Ethiopia vs Kenya

Ethiopia vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 24.1 °C in Ethiopia and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 1.8 °C, or 1.07 times that in Ethiopia.

°C · ERA5

Ethiopia vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 24.1 °C in Ethiopia and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 1.8 °C, or 1.07 times that in Ethiopia.
EthiopiaKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Ethiopia ranked 108 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ethiopia at 25.7 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202524.12425.926
202424.324.226.126.2
202324.124.125.726
2022242425.725.9
202123.823.925.825.9
202023.823.925.525.9
201923.923.825.925.8
201823.423.925.125.9
201723.923.925.925.8
201624.123.825.825.7
20152423.925.825.8
201423.623.825.525.7
201323.423.825.225.6
201223.623.725.425.6
201123.423.825.525.7
201023.623.725.525.6
20092423.625.825.6
200823.323.525.325.5
200723.523.525.425.4
200623.423.525.425.5
200523.523.525.625.5
200423.223.525.325.5
200323.323.625.325.5
200223.423.525.125.5
20012323.62525.6
200022.923.425.225.4
199923.223.42525.4
199823.623.424.825.4
199723.123.324.925.3
199622.923.325.125.3
199523.323.225.125.2
199423.223.12525.1
199322.822.924.725
199222.922.924.824.9
199123.123.224.825.2
199023.123.324.625.3
198922.623.224.425.2
198823.223.22525.2
198723.323.225.325.2
198622.723.224.625.2
198522.42324.525
198422.823.124.725.1
198322.92325.225
198222.623.124.625.1
198122.723.224.625.2
198023.123.22525.2
197922.723.124.225.1
197822.52324.125.1
197722.623.124.325.1
197622.52324.625
197522.322.924.425
197422.32324.525
197322.923.125.125.1
197222.62324.725
197122.12324.325
197022.822.924.524.9
196922.92324.624.9
196822.122.923.724.9
19672222.824.224.8
196622.722.924.724.9
196522.422.824.324.9
196422.422.72424.7
196322.222.723.924.8
196222.2232425
196122.323.124.325
196022.12324.425
195922.32324.625
195822.82324.425
195722.22324.125
195622.122.924.225
195522.12324.325
195421.8232425
195321.32323.125
195221.42323.525
195121.32323.525
195020.72323.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearEthiopiaEthiopia: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–2423.3–24.8–2625.4–26.7
2027–2423.3–24.7–2625.4–26.6
2028–24.223.5–24.8–26.125.6–26.6
2029–24.223.7–24.7–26.225.6–26.7
2030–24.223.6–24.8–26.125.7–26.6
2031–24.323.8–24.9–26.225.8–26.7
2032–24.323.8–25–26.225.8–26.8
2033–24.423.7–25–26.325.7–26.8
2034–24.323.8–25–26.225.7–26.8
2035–24.423.7–25–26.325.7–26.8
2036–24.323.8–24.9–26.225.7–26.8
2037–24.523.8–25.1–26.325.8–26.9
2038–24.523.9–25.1–26.425.7–26.9
2039–24.523.9–25.1–26.425.8–26.8
2040–24.523.9–25.1–26.325.9–26.9
2041–24.523.9–25.2–26.525.8–27.2
2042–24.524–25.3–26.525.9–27.1
2043–24.523.9–25.3–26.325.8–27
2044–24.623.9–25.3–26.525.9–27
2045–24.724.1–25.4–26.526–27.2
2046–24.823.9–25.6–26.626–27.4
2047–24.924.1–25.5–26.726–27.3
2048–24.824.1–25.6–26.626.1–27.4
2049–24.924.3–25.6–26.826.1–27.4
2050–24.824.2–25.6–26.626.1–27.4
2051–24.924.2–25.7–26.826.1–27.4
2052–24.924.2–25.5–26.826.2–27.4
2053–24.924.1–25.6–26.726–27.3
2054–24.924.2–25.6–26.726–27.3
2055–2524.2–25.7–26.826.1–27.4
2056–24.924.1–25.9–26.826–27.5
2057–2524.4–25.9–26.826.3–27.6
2058–25.224.1–25.9–26.926.1–27.6
2059–25.124.3–26–26.926.2–27.7
2060–25.224.4–26–27.126.1–27.7
2061–25.224.3–26.1–2726.2–27.7
2062–25.124.2–26.1–26.926.2–27.8
2063–25.124.4–25.9–2726.4–27.6
2064–25.324.4–25.9–27.126.2–27.6
2065–25.124.5–26–2726.4–27.8
2066–25.224.6–25.9–2726.4–27.7
2067–25.324.4–26.1–27.126.3–27.8
2068–25.224.4–26.2–27.126.3–27.8
2069–25.224.5–26.2–2726.3–27.9
2070–25.224.5–26.3–2726.3–27.8
2071–25.424.5–26.4–27.226.4–28
2072–25.424.6–26.1–27.226.5–27.8
2073–25.524.8–26.4–27.226.5–28
2074–25.324.5–26.4–27.126.4–28
2075–25.424.4–26.3–27.126.3–28
2076–25.524.6–26.4–27.326.5–28.1
2077–25.524.6–26.5–27.326.5–28.1
2078–25.424.7–26.4–27.126.5–27.9
2079–25.524.6–26.3–27.326.5–28.1
2080–25.624.6–26.4–27.326.5–28.1
2081–25.624.8–26.5–27.326.6–28.1
2082–25.624.8–26.4–27.426.5–28.1
2083–25.524.8–26.7–27.326.6–28.4
2084–25.624.8–26.5–27.426.6–28.2
2085–25.624.8–26.6–27.326.6–28.3
2086–25.724.7–26.7–27.526.5–28.3
2087–25.624.7–26.7–27.426.6–28.3
2088–25.624.8–26.7–27.426.6–28.3
2089–25.624.9–26.5–27.426.7–28.1
2090–25.724.9–26.7–27.426.7–28.4
2091–25.924.8–26.7–27.626.6–28.4
2092–25.724.9–26.6–27.426.6–28.3
2093–25.824.9–26.7–27.526.7–28.3
2094–25.725–26.7–27.526.8–28.3
2095–25.825–26.8–27.626.7–28.4
2096–25.724.8–26.8–27.526.5–28.5
2097–25.624.8–26.7–27.526.5–28.3
2098–25.624.8–26.8–27.626.7–28.4
2099–25.824.8–26.9–27.526.5–28.6
2100–25.724.9–26.8–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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