El Salvador vs Guatemala: Population growth
Population growth in 2023: 0.46% a year in El Salvador and 1.55% a year in Guatemala, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Guatemala, by 1.09 percentage points, or 3.4 times that in El Salvador.
El SalvadorGuatemala
Watch it change on the map% a year · UN
Latest figures
% a year · UN
| Country | Latest | 10 years before | Rank in 2023 | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Salvador | 0.46 2023 | 0.4 | 147 of 229 | -0.86 2100 |
| Guatemala | 1.55 2023 | 1.92 | 71 of 229 | -0.35 2100 |
| World | 0.87 2023 | 1.23 | -0.13 2100 |
What the numbers say
- Guatemala has been higher since 1977, when it overtook El Salvador.
- In 2023, El Salvador ranked 147 and Guatemala ranked 71 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
- The UN projection (medium variant) puts El Salvador at -0.86% a year and Guatemala at -0.35% a year in 2100.
- The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.
Every year
% a year · UN
| Year | El Salvador | Guatemala | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.46 | 1.55 | 0.87 |
| 2022 | 0.48 | 1.53 | 0.88 |
| 2021 | 0.31 | 1.28 | 0.8 |
| 2020 | 0.37 | 1.48 | 0.9 |
| 2019 | 0.03 | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| 2018 | 0.05 | 1.58 | 1.07 |
| 2017 | 0.15 | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| 2016 | 0.26 | 1.89 | 1.17 |
| 2015 | 0.29 | 1.8 | 1.18 |
| 2014 | 0.38 | 1.87 | 1.22 |
| 2013 | 0.4 | 1.92 | 1.23 |
| 2012 | 0.41 | 1.99 | 1.27 |
| 2011 | 0.37 | 2 | 1.26 |
| 2010 | 0.35 | 1.99 | 1.27 |
| 2009 | 0.31 | 1.97 | 1.28 |
| 2008 | 0.32 | 2.01 | 1.28 |
| 2007 | 0.33 | 2.09 | 1.28 |
| 2006 | -0.08 | 2.12 | 1.28 |
| 2005 | -0.03 | 2.11 | 1.27 |
| 2004 | 0.06 | 2.22 | 1.28 |
| 2003 | 0.15 | 2.23 | 1.29 |
| 2002 | 0.25 | 2.28 | 1.3 |
| 2001 | 0.37 | 2.31 | 1.33 |
| 2000 | 0.46 | 2.29 | 1.35 |
| 1999 | 0.53 | 2.47 | 1.35 |
| 1998 | 0.59 | 2.57 | 1.37 |
| 1997 | 0.64 | 2.55 | 1.39 |
| 1996 | 0.71 | 2.57 | 1.42 |
| 1995 | 0.79 | 2.61 | 1.45 |
| 1994 | 0.89 | 2.68 | 1.47 |
| 1993 | 1.02 | 2.65 | 1.52 |
| 1992 | 1.63 | 2.69 | 1.57 |
| 1991 | 1.64 | 2.62 | 1.63 |
| 1990 | 1.86 | 2.8 | 1.76 |
| 1989 | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1.78 |
| 1988 | 2.03 | 2.83 | 1.79 |
| 1987 | 1.99 | 2.78 | 1.84 |
| 1986 | 1.96 | 2.74 | 1.83 |
| 1985 | 2.01 | 2.82 | 1.8 |
| 1984 | 1.99 | 2.84 | 1.8 |
| 1983 | 1.83 | 2.77 | 1.78 |
| 1982 | 1.81 | 2.12 | 1.86 |
| 1981 | 0.44 | 2.48 | 1.82 |
| 1980 | 0.89 | 2.54 | 1.8 |
| 1979 | 1.78 | 2.52 | 1.79 |
| 1978 | 2.12 | 2.48 | 1.74 |
| 1977 | 2.16 | 2.45 | 1.75 |
| 1976 | 2.12 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| 1975 | 2.2 | 2.39 | 1.8 |
| 1974 | 2.26 | 2.49 | 1.88 |
| 1973 | 2.34 | 2.58 | 1.94 |
| 1972 | 2.35 | 2.59 | 1.97 |
| 1971 | 2.35 | 2.56 | 1.97 |
| 1970 | 2.43 | 2.62 | 2.06 |
| 1969 | 2.67 | 2.64 | 2.06 |
| 1968 | 2.76 | 2.72 | 2.09 |
| 1967 | 2.81 | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1966 | 2.83 | 2.82 | 2.04 |
| 1965 | 2.81 | 2.88 | 2.09 |
| 1964 | 2.74 | 2.9 | 2.16 |
| 1963 | 2.68 | 2.91 | 2.28 |
| 1962 | 2.64 | 2.95 | 2.11 |
| 1961 | 2.8 | 2.98 | 1.67 |
| 1960 | 2.75 | 2.97 | 1.58 |
| 1959 | 2.62 | 2.88 | 1.73 |
| 1958 | 2.51 | 2.74 | 2 |
| 1957 | 2.55 | 2.77 | 2.07 |
| 1956 | 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.98 |
| 1955 | 2.45 | 2.72 | 2.01 |
| 1954 | 2.39 | 2.69 | 1.99 |
| 1953 | 2.32 | 2.63 | 1.9 |
| 1952 | 2.35 | 2.64 | 1.94 |
| 1951 | 2.31 | 2.6 | 1.75 |
| 1950 | 2.38 | 2.51 | 1.74 |
UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100
| Year | El Salvador | Guatemala | World |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.45-0.19–1.05 | 1.531.18–1.94 | 0.86 |
| 2025 | 0.41-0.4–1.14 | 1.51.08–1.95 | 0.84 |
| 2026 | 0.4-0.57–1.25 | 1.471.02–1.98 | 0.83 |
| 2027 | 0.39-0.66–1.32 | 1.440.93–1.95 | 0.81 |
| 2028 | 0.37-0.73–1.37 | 1.410.87–1.93 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 0.36-0.79–1.38 | 1.380.84–1.92 | 0.78 |
| 2030 | 0.32-0.99–1.46 | 1.350.8–1.93 | 0.76 |
| 2031 | 0.31-1.03–1.47 | 1.320.76–1.9 | 0.75 |
| 2032 | 0.29-1.07–1.5 | 1.30.7–1.88 | 0.73 |
| 2033 | 0.29-1.14–1.57 | 1.270.67–1.87 | 0.72 |
| 2034 | 0.25-1.16–1.59 | 1.240.65–1.86 | 0.7 |
| 2035 | 0.24-1.23–1.64 | 1.210.61–1.83 | 0.69 |
| 2036 | 0.22-1.28–1.65 | 1.170.58–1.79 | 0.67 |
| 2037 | 0.19-1.35–1.69 | 1.140.56–1.75 | 0.65 |
| 2038 | 0.19-1.31–1.81 | 1.110.51–1.74 | 0.64 |
| 2039 | 0.15-1.46–1.79 | 1.070.45–1.7 | 0.62 |
| 2040 | 0.14-1.53–1.75 | 1.030.41–1.66 | 0.61 |
| 2041 | 0.12-1.62–1.71 | 0.990.37–1.64 | 0.59 |
| 2042 | 0.09-1.61–1.77 | 0.960.35–1.58 | 0.57 |
| 2043 | 0.08-1.67–1.82 | 0.930.29–1.56 | 0.56 |
| 2044 | 0.04-1.69–1.8 | 0.890.25–1.49 | 0.54 |
| 2045 | 0.03-1.73–1.77 | 0.860.23–1.48 | 0.52 |
| 2046 | 0.01-1.8–1.83 | 0.830.19–1.49 | 0.5 |
| 2047 | 0-1.8–1.82 | 0.80.16–1.48 | 0.48 |
| 2048 | -0.02-1.87–1.94 | 0.770.14–1.46 | 0.46 |
| 2049 | -0.05-1.94–1.94 | 0.750.11–1.41 | 0.44 |
| 2050 | -0.05-1.93–2.04 | 0.720.08–1.39 | 0.42 |
| 2051 | -0.09-2.03–1.99 | 0.690.07–1.39 | 0.4 |
| 2052 | -0.1-2.13–1.96 | 0.670.03–1.37 | 0.38 |
| 2053 | -0.12-2.17–1.91 | 0.64-0–1.33 | 0.36 |
| 2054 | -0.16-2.31–1.88 | 0.61-0.05–1.35 | 0.34 |
| 2055 | -0.18-2.25–1.87 | 0.58-0.1–1.32 | 0.33 |
| 2056 | -0.2-2.28–1.96 | 0.56-0.14–1.28 | 0.31 |
| 2057 | -0.21-2.37–1.82 | 0.53-0.2–1.28 | 0.3 |
| 2058 | -0.21-2.43–1.9 | 0.5-0.2–1.27 | 0.28 |
| 2059 | -0.23-2.46–1.84 | 0.48-0.23–1.28 | 0.27 |
| 2060 | -0.26-2.39–1.85 | 0.45-0.27–1.27 | 0.25 |
| 2061 | -0.26-2.54–1.93 | 0.42-0.33–1.25 | 0.24 |
| 2062 | -0.29-2.7–1.93 | 0.4-0.37–1.21 | 0.23 |
| 2063 | -0.32-2.71–1.87 | 0.37-0.41–1.2 | 0.22 |
| 2064 | -0.34-2.83–1.84 | 0.34-0.45–1.2 | 0.21 |
| 2065 | -0.36-2.87–1.87 | 0.31-0.48–1.19 | 0.2 |
| 2066 | -0.36-2.89–1.95 | 0.29-0.54–1.18 | 0.19 |
| 2067 | -0.38-3.01–1.9 | 0.26-0.57–1.12 | 0.18 |
| 2068 | -0.41-3.14–1.91 | 0.23-0.59–1.1 | 0.17 |
| 2069 | -0.42-3.26–2.01 | 0.2-0.62–1.09 | 0.16 |
| 2070 | -0.44-3.31–1.99 | 0.17-0.67–1.03 | 0.15 |
| 2071 | -0.45-3.4–1.95 | 0.15-0.73–0.95 | 0.14 |
| 2072 | -0.47-3.26–2.06 | 0.12-0.74–1 | 0.13 |
| 2073 | -0.53-3.34–1.88 | 0.1-0.79–0.98 | 0.12 |
| 2074 | -0.52-3.53–1.92 | 0.07-0.83–0.99 | 0.1 |
| 2075 | -0.55-3.62–2.03 | 0.05-0.83–0.99 | 0.09 |
| 2076 | -0.59-3.64–1.89 | 0.03-0.85–0.98 | 0.08 |
| 2077 | -0.61-3.77–1.92 | 0-0.91–0.93 | 0.07 |
| 2078 | -0.64-3.8–2.06 | -0.02-0.94–0.91 | 0.06 |
| 2079 | -0.67-3.87–2.03 | -0.05-1.02–0.87 | 0.05 |
| 2080 | -0.7-3.97–2.05 | -0.07-1.04–0.84 | 0.04 |
| 2081 | -0.72-4.07–1.97 | -0.09-1.04–0.85 | 0.03 |
| 2082 | -0.73-4.12–2.11 | -0.11-1.1–0.88 | 0.02 |
| 2083 | -0.75-4.14–2.08 | -0.13-1.15–0.84 | 0.01 |
| 2084 | -0.79-4.29–2.15 | -0.15-1.16–0.85 | -0 |
| 2085 | -0.8-4.28–2.12 | -0.16-1.21–0.83 | -0.01 |
| 2086 | -0.81-4.44–2.17 | -0.18-1.26–0.83 | -0.02 |
| 2087 | -0.82-4.51–2.2 | -0.2-1.29–0.83 | -0.03 |
| 2088 | -0.83-4.54–2.22 | -0.21-1.31–0.82 | -0.04 |
| 2089 | -0.84-4.58–2.3 | -0.23-1.35–0.79 | -0.05 |
| 2090 | -0.85-4.77–2.22 | -0.24-1.39–0.78 | -0.05 |
| 2091 | -0.86-4.78–2.31 | -0.26-1.4–0.78 | -0.06 |
| 2092 | -0.86-4.77–2.22 | -0.27-1.47–0.73 | -0.07 |
| 2093 | -0.87-4.88–2.27 | -0.28-1.52–0.76 | -0.07 |
| 2094 | -0.88-4.88–2.13 | -0.29-1.55–0.75 | -0.08 |
| 2095 | -0.88-4.94–2.21 | -0.3-1.56–0.76 | -0.09 |
| 2096 | -0.88-5.11–2.16 | -0.31-1.58–0.74 | -0.1 |
| 2097 | -0.86-5.09–2.21 | -0.32-1.59–0.74 | -0.11 |
| 2098 | -0.86-5.19–2.22 | -0.33-1.65–0.68 | -0.11 |
| 2099 | -0.86-5.21–2.23 | -0.34-1.63–0.73 | -0.12 |
| 2100 | -0.86-5.36–2.35 | -0.35-1.65–0.74 | -0.13 |
Each country on its own
Good to know
- How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
- Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
- The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
- Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
- The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.
How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time