.9	27.717.7–50.8
2052	46.727.2–82.9	32.917.9–52.1
2053	39.521.4–80.5	30.117.5–55.3
2054	3924.9–74.8	30.818.1–49.5
2055	43.928.4–74.8	3219.4–52.4
2056	42.126.3–75.7	30.316.2–54
2057	4727.6–78	32.416.5–52.3
2058	49.521.5–86	28.318.9–55.3
2059	51.228.5–86.9	36.220.3–55.5
2060	52.229.1–89.6	36.619.7–57.2
2061	50.526.3–93.6	36.321.9–58.2
2062	48.221.5–92.3	33.217.3–62.6
2063	45.627.1–99.2	36.219.3–60.3
2064	56.329.8–82.2	36.120.6–55.1
2065	55.331.3–89.6	40.717.2–60.3
2066	55.232.7–91.8	37.722.4–58.7
2067	4626.8–86.9	33.120.8–57.4
2068	60.236.4–91.6	39.626.6–57.4
2069	63.231.9–95.1	42.221–65.7
2070	55.629.9–97	39.319.3–58.4
2071	64.336.1–93.8	40.523.2–62.5
2072	62.632.2–112.3	4422.5–70.5
2073	64.638.1–107.4	44.826.3–67.1
2074	56.235.5–101.4	37.919–60.3
2075	5732.8–100	41.122.5–67.1
2076	61.337.2–87.4	40.123.5–60.6
2077	64.533.1–99.6	38.719.4–65.5
2078	67.735.7–95.9	41.823.6–64.2
2079	68.231.3–106.3	46.120.5–67.8
2080	65.635.1–102.8	42.924.9–62.6
2081	67.635.5–109.9	42.825–65.8
2082	65.333.2–114.1	41.620.2–63.7
2083	71.635.2–119.9	39.921.5–70.8
2084	70.235.7–131	44.125.4–73.9
2085	79.932.9–131.9	4623.7–72.1
2086	63.229.4–116.2	38.521–70.1
2087	73.530.1–117	44.324.3–73.9
2088	74.738.7–125.8	43.522.5–72.2
2089	69.140.9–110.3	37.323.7–68.2
2090	71.940.4–116.3	41.624.1–66
2091	80.938.8–127.3	46.824.7–77.3
2092	85.851.2–122	49.628.3–70.8
2093	71.145.8–115.7	43.626.5–76.4
2094	7747.6–127.9	4527.1–75.6
2095	85.641.5–128	46.223.2–75.6
2096	75.739.3–122	43.224.5–77.5
2097	76.345.4–116.3	44.126.5–64.9
2098	87.947.4–136.2	49.823.6–84.5
2099	8346–122.3	47.429.2–79.3
2100	78.946.1–135.2	47.924.4–79.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

El Salvador vs Guatemala: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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El Salvador vs Guatemala

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