El Salvador vs Guatemala: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 0.46% a year in El Salvador and 1.55% a year in Guatemala, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 1.09 percentage points, or 3.4 times that in El Salvador.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

El SalvadorGuatemalaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Guatemala has been higher since 1977, when it overtook El Salvador.
In 2023, El Salvador ranked 147 and Guatemala ranked 71 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts El Salvador at -0.86% a year and Guatemala at -0.35% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	El Salvador	Guatemala	World
2023	0.46	1.55	0.87
2022	0.48	1.53	0.88
2021	0.31	1.28	0.8
2020	0.37	1.48	0.9
2019	0.03	1.46	1.03
2018	0.05	1.58	1.07
2017	0.15	1.75	1.13
2016	0.26	1.89	1.17
2015	0.29	1.8	1.18
2014	0.38	1.87	1.22
2013	0.4	1.92	1.23
2012	0.41	1.99	1.27
2011	0.37	2	1.26
2010	0.35	1.99	1.27
2009	0.31	1.97	1.28
2008	0.32	2.01	1.28
2007	0.33	2.09	1.28
2006	-0.08	2.12	1.28
2005	-0.03	2.11	1.27
2004	0.06	2.22	1.28
2003	0.15	2.23	1.29
2002	0.25	2.28	1.3
2001	0.37	2.31	1.33
2000	0.46	2.29	1.35
1999	0.53	2.47	1.35
1998	0.59	2.57	1.37
1997	0.64	2.55	1.39
1996	0.71	2.57	1.42
1995	0.79	2.61	1.45
1994	0.89	2.68	1.47
1993	1.02	2.65	1.52
1992	1.63	2.69	1.57
1991	1.64	2.62	1.63
1990	1.86	2.8	1.76
1989	1.9	2.8	1.78
1988	2.03	2.83	1.79
1987	1.99	2.78	1.84
1986	1.96	2.74	1.83
1985	2.01	2.82	1.8
1984	1.99	2.84	1.8
1983	1.83	2.77	1.78
1982	1.81	2.12	1.86
1981	0.44	2.48	1.82
1980	0.89	2.54	1.8
1979	1.78	2.52	1.79
1978	2.12	2.48	1.74
1977	2.16	2.45	1.75
1976	2.12	1.94	1.78
1975	2.2	2.39	1.8
1974	2.26	2.49	1.88
1973	2.34	2.58	1.94
1972	2.35	2.59	1.97
1971	2.35	2.56	1.97
1970	2.43	2.62	2.06
1969	2.67	2.64	2.06
1968	2.76	2.72	2.09
1967	2.81	2.8	2
1966	2.83	2.82	2.04
1965	2.81	2.88	2.09
1964	2.74	2.9	2.16
1963	2.68	2.91	2.28
1962	2.64	2.95	2.11
1961	2.8	2.98	1.67
1960	2.75	2.97	1.58
1959	2.62	2.88	1.73
1958	2.51	2.74	2
1957	2.55	2.77	2.07
1956	2.5	2.75	1.98
1955	2.45	2.72	2.01
1954	2.39	2.69	1.99
1953	2.32	2.63	1.9
1952	2.35	2.64	1.94
1951	2.31	2.6	1.75
1950	2.38	2.51	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	El Salvador	Guatemala	World
2024	0.45-0.19–1.05	1.531.18–1.94	0.86
2025	0.41-0.4–1.14	1.51.08–1.95	0.84
2026	0.4-0.57–1.25	1.471.02–1.98	0.83
2027	0.39-0.66–1.32	1.440.93–1.95	0.81
2028	0.37-0.73–1.37	1.410.87–1.93	0.8
2029	0.36-0.79–1.38	1.380.84–1.92	0.78
2030	0.32-0.99–1.46	1.350.8–1.93	0.76
2031	0.31-1.03–1.47	1.320.76–1.9	0.75
2032	0.29-1.07–1.5	1.30.7–1.88	0.73
2033	0.29-1.14–1.57	1.270.67–1.87	0.72
2034	0.25-1.16–1.59	1.240.65–1.86	0.7
2035	0.24-1.23–1.64	1.210.61–1.83	0.69
2036	0.22-1.28–1.65	1.170.58–1.79	0.67
2037	0.19-1.35–1.69	1.140.56–1.75	0.65
2038	0.19-1.31–1.81	1.110.51–1.74	0.64
2039	0.15-1.46–1.79	1.070.45–1.7	0.62
2040	0.14-1.53–1.75	1.030.41–1.66	0.61
2041	0.12-1.62–1.71	0.990.37–1.64	0.59
2042	0.09-1.61–1.77	0.960.35–1.58	0.57
2043	0.08-1.67–1.82	0.930.29–1.56	0.56
2044	0.04-1.69–1.8	0.890.25–1.49	0.54
2045	0.03-1.73–1.77	0.860.23–1.48	0.52
2046	0.01-1.8–1.83	0.830.19–1.49	0.5
2047	0-1.8–1.82	0.80.16–1.48	0.48
2048	-0.02-1.87–1.94	0.770.14–1.46	0.46
2049	-0.05-1.94–1.94	0.750.11–1.41	0.44
2050	-0.05-1.93–2.04	0.720.08–1.39	0.42
2051	-0.09-2.03–1.99	0.690.07–1.39	0.4
2052	-0.1-2.13–1.96	0.670.03–1.37	0.38
2053	-0.12-2.17–1.91	0.64-0–1.33	0.36
2054	-0.16-2.31–1.88	0.61-0.05–1.35	0.34
2055	-0.18-2.25–1.87	0.58-0.1–1.32	0.33
2056	-0.2-2.28–1.96	0.56-0.14–1.28	0.31
2057	-0.21-2.37–1.82	0.53-0.2–1.28	0.3
2058	-0.21-2.43–1.9	0.5-0.2–1.27	0.28
2059	-0.23-2.46–1.84	0.48-0.23–1.28	0.27
2060	-0.26-2.39–1.85	0.45-0.27–1.27	0.25
2061	-0.26-2.54–1.93	0.42-0.33–1.25	0.24
2062	-0.29-2.7–1.93	0.4-0.37–1.21	0.23
2063	-0.32-2.71–1.87	0.37-0.41–1.2	0.22
2064	-0.34-2.83–1.84	0.34-0.45–1.2	0.21
2065	-0.36-2.87–1.87	0.31-0.48–1.19	0.2
2066	-0.36-2.89–1.95	0.29-0.54–1.18	0.19
2067	-0.38-3.01–1.9	0.26-0.57–1.12	0.18
2068	-0.41-3.14–1.91	0.23-0.59–1.1	0.17
2069	-0.42-3.26–2.01	0.2-0.62–1.09	0.16
2070	-0.44-3.31–1.99	0.17-0.67–1.03	0.15
2071	-0.45-3.4–1.95	0.15-0.73–0.95	0.14
2072	-0.47-3.26–2.06	0.12-0.74–1	0.13
2073	-0.53-3.34–1.88	0.1-0.79–0.98	0.12
2074	-0.52-3.53–1.92	0.07-0.83–0.99	0.1
2075	-0.55-3.62–2.03	0.05-0.83–0.99	0.09
2076	-0.59-3.64–1.89	0.03-0.85–0.98	0.08
2077	-0.61-3.77–1.92	0-0.91–0.93	0.07
2078	-0.64-3.8–2.06	-0.02-0.94–0.91	0.06
2079	-0.67-3.87–2.03	-0.05-1.02–0.87	0.05
2080	-0.7-3.97–2.05	-0.07-1.04–0.84	0.04
2081	-0.72-4.07–1.97	-0.09-1.04–0.85	0.03
2082	-0.73-4.12–2.11	-0.11-1.1–0.88	0.02
2083	-0.75-4.14–2.08	-0.13-1.15–0.84	0.01
2084	-0.79-4.29–2.15	-0.15-1.16–0.85	-0
2085	-0.8-4.28–2.12	-0.16-1.21–0.83	-0.01
2086	-0.81-4.44–2.17	-0.18-1.26–0.83	-0.02
2087	-0.82-4.51–2.2	-0.2-1.29–0.83	-0.03
2088	-0.83-4.54–2.22	-0.21-1.31–0.82	-0.04
2089	-0.84-4.58–2.3	-0.23-1.35–0.79	-0.05
2090	-0.85-4.77–2.22	-0.24-1.39–0.78	-0.05
2091	-0.86-4.78–2.31	-0.26-1.4–0.78	-0.06
2092	-0.86-4.77–2.22	-0.27-1.47–0.73	-0.07
2093	-0.87-4.88–2.27	-0.28-1.52–0.76	-0.07
2094	-0.88-4.88–2.13	-0.29-1.55–0.75	-0.08
2095	-0.88-4.94–2.21	-0.3-1.56–0.76	-0.09
2096	-0.88-5.11–2.16	-0.31-1.58–0.74	-0.1
2097	-0.86-5.09–2.21	-0.32-1.59–0.74	-0.11
2098	-0.86-5.19–2.22	-0.33-1.65–0.68	-0.11
2099	-0.86-5.21–2.23	-0.34-1.63–0.73	-0.12
2100	-0.86-5.36–2.35	-0.35-1.65–0.74	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

El Salvador vs Guatemala: Population growth

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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El Salvador vs Guatemala

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