France vs Ukraine

France vs Ukraine: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 10.6 °C in Ukraine, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 1.8 °C, or 1.17 times that in Ukraine.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

France vs Ukraine: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.3 °C in France and 10.6 °C in Ukraine, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in France, by 1.8 °C, or 1.17 times that in Ukraine.
FranceUkraineCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • France has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts France at 13.7 °C and Ukraine at 12 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUkraineUkraine: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.312.110.610
202412.211.911.69.7
202312.811.910.99.7
20221312.31010.2
202111.412.19.310.1
202012.61210.810
201912.21210.79.5
201812.411.99.99.6
201711.811.6109.5
201611.611.99.79.4
201512.111.710.39.7
201412.311.59.69.3
201310.911.79.89.4
201211.311.49.59.3
201112.211.699.1
201010.411.69.79.5
200911.511.69.69.4
200811.111.69.79.3
200711.511.510.39.2
200611.811.68.79.2
200511.211.59.19.2
200411.211.48.98.9
20031211.48.39.2
200211.711.29.58.9
200111.311.398.9
200011.611.39.49
199911.511.19.78.8
19981111.18.68.7
199711.7117.78.8
199610.4117.79
199511.410.98.88.4
199411.910.98.98.5
199310.610.67.58.3
199210.910.68.47.7
199110.5118.38.1
199011.6119.48.6
198911.7119.78.3
198811.110.87.88.1
198710.310.96.28
198610.310.58.18.3
19859.910.66.78.3
198410.210.887.8
198310.910.69.17.8
198211.210.68.37.7
198110.610.78.87.7
19809.810.86.97.9
197910.110.68.38
197810.110.77.38
197710.610.47.97.9
197610.910.36.68
197510.510.69.67.6
197410.610.88.48
197310.310.67.88.1
19721010.58.47.7
197110.310.48.38
197010.410.38.27.6
196910.310.46.97.9
196810.410.48.27.8
196710.610.58.47.8
196610.810.59.57.8
19651010.47.27.8
196410.510.47.58
19639.510.67.47.9
19621010.68.47.9
196111.610.68.68.1
196010.710.58.68.2
195911.510.77.78.1
195810.710.68.18
195710.810.58.67.6
19569.510.76.37.9
195510.810.78.18
19549.910.57.38
195310.510.57.68.3
195210.510.787.9
195110.310.68.57.8
195010.710.78.18.1
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearFranceFrance: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUkraineUkraine: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–12.311.4–13.4–10.19.2–10.9
2027–12.211.6–13.3–10.29.1–11.2
2028–12.211.5–13.5–108.9–11
2029–12.211.4–13.1–10.28.9–11.2
2030–12.111.3–13–10.49–11.2
2031–12.111.3–13.2–108.2–11.4
2032–12.511.5–13.4–10.29.2–11.3
2033–12.311.3–13.3–10.39.4–11.4
2034–12.511.4–13.5–10.29.1–11.3
2035–12.411.4–13.5–10.49.4–11.7
2036–12.511.7–13.7–10.59.3–11.9
2037–12.411.5–13.2–10.39–11.5
2038–12.411.7–13.2–10.79.2–12
2039–12.411.5–13.2–10.69.7–11.5
2040–12.311.5–13.6–10.89.6–12
2041–12.311.7–13.3–10.79.5–11.6
2042–12.411.7–13.5–10.49–11.9
2043–12.511.3–13.7–10.99.3–11.8
2044–12.511.4–13.7–10.58.7–11.9
2045–12.612–13.5–10.59.2–12.2
2046–12.511.5–13.4–10.59.2–11.7
2047–12.811.7–13.5–119.2–12.2
2048–12.712.1–13.7–119.7–12
2049–12.611.9–14.2–10.99.7–12
2050–12.912.2–13.7–11.29.6–12.3
2051–12.811.5–13.9–11.19.7–12.4
2052–12.811.7–14–10.99.8–12.3
2053–12.911.7–13.8–11.29.6–12.4
2054–12.811.9–13.8–10.89.8–12.2
2055–12.911.9–14–10.79.5–12.4
2056–12.811.6–14.3–119.9–12.1
2057–12.911.8–14.3–10.99.9–12.7
2058–13.112.3–14.4–11.49.7–12.9
2059–1311.8–14.1–11.29.8–12.7
2060–13.212.3–13.8–119.8–12.6
2061–13.312.3–14.1–11.29.5–12.3
2062–13.212–14.2–11.410–12.8
2063–13.412.2–14.2–11.49.4–12.5
2064–12.812–13.9–11.410–12.3
2065–13.111.7–14.5–11.49.9–12.8
2066–13.112.1–14.4–11.19.9–12.7
2067–13.412–14.5–11.410–12.7
2068–13.212.4–14.6–119.8–12.9
2069–13.512.3–14.5–11.710.3–13.1
2070–13.112.1–14.8–11.49.3–12.3
2071–13.312–14.7–11.39.5–12.9
2072–13.312.5–14.6–11.810.6–12.8
2073–13.312.4–14.5–11.19.8–12.8
2074–13.412.2–14.6–11.310.3–12.6
2075–1312.1–14.4–11.210.1–12.8
2076–13.312.2–14.9–11.610.2–13.1
2077–13.112–14.4–11.610.5–12.9
2078–13.212.3–15–11.410.4–12.5
2079–13.212.1–14.8–11.510–13.4
2080–13.312.4–14.7–11.510.5–12.9
2081–13.312.3–14.8–11.610.5–13
2082–13.412.3–14.8–11.810.3–13.4
2083–13.412.4–14.5–11.510.1–13.4
2084–13.512.4–14.5–11.710.3–13.4
2085–13.712.6–14.5–11.710.3–13.1
2086–13.612.4–14.9–11.910.5–13.5
2087–13.712.7–15.2–11.810.5–13.2
2088–13.812.6–15.3–11.810.1–12.9
2089–13.712.5–14.8–11.510.1–13.2
2090–13.912.6–14.9–11.810–13.7
2091–13.612.6–15–1210.1–13.4
2092–13.612.5–14.8–12.110.4–13.6
2093–13.412.5–14.7–11.910.5–13.6
2094–13.512.4–15.2–12.19.9–13.7
2095–13.512.3–15.1–12.210.4–13.3
2096–13.912.2–15–129.9–13.7
2097–13.412.5–15.1–12.210.3–14.2
2098–13.812.5–14.9–11.810.3–13.4
2099–13.912.5–14.9–1210.1–13.3
2100–13.712.5–14.9–1210.5–13

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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