Ethiopia vs Kenya

Ethiopia vs Kenya: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 144.9 nights in Ethiopia and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 100.7 nights, or 1.69 times that in Ethiopia.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Ethiopia vs Kenya: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 144.9 nights in Ethiopia and 245.6 nights in Kenya, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 100.7 nights, or 1.69 times that in Ethiopia.
EthiopiaKenyaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ethiopia at 201.7 nights and Kenya at 277 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEthiopiaKenya
2014144.9245.6
2013145.1245.4
2012144.4244.7
2011145.6245
2010142.4243.8
2009140.3242.3
2008137.1240.3
2007138.2240.9
2006138.7241.5
2005138.1241.2
2004139.1241.8
2003138.8240.8
2002137.4240.7
2001139.2242
2000135.5239.5
1999132.6237.8
1998132.9239.2
1997132.7236.9
1996129.7234.2
1995127.8232.9
1994126.3231.9
1993122.5227.4
1992119.7224.8
1991129.5233.8
1990132.7236.4
1989129.4234.5
1988128.2233.1
1987126.4232.6
1986128.1233
1985122.8228.7
1984124.8230.2
1983120.6226.7
1982126.3230.6
1981127232.9
1980124.9231.3
1979125.1229.6
1978124.7228.7
1977125.8229.9
1976122227.8
1975119.5225.9
1974124230.5
1973125.2230.4
1972122.3228.7
1971120.6226
1970121.3226.3
1969120.4225.9
1968119.1222.9
1967118.1224
1966119.5225.2
1965117.4224.2
1964116.6221.8
1963115.7220.2
1962121.6227.2
1961124.2228.3
1960124.5228.8
1959121.6228.3
1958124.1229.1
1957123.2228
1956120.9225.5
1955122.8228.7
1954121.6227.4
1953121.2227.6
1952122.8228.5
1951123228.3
1950122226.3
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEthiopiaKenya
2015146.6129.4–163.9246.9232.3–256.1
2016144.1127–160.6244.9230.1–255
2017148.3129.2–164.9248.1233.1–257.7
2018149.6131.6–166248.7237–257.4
2019146.2129.3–166247.1234.8–256.7
2020149.4129.6–168.5248.6233.2–259.2
2021150.7132.1–170249.5236.3–258.1
2022154135.7–171.2251.5239.7–259.5
2023153.5135.4–171.4251.8239–260.8
2024156.5135.9–175.6254.2239.1–263
2025154132.6–175.5251.5238.1–261.8
2026153132–175252.2237.2–263.3
2027154.2134.4–175.3252.8238.4–263.8
2028157.5138.3–177.4254.9241.9–264.2
2029159.2141.8–176.8256243.4–264.6
2030156.8136.3–175.7253.6240.6–263.1
2031161.4142.4–179.1256244.7–264.4
2032161.7143.1–182.5257243.8–267.1
2033161.8140–180.9256241.8–265.9
2034158.8141.5–184.3256.2241.2–267.9
2035162141.7–184.2256.7243.3–266.7
2036160.5143.6–179.4256.2242.4–266.7
2037165145.8–184.5258.7245.9–268.4
2038167.1146.5–186.7260.3244.5–268.9
2039164.5143.9–186259244.4–268
2040165.9146.2–190.1258.3246.2–269.8
2041167.9146.3–189.3260.7244.8–271.2
2042167.7146–194.3260.3246.5–272.7
2043167.3145.5–190.8259246.6–270.5
2044168.2148.2–189.9261.2248.8–270.9
2045170.7149.1–192.3261.8248.7–272.9
2046175.3150–198.6264.8249.6–275.3
2047176.9151.8–197.5264.4249.8–275.3
2048177.5155.4–199.1264.2252.3–274.9
2049177.5157.9–198.4265.2252.8–275.6
2050176.4153.8–199263.9249.8–275.1
2051176.6155.3–199.7265.4252.1–275.1
2052177155.6–200.7266.3252.6–276.2
2053176.7154.2–201.6265.2251–275.4
2054177.6156.9–201.1265.2250.2–277.2
2055180.6155.2–202.3266.8251.6–277.6
2056177.3155–205.4266.2251.2–277.8
2057180.3159.3–205.5266.8253–278
2058182.6153.7–209.4266.7251.5–277.9
2059185.7160.1–210.6269.8254.7–280.5
2060185.9160.3–210.4271.1253.9–280.7
2061183.3158.3–211.7267.5253.9–281.7
2062183.8155.4–213268.1254–281.2
2063184.5159.1–208.6268.9255–280.1
2064186.7160.6–207.2270254.1–279.8
2065183.7162.4–212.9269.4255.8–282.3
2066187.1165.4–210.1270.6258.1–281
2067187.1160.7–214.5270.7256.1–283
2068187.6160.4–215.8270.2256–283
2069187.8165.4–215.8269.8256.1–283.3
2070187.9161.6–216.9270.1255.8–282.6
2071192.7165.2–219.5271.9257.9–284.4
2072193.6167.4–214.5273.5260.3–283.8
2073193.3169.7–218.7273.1259.9–285.4
2074188.5163.9–219271.9257.5–285.4
2075191.9162.7–218.6271.1256.5–284.7
2076195166.9–218.9274.1258.6–285.8
2077194.1169.3–223.3273.4259–286.6
2078192.1168.4–218.6273.1260–284.4
2079193.4166.6–220.9273.3258.7–286.6
2080196.1169.2–222.4275.5259.4–286.9
2081194.6171–221.4274.7259.8–285.6
2082195.4168.8–219.9274.8261.3–286.4
2083194.6168.2–228.7274259.6–289.3
2084198.5170.7–224.2276.8259–288.8
2085198.4173.1–226.3276.2261.5–289.1
2086198.6172.3–228.4275.1260–289.1
2087199170.6–226.6276.2260.3–288.5
2088199170.7–227.7276.8261.6–289.7
2089198.6171.2–226.2275.9260.3–288.8
2090198.6173.4–227.7275.3260.5–290.5
2091203.6171.9–232.1277.7260.4–290.9
2092200.7172.5–229.7276.2261.2–290.7
2093201.4175.2–228.6276.9262–290.1
2094200.2174–228.9277262.8–288.9
2095203.9175.7–231.9278.4262.3–290.4
2096199.1170.5–230.8277.6260.5–292
2097198.4171.8–229.3277261–290.2
2098198.7172.1–231.5277.6262.3–291.5
2099201.8172.8–233.3277.9260.8–292.4
2100201.7175.1–231.8277261.8–290.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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