Germany vs United Kingdom: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 0.8 nights in Germany and 0.2 nights in United Kingdom, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Germany, by 0.7 nights, or 5.13 times that in United Kingdom.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

GermanyUnited KingdomCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Germany has been higher since 1999, when it overtook United Kingdom.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Germany at 8.8 nights and United Kingdom at 0.4 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Germany	United Kingdom
2014	0.8	0.2
2013	0.7	0.2
2012	0.9	0.2
2011	0.5	0.2
2010	0.9	0.2
2009	0.5	0.2
2008	0.2	0.2
2007	0.3	0.2
2006	0.3	0.2
2005	0.6	0.2
2004	0.7	0.2
2003	0.6	0.2
2002	0.2	0.2
2001	0.5	0.2
2000	0.2	0.2
1999	0.2	0.2
1998	0.1	0.2
1997	0.1	0.2
1996	0.2	0.2
1995	0.1	0.1
1994	0	0.2
1993	0	0.1
1992	0	0.2
1991	0.1	0.2
1990	0.1	0.2
1989	0.1	0.2
1988	0	0.1
1987	0	0.2
1986	0	0.2
1985	0.1	0.1
1984	0.1	0.1
1983	0	0.1
1982	0	0.1
1981	0	0.1
1980	0	0.1
1979	0	0.1
1978	0.1	0.1
1977	0	0.1
1976	0	0.1
1975	0	0.1
1974	0.1	0.1
1973	0	0.1
1972	0	0.1
1971	0	0.1
1970	0.1	0.1
1969	0	0.1
1968	0	0.1
1967	0	0.1
1966	0	0.1
1965	0	0.1
1964	0	0.1
1963	0	0.1
1962	0	0.2
1961	0	0.1
1960	0	0.1
1959	0.1	0.1
1958	0	0.1
1957	0	0.2
1956	0	0.2
1955	0	0.2
1954	0.1	0.1
1953	0	0.1
1952	0	0.1
1951	0	0.1
1950	0	0.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Germany	United Kingdom
2015	0.50–4	0.20.2–0.3
2016	0.80–4.3	0.20.2–0.4
2017	0.70–5.1	0.20.2–0.4
2018	0.70–3.5	0.20.2–0.3
2019	1.20–5	0.20.1–0.2
2020	1.20–5.7	0.20.2–0.3
2021	10–6	0.20.1–0.4
2022	1.40–5.7	0.20.2–0.3
2023	1.10–5.7	0.20.2–0.4
2024	1.20–5.2	0.20.2–0.3
2025	1.90–8.2	0.20.2–0.4
2026	1.90.1–6.5	0.20.2–0.4
2027	1.40–4.7	0.20.2–0.3
2028	1.50.1–5.5	0.20.2–0.3
2029	20.1–6.4	0.20.2–0.3
2030	1.60–6.1	0.20.2–0.3
2031	1.40–5.4	0.20.2–0.4
2032	1.50.1–7.6	0.20.2–0.4
2033	1.70–6.8	0.20.2–0.4
2034	2.10.2–8.3	0.20.2–0.9
2035	1.70.1–6.9	0.20.2–0.6
2036	2.80.1–7.8	0.20.2–0.5
2037	2.50–9.2	0.20.2–0.4
2038	2.20.1–9.7	0.20.2–0.5
2039	30–8.9	0.20.2–0.5
2040	2.30.1–7.1	0.20.2–0.5
2041	2.40.1–7.9	0.20.2–0.4
2042	2.90.4–8.9	0.20.2–0.6
2043	3.10.1–8.7	0.20.2–0.6
2044	3.10.2–10.1	0.20.2–0.7
2045	30.1–8.7	0.20.2–0.6
2046	3.10.5–10.9	0.20.2–0.6
2047	4.30.3–10.6	0.20.2–0.8
2048	3.70.2–12.9	0.20.2–0.8
2049	4.40.2–11.8	0.20.2–1.1
2050	3.10.6–9.3	0.20.2–0.7
2051	2.70.1–9.5	0.20.2–0.7
2052	3.60.2–11.5	0.20.2–1.1
2053	2.30.4–8.7	0.20.2–0.9
2054	3.50.4–10.3	0.20.2–1.3
2055	3.30.4–11.3	0.20.2–1
2056	4.50.7–14.3	0.20.2–0.6
2057	40.4–11.3	0.20.2–1
2058	5.80.7–15.5	0.30.2–1.3
2059	5.10.1–15.6	0.20.2–0.9
2060	4.40.6–12.3	0.20.2–1
2061	5.31–12.3	0.20.2–1
2062	5.51.6–14.2	0.40.2–1.4
2063	5.20.8–13.8	0.20.2–1.4
2064	4.10.5–12.2	0.20.2–0.7
2065	4.90.3–15.8	0.20.2–2
2066	5.30.7–11.8	0.20.2–0.8
2067	7.21.4–17.5	0.40.2–2
2068	3.90.9–11.3	0.20.2–0.8
2069	6.11.6–15	0.30.2–1.3
2070	5.80.6–14.9	0.30.2–1.7
2071	6.30.6–16.4	0.30.2–1.5
2072	6.21.9–13	0.30.2–0.9
2073	5.51.3–16.2	0.30.2–2.2
2074	5.50.5–16.7	0.30.2–1.9
2075	6.21.4–18.3	0.30.2–1.4
2076	7.41.1–20.1	0.30.2–2.2
2077	6.31.1–17.4	0.20.2–2.2
2078	6.50.7–21.4	0.50.2–2.2
2079	6.70.6–22.7	0.20.2–1.4
2080	6.51.2–14.9	0.20.2–1.6
2081	6.60.9–18.5	0.30.2–1.7
2082	7.91.4–22.5	0.30.2–2.6
2083	7.61.3–16.8	0.40.2–1.9
2084	5.91.1–15.9	0.20.2–1.6
2085	6.50.9–17.6	0.30.2–1.9
2086	7.90.8–23	0.30.2–2.6
2087	9.91.1–24.1	0.50.2–4
2088	8.92–18.4	0.30.2–2.1
2089	8.31.9–19.2	0.40.2–1.7
2090	6.20.8–24.1	0.30.2–2.1
2091	9.31.3–23.5	0.40.2–2.2
2092	8.61.7–19.2	0.60.2–2.2
2093	6.20.8–18.2	0.30.2–1.7
2094	9.32.4–20.4	0.40.2–1.9
2095	9.51.1–24	0.50.2–2.7
2096	8.10.2–21.4	0.40.2–4
2097	6.40.5–20.1	0.30.2–2.9
2098	9.31.4–22.1	0.40.2–3
2099	8.11.4–20.8	0.40.2–2.5
2100	8.81.9–21.1	0.40.2–1.9

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Germany vs United Kingdom: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

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