France vs Japan

France vs Japan: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 12.9 °C in Japan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Japan, by 0.6 °C, or 1.05 times that in France.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

France vs Japan: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 12.9 °C in Japan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Japan, by 0.6 °C, or 1.05 times that in France.
FranceJapanCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Japan has been higher since 2023, when it overtook France.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Japan at 14.8 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianJapanJapan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.112.912.9
202412.211.913.513.1
202312.811.913.513.1
20221312.312.812.9
202111.412.112.812.7
202012.61212.812.7
201912.21212.712.8
201812.411.912.612.7
201711.811.61212.7
201611.611.912.612.6
201512.111.712.612.6
201412.311.511.912.3
201310.911.712.112.6
201211.311.411.712.5
201112.211.611.912.4
201010.411.612.412.5
200911.511.612.212.3
200811.111.612.112.3
200711.511.512.412.2
200611.811.61212.4
200511.211.511.712.2
200411.211.412.612.1
20031211.411.712.1
200211.711.21212.3
200111.311.311.612.2
200011.611.311.912.2
199911.511.112.112
19981111.112.411.9
199711.71111.811.9
199610.41111.112
199511.410.911.511.7
199411.910.912.311.8
199310.610.611.211.5
199210.910.611.611.5
199110.5111211.7
199011.61112.711.9
198911.7111211.7
198811.110.81111.7
198710.310.911.611.6
198610.310.510.811.6
19859.910.611.311.5
198410.210.810.711.3
198310.910.611.211.2
198211.210.611.411.5
198110.610.710.711.5
19809.810.810.811.4
197910.110.611.611.4
197810.110.711.511.6
197710.610.411.311.5
197610.910.310.811.3
197510.510.611.411.5
197410.610.810.911.4
197310.310.611.411.4
19721010.511.711.5
197110.310.41111.3
197010.410.310.911.3
196910.310.410.811.4
196810.410.411.211.2
196710.610.511.211.5
196610.810.510.511.4
19651010.410.111.4
196410.510.411.411.5
19639.510.611.211.6
19621010.611.311.4
196111.610.611.911.7
196010.710.511.411.6
195911.510.711.911.5
195810.710.611.511.7
195710.810.51111.7
19569.510.710.911.8
195510.810.711.611.6
19549.910.511.211.6
195310.510.510.911.7
195210.510.71011.6
195110.310.610.411.6
195010.710.710.711.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianJapanJapan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4–13.112.2–13.9
2027–12.211.6–13.3–13.112.4–13.9
2028–12.211.5–13.5–13.112.2–13.8
2029–12.211.4–13.1–13.212.7–14.1
2030–12.111.3–13–13.212.3–14
2031–12.111.3–13.2–13.212.2–14.1
2032–12.511.5–13.4–13.212.5–13.9
2033–12.311.3–13.3–13.512.7–14.1
2034–12.511.4–13.5–13.412.4–14.2
2035–12.411.4–13.5–13.412.5–14.3
2036–12.511.7–13.7–13.512.6–14.3
2037–12.411.5–13.2–13.312.6–14.2
2038–12.411.7–13.2–13.612.7–14.2
2039–12.411.5–13.2–13.512.5–14.2
2040–12.311.5–13.6–13.512.7–14.5
2041–12.311.7–13.3–13.412.7–14.6
2042–12.411.7–13.5–13.512.5–14.4
2043–12.511.3–13.7–13.612.6–14.7
2044–12.511.4–13.7–13.612.8–14.5
2045–12.612–13.5–13.612.7–14.4
2046–12.511.5–13.4–13.712.8–14.7
2047–12.811.7–13.5–13.812.8–14.6
2048–12.712.1–13.7–13.912.8–14.7
2049–12.611.9–14.2–13.712.8–14.8
2050–12.912.2–13.7–13.812.9–14.9
2051–12.811.5–13.9–13.912.8–14.9
2052–12.811.7–14–13.712.7–14.5
2053–12.911.7–13.8–1413.1–14.8
2054–12.811.9–13.8–13.913.1–14.8
2055–12.911.9–14–1413–15
2056–12.811.6–14.3–14.113.1–15
2057–12.911.8–14.3–1412.9–15.1
2058–13.112.3–14.4–14.113.1–15.1
2059–1311.8–14.1–14.312.9–15
2060–13.212.3–13.8–14.113.1–15.1
2061–13.312.3–14.1–14.113–15.1
2062–13.212–14.2–14.213.1–15.3
2063–13.412.2–14.2–14.313.2–15.3
2064–12.812–13.9–1413.1–15
2065–13.111.7–14.5–14.213–15.3
2066–13.112.1–14.4–14.113–15.1
2067–13.412–14.5–14.313.2–15.3
2068–13.212.4–14.6–14.113–15.6
2069–13.512.3–14.5–14.313.3–15.3
2070–13.112.1–14.8–14.213.2–15.6
2071–13.312–14.7–14.313.3–15.5
2072–13.312.5–14.6–14.313.1–15.3
2073–13.312.4–14.5–14.413.3–15.3
2074–13.412.2–14.6–14.313.3–15.3
2075–1312.1–14.4–14.513.1–15.3
2076–13.312.2–14.9–14.413.5–15.4
2077–13.112–14.4–14.613.3–15.6
2078–13.212.3–15–14.413.3–15.6
2079–13.212.1–14.8–14.513.4–15.6
2080–13.312.4–14.7–14.513.3–15.7
2081–13.312.3–14.8–14.613.6–15.6
2082–13.412.3–14.8–14.613.5–15.9
2083–13.412.4–14.5–14.513.6–15.8
2084–13.512.4–14.5–14.513.2–15.8
2085–13.712.6–14.5–14.613.5–15.8
2086–13.612.4–14.9–14.513.5–15.9
2087–13.712.7–15.2–14.713.4–16.1
2088–13.812.6–15.3–14.713.4–15.9
2089–13.712.5–14.8–14.813.5–16.1
2090–13.912.6–14.9–14.913.6–16
2091–13.612.6–15–14.813.6–15.9
2092–13.612.5–14.8–14.713.6–15.5
2093–13.412.5–14.7–14.913.7–15.9
2094–13.512.4–15.2–14.813.4–15.7
2095–13.512.3–15.1–14.813.7–15.8
2096–13.912.2–15–14.713.7–16
2097–13.412.5–15.1–14.813.7–15.7
2098–13.812.5–14.9–14.713.8–15.9
2099–13.912.5–14.9–14.813.4–15.9
2100–13.712.5–14.9–14.813.7–16

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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