Germany vs Iran: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.8 nights in Germany and 90.8 nights in Iran, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Iran, by 90 nights, or 110 times that in Germany.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

GermanyIranCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Iran has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Germany at 8.8 nights and Iran at 124.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Germany	Iran
2014	0.8	90.8
2013	0.7	90.6
2012	0.9	90.3
2011	0.5	89.8
2010	0.9	87
2009	0.5	87.2
2008	0.2	88
2007	0.3	87.9
2006	0.3	88.2
2005	0.6	87.1
2004	0.7	86.4
2003	0.6	85.9
2002	0.2	87.7
2001	0.5	86.6
2000	0.2	86.5
1999	0.2	85.1
1998	0.1	83.8
1997	0.1	84.3
1996	0.2	82.4
1995	0.1	81.6
1994	0	80.6
1993	0	77.7
1992	0	77
1991	0.1	81.9
1990	0.1	83.1
1989	0.1	81.7
1988	0	80.4
1987	0	79.8
1986	0	80.1
1985	0.1	79.7
1984	0.1	78.8
1983	0	75.5
1982	0	77.9
1981	0	80.2
1980	0	79.4
1979	0	80.2
1978	0.1	78.1
1977	0	77.8
1976	0	77.2
1975	0	76.6
1974	0.1	76.4
1973	0	76.9
1972	0	77.4
1971	0	75
1970	0.1	75.3
1969	0	75.6
1968	0	76.3
1967	0	76.1
1966	0	75.5
1965	0	75.3
1964	0	75.3
1963	0	76.4
1962	0	77.5
1961	0	77.7
1960	0	77.6
1959	0.1	76.8
1958	0	78.4
1957	0	78.2
1956	0	76.2
1955	0	76.5
1954	0.1	77.6
1953	0	77.3
1952	0	78.2
1951	0	76.6
1950	0	77.7

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Germany	Iran
2015	0.50–4	94.482.7–106
2016	0.80–4.3	94.183.1–105.3
2017	0.70–5.1	93.981.7–104
2018	0.70–3.5	94.183–106.3
2019	1.20–5	95.183.4–105.8
2020	1.20–5.7	95.985.5–107.5
2021	10–6	97.286–107.7
2022	1.40–5.7	96.285.2–108.3
2023	1.10–5.7	98.485.7–110.6
2024	1.20–5.2	9885.1–110.5
2025	1.90–8.2	98.787.2–110.5
2026	1.90.1–6.5	99.186.7–111.7
2027	1.40–4.7	100.288.7–112.1
2028	1.50.1–5.5	99.686.2–111.6
2029	20.1–6.4	99.386.7–109.9
2030	1.60–6.1	100.889.8–111.6
2031	1.40–5.4	102.990.1–114.8
2032	1.50.1–7.6	101.289–113.9
2033	1.70–6.8	102.889.9–115.1
2034	2.10.2–8.3	104.690.7–117.3
2035	1.70.1–6.9	10592.1–116.2
2036	2.80.1–7.8	103.591.4–115.2
2037	2.50–9.2	10693.1–119.4
2038	2.20.1–9.7	105.993.2–116.5
2039	30–8.9	104.392.9–116.6
2040	2.30.1–7.1	105.592.3–118.4
2041	2.40.1–7.9	104.892.5–116.4
2042	2.90.4–8.9	107.793.4–120.7
2043	3.10.1–8.7	10692.9–118.8
2044	3.10.2–10.1	106.893.6–121.2
2045	30.1–8.7	108.795.1–121.8
2046	3.10.5–10.9	109.296.1–121.9
2047	4.30.3–10.6	110.596.9–123.3
2048	3.70.2–12.9	111.498.6–124
2049	4.40.2–11.8	11095.7–123.4
2050	3.10.6–9.3	112.199.6–125.1
2051	2.70.1–9.5	111.797.6–124.1
2052	3.60.2–11.5	11298.3–126
2053	2.30.4–8.7	111.597.5–124
2054	3.50.4–10.3	111.899–126.3
2055	3.30.4–11.3	114.6101.4–128
2056	4.50.7–14.3	113.1100.2–126.2
2057	40.4–11.3	113.899.9–128.9
2058	5.80.7–15.5	114.2100–127.7
2059	5.10.1–15.6	113.498.9–126.3
2060	4.40.6–12.3	116.3100.3–129.5
2061	5.31–12.3	115100.5–127.6
2062	5.51.6–14.2	115.799.7–131.1
2063	5.20.8–13.8	117103.7–130.3
2064	4.10.5–12.2	115.1101.7–130.3
2065	4.90.3–15.8	117.3102.8–132.3
2066	5.30.7–11.8	117.7103.7–132.1
2067	7.21.4–17.5	119103–133.5
2068	3.90.9–11.3	118.1104.3–131.4
2069	6.11.6–15	118.4103.8–133.2
2070	5.80.6–14.9	118.2104.9–132.9
2071	6.30.6–16.4	119.3105.1–135.3
2072	6.21.9–13	119103.2–135.1
2073	5.51.3–16.2	120.6104.9–137.7
2074	5.50.5–16.7	119.1104.4–134.5
2075	6.21.4–18.3	119.7105.9–135.5
2076	7.41.1–20.1	118.9102.6–137
2077	6.31.1–17.4	120.3104.3–135.3
2078	6.50.7–21.4	119.2105.3–136
2079	6.70.6–22.7	120.1103.2–135.6
2080	6.51.2–14.9	120.4106.1–139.5
2081	6.60.9–18.5	120.5104.3–137.1
2082	7.91.4–22.5	122.5107.5–137.7
2083	7.61.3–16.8	122.6105.8–140.4
2084	5.91.1–15.9	123.7107.6–139.1
2085	6.50.9–17.6	121.3106.6–140.6
2086	7.90.8–23	122.1107.9–139.8
2087	9.91.1–24.1	123.7108–140.7
2088	8.92–18.4	124106.5–142.2
2089	8.31.9–19.2	124.1109–139.7
2090	6.20.8–24.1	122.5105.4–141.9
2091	9.31.3–23.5	124.3108–140.5
2092	8.61.7–19.2	125.5110.1–140
2093	6.20.8–18.2	124.5109–139.3
2094	9.32.4–20.4	125108.7–142.9
2095	9.51.1–24	125.3108.5–141
2096	8.10.2–21.4	125.8109–142.4
2097	6.40.5–20.1	123.6106.9–141.8
2098	9.31.4–22.1	125.8109.4–143.8
2099	8.11.4–20.8	123.1107.8–140.1
2100	8.81.9–21.1	124.4107.9–143.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Germany vs Iran: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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