Ethiopia

Tropical nights in Ethiopia

Tropical nights in Ethiopia: 122 nights in 1950 and 144.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run.

Latest, 2014
144.9 nights
Modelled
Since 1950
+22.9 nights
Projected, 2100
201.7 nights
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)
Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Tropical nights in EthiopiaTropical nights in Ethiopia: 122 nights in 1950 and 144.9 nights in 2014, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 201.7 nights in 2100, between 175.1 nights and 231.8 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
CMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts it at 201.7 nights in 2100, between 175.1 nights and 231.8 nights (models’ 10th–90th percentile).
  • The highest was 145.6 nights in 2011, the lowest 115.7 nights in 1963.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearEthiopia
2014144.9
2013145.1
2012144.4
2011145.6
2010142.4
2009140.3
2008137.1
2007138.2
2006138.7
2005138.1
2004139.1
2003138.8
2002137.4
2001139.2
2000135.5
1999132.6
1998132.9
1997132.7
1996129.7
1995127.8
1994126.3
1993122.5
1992119.7
1991129.5
1990132.7
1989129.4
1988128.2
1987126.4
1986128.1
1985122.8
1984124.8
1983120.6
1982126.3
1981127
1980124.9
1979125.1
1978124.7
1977125.8
1976122
1975119.5
1974124
1973125.2
1972122.3
1971120.6
1970121.3
1969120.4
1968119.1
1967118.1
1966119.5
1965117.4
1964116.6
1963115.7
1962121.6
1961124.2
1960124.5
1959121.6
1958124.1
1957123.2
1956120.9
1955122.8
1954121.6
1953121.2
1952122.8
1951123
1950122
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearEthiopia
2015146.6129.4–163.9
2016144.1127–160.6
2017148.3129.2–164.9
2018149.6131.6–166
2019146.2129.3–166
2020149.4129.6–168.5
2021150.7132.1–170
2022154135.7–171.2
2023153.5135.4–171.4
2024156.5135.9–175.6
2025154132.6–175.5
2026153132–175
2027154.2134.4–175.3
2028157.5138.3–177.4
2029159.2141.8–176.8
2030156.8136.3–175.7
2031161.4142.4–179.1
2032161.7143.1–182.5
2033161.8140–180.9
2034158.8141.5–184.3
2035162141.7–184.2
2036160.5143.6–179.4
2037165145.8–184.5
2038167.1146.5–186.7
2039164.5143.9–186
2040165.9146.2–190.1
2041167.9146.3–189.3
2042167.7146–194.3
2043167.3145.5–190.8
2044168.2148.2–189.9
2045170.7149.1–192.3
2046175.3150–198.6
2047176.9151.8–197.5
2048177.5155.4–199.1
2049177.5157.9–198.4
2050176.4153.8–199
2051176.6155.3–199.7
2052177155.6–200.7
2053176.7154.2–201.6
2054177.6156.9–201.1
2055180.6155.2–202.3
2056177.3155–205.4
2057180.3159.3–205.5
2058182.6153.7–209.4
2059185.7160.1–210.6
2060185.9160.3–210.4
2061183.3158.3–211.7
2062183.8155.4–213
2063184.5159.1–208.6
2064186.7160.6–207.2
2065183.7162.4–212.9
2066187.1165.4–210.1
2067187.1160.7–214.5
2068187.6160.4–215.8
2069187.8165.4–215.8
2070187.9161.6–216.9
2071192.7165.2–219.5
2072193.6167.4–214.5
2073193.3169.7–218.7
2074188.5163.9–219
2075191.9162.7–218.6
2076195166.9–218.9
2077194.1169.3–223.3
2078192.1168.4–218.6
2079193.4166.6–220.9
2080196.1169.2–222.4
2081194.6171–221.4
2082195.4168.8–219.9
2083194.6168.2–228.7
2084198.5170.7–224.2
2085198.4173.1–226.3
2086198.6172.3–228.4
2087199170.6–226.6
2088199170.7–227.7
2089198.6171.2–226.2
2090198.6173.4–227.7
2091203.6171.9–232.1
2092200.7172.5–229.7
2093201.4175.2–228.6
2094200.2174–228.9
2095203.9175.7–231.9
2096199.1170.5–230.8
2097198.4171.8–229.3
2098198.7172.1–231.5
2099201.8172.8–233.3
2100201.7175.1–231.8

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

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