France vs Russia

France vs Russia: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 14.6 °C.

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°C · ERA5

France vs Russia: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and -2.3 °C in Russia, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 14.6 °C.
FranceRussiaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • France has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Russia at 0.1 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.1-2.3-2.7
202412.211.9-2.2-2.8
202312.811.9-2.5-2.9
20221312.3-2.5-2.7
202111.412.1-3.4-2.9
202012.612-1.2-2.9
201912.212-2.5-2.9
201812.411.9-3.1-3
201711.811.6-2.5-3.2
201611.611.9-2.8-3.1
201512.111.7-2.6-3
201412.311.5-3.4-3
201310.911.7-3.2-3
201211.311.4-3.4-3.3
201112.211.6-2.8-3.5
201010.411.6-4-3.4
200911.511.6-4.1-3.4
200811.111.6-2.8-3.2
200711.511.5-2.4-3.4
200611.811.6-4.1-3.5
200511.211.5-2.9-3.4
200411.211.4-4-3.8
20031211.4-3.3-3.5
200211.711.2-3.7-3.7
200111.311.3-4-3.7
200011.611.3-4.2-3.8
199911.511.1-4.3-4
19981111.1-4.8-4
199711.711-3.9-4.3
199610.411-4.4-4.1
199511.410.9-2.7-4.3
199411.910.9-4.4-4.6
199310.610.6-4.1-4.6
199210.910.6-4.4-4.7
199110.511-3.7-4.3
199011.611-3.5-4.2
198911.711-3.5-4.2
198811.110.8-3.8-4.3
198710.310.9-5.8-4.7
198610.310.5-4.3-4.5
19859.910.6-5-4.4
198410.210.8-4.8-5.1
198310.910.6-3.4-5.1
198211.210.6-4.6-4.7
198110.610.7-3.6-4.9
19809.810.8-4.9-4.8
197910.110.6-5.3-4.7
197810.110.7-4.8-4.6
197710.610.4-5-4.7
197610.910.3-5.4-5.1
197510.510.6-3.6-4.9
197410.610.8-5.1-4.8
197310.310.6-4.3-5.1
19721010.5-5.2-5
197110.310.4-4.4-5.1
197010.410.3-5-5.1
196910.310.4-6.2-5.1
196810.410.4-5.1-4.8
196710.610.5-3.8-5
196610.810.5-5.7-5.1
19651010.4-5.3-5.3
196410.510.4-5.2-4.9
19639.510.6-4.5-5
19621010.6-3.9-5
196111.610.6-4.4-4.8
196010.710.5-5.4-4.9
195911.510.7-4.2-4.8
195810.710.6-5.5-4.9
195710.810.5-4.6-5.1
19569.510.7-5.2-4.8
195510.810.7-5-4.7
19549.910.5-4.7-4.8
195310.510.5-4.1-4.9
195210.510.7-5.6-4.9
195110.310.6-4.4-5
195010.710.7-4.9-4.8
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianRussiaRussia: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4–-2.5-4–-0.8
2027–12.211.6–13.3–-2.4-4–-0.7
2028–12.211.5–13.5–-2.5-4–-0.8
2029–12.211.4–13.1–-2.3-3.7–-0.8
2030–12.111.3–13–-2.3-3.6–-0.8
2031–12.111.3–13.2–-2.3-3.7–-1
2032–12.511.5–13.4–-2.2-3.9–-0.7
2033–12.311.3–13.3–-2.2-3.5–-0.6
2034–12.511.4–13.5–-2.1-3.6–-0.8
2035–12.411.4–13.5–-2.2-3.7–-0.7
2036–12.511.7–13.7–-2-3.7–-0.3
2037–12.411.5–13.2–-1.9-3.4–-0.5
2038–12.411.7–13.2–-2.1-3.6–-0.3
2039–12.411.5–13.2–-1.9-3.3–-0.4
2040–12.311.5–13.6–-1.9-3.3–0.1
2041–12.311.7–13.3–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2042–12.411.7–13.5–-1.9-3.6–-0.3
2043–12.511.3–13.7–-1.5-3.3–0.1
2044–12.511.4–13.7–-1.8-3.6–0.2
2045–12.612–13.5–-1.8-3.3–0.2
2046–12.511.5–13.4–-1.7-3.2–0.3
2047–12.811.7–13.5–-1.3-3.2–0.3
2048–12.712.1–13.7–-1.4-3–0.3
2049–12.611.9–14.2–-1.2-2.7–0.9
2050–12.912.2–13.7–-1.3-2.9–0.6
2051–12.811.5–13.9–-1.4-3.1–0.6
2052–12.811.7–14–-1.4-2.9–0.4
2053–12.911.7–13.8–-1.1-2.7–0.8
2054–12.811.9–13.8–-1.3-3–0.7
2055–12.911.9–14–-1.4-3–0.9
2056–12.811.6–14.3–-1.2-2.8–0.7
2057–12.911.8–14.3–-1.1-3.4–1.1
2058–13.112.3–14.4–-1.1-2.7–1.2
2059–1311.8–14.1–-1-2.8–1.3
2060–13.212.3–13.8–-1-2.4–0.9
2061–13.312.3–14.1–-1.1-2.7–1.1
2062–13.212–14.2–-0.9-2.7–1.3
2063–13.412.2–14.2–-0.7-2.7–1.4
2064–12.812–13.9–-0.8-2.5–1
2065–13.111.7–14.5–-0.8-2.8–1.3
2066–13.112.1–14.4–-0.6-2.3–1.2
2067–13.412–14.5–-0.7-2.3–1.5
2068–13.212.4–14.6–-0.9-2.8–1.1
2069–13.512.3–14.5–-0.6-2.4–1.7
2070–13.112.1–14.8–-0.5-2.3–1.6
2071–13.312–14.7–-0.6-2.6–1.7
2072–13.312.5–14.6–-0.6-2.3–1.6
2073–13.312.4–14.5–-0.7-2.5–1.7
2074–13.412.2–14.6–-0.4-2–1.4
2075–1312.1–14.4–-0.6-2.6–1.6
2076–13.312.2–14.9–-0.4-2.4–1.5
2077–13.112–14.4–-0.4-1.7–1.3
2078–13.212.3–15–-0.5-2.4–1.7
2079–13.212.1–14.8–-0.4-2.1–2
2080–13.312.4–14.7–-0.3-2.3–1.5
2081–13.312.3–14.8–-0.4-2.1–1.6
2082–13.412.3–14.8–-0.2-2.1–2.1
2083–13.412.4–14.5–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2084–13.512.4–14.5–-0.2-2.1–1.8
2085–13.712.6–14.5–-0.2-2.1–1.9
2086–13.612.4–14.9–-0-2–2.2
2087–13.712.7–15.2–0.1-1.9–2.2
2088–13.812.6–15.3–-0.1-2.1–2
2089–13.712.5–14.8–-0.1-2–2.1
2090–13.912.6–14.9–-0.2-2.3–2.1
2091–13.612.6–15–0.2-1.8–2
2092–13.612.5–14.8–0.2-1.9–2.4
2093–13.412.5–14.7–0.3-1.8–2.5
2094–13.512.4–15.2–0.1-1.9–2.8
2095–13.512.3–15.1–0.2-1.6–2.2
2096–13.912.2–15–0.2-2–2.3
2097–13.412.5–15.1–0.2-1.6–2.6
2098–13.812.5–14.9–0-1.9–2.3
2099–13.912.5–14.9–0.1-2.1–2.6
2100–13.712.5–14.9–0.1-1.7–2.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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