Ghana vs Nigeria: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 71.6 days in Ghana and 107.4 days in Nigeria, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 35.9 days, or 1.5 times that in Ghana.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

GhanaNigeriaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Ghana at 138.2 days and Nigeria at 163.6 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Ghana	Nigeria
2014	71.6	107.4
2013	71.3	104.3
2012	68.2	104.4
2011	67.9	103.7
2010	67.4	101.1
2009	64.1	99.4
2008	62.6	98.6
2007	63.3	97.4
2006	61.4	97.9
2005	63.7	97.2
2004	65.8	99.2
2003	63.1	98.2
2002	59.8	98.3
2001	66.5	102.2
2000	64	96.3
1999	59.3	92.3
1998	59.1	91.6
1997	59.9	95.2
1996	52.9	89.5
1995	55	90.2
1994	54.2	86.1
1993	48.4	83.5
1992	45.7	81.3
1991	57	94.2
1990	59.4	95
1989	53.8	89.3
1988	57.9	93.4
1987	56.1	90.4
1986	56.8	93.2
1985	53.2	87
1984	55.4	89.5
1983	53.6	88.5
1982	55.3	89.6
1981	57.3	91.9
1980	54.8	89.5
1979	55.5	89.8
1978	53.3	88
1977	54.6	88.4
1976	51.6	83.6
1975	51.3	87.3
1974	50.3	84.9
1973	53.8	88.3
1972	51.3	87.1
1971	51.8	84.5
1970	49.4	87.3
1969	53.8	87.1
1968	48.6	84.9
1967	50	84.8
1966	49.6	85.7
1965	48.3	85.7
1964	41.4	77.7
1963	49.7	81.7
1962	53.4	89.3
1961	55.2	91.6
1960	53.7	91.4
1959	55.6	88.3
1958	55.9	89.9
1957	53.6	91.2
1956	50.7	84.6
1955	52.4	88.4
1954	54.6	88.8
1953	53.7	91.7
1952	52.9	87.9
1951	55	92.1
1950	50.4	88.9

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Ghana	Nigeria
2015	71.153.8–91.4	105.581.2–130.1
2016	63.945.6–80.9	101.478.2–120.6
2017	68.550.1–89.6	10680.5–130.9
2018	68.847.2–90.5	105.177.2–129
2019	71.251.3–91.2	104.378.3–130.3
2020	70.447.5–99	104.778.2–130.2
2021	72.353.9–89.2	104.885.2–128.6
2022	77.853–100.4	111.184.4–135.5
2023	74.950.1–94.2	106.585.6–130.6
2024	76.458.9–98.6	114.493.3–136.4
2025	73.458.6–97.1	112.191.1–132
2026	76.448.1–100.1	108.574.8–133.8
2027	82.348.1–101.3	114.581.7–136.4
2028	78.254.7–103.3	113.487.6–141.8
2029	82.160.9–106.2	116.591.5–141
2030	82.358.1–109.4	117.785.5–145.3
2031	83.460–104.8	116.388.2–141.7
2032	87.859.8–113.7	118.785.8–144.2
2033	85.457.8–111.6	118.490.6–146
2034	85.760.7–107.6	117.689–144.4
2035	83.752.3–112.8	12087.5–144.3
2036	83.959.8–112.7	116.889.2–143.5
2037	9161.1–112.1	124.790.9–151.6
2038	9369.4–116.7	126.696.2–152.6
2039	90.768.6–112.3	122.697–147.4
2040	91.464.9–124.3	121.193.5–153.7
2041	98.373.9–119.7	127.599.5–154.2
2042	94.468.7–119.2	12896.1–152.5
2043	89.969.9–115.4	124.298.9–149.7
2044	96.466.8–122.1	125.496.3–152.8
2045	97.672.5–126.7	129.499.4–156.4
2046	103.372–126	135.999.9–158.5
2047	107.173.1–126.4	135.299–159.5
2048	102.273.2–129.3	133.1103.7–160.3
2049	101.778.4–130.3	135.4104.4–161.8
2050	97.174.1–133.6	131.3102–166.4
2051	100.271.2–132.2	131.6106.2–166.5
2052	106.772.2–139.2	139.6101.6–171.1
2053	102.176.2–135.8	135.1105–166.8
2054	104.973–138.7	139102.4–172.2
2055	108.379.7–140.4	140113.8–172.2
2056	107.278.3–141.6	141.8102.8–177.8
2057	11579.1–140.9	148.8113.3–178.3
2058	109.381.4–137.3	140112–171.9
2059	110.484.2–149.1	142.3114.3–176.6
2060	112.979.5–150	144.3110.6–176.5
2061	11581.5–147	145109.2–180.3
2062	110.282.1–147.1	146111.1–181.8
2063	116.689.6–154.8	147.1114.5–182.6
2064	113.882.4–145	146.4112.8–179.9
2065	119.187.3–148.4	149.2116.8–179
2066	111.486.9–147.7	148.8117.8–185.3
2067	112.581.3–146.1	142.6114.9–185.1
2068	117.681.6–151.4	152.4114.1–187.8
2069	120.380.5–155.7	148.2114.1–185.4
2070	119.580.7–156.2	151.6111–187.8
2071	117.886.5–160.5	155.2117.6–192.8
2072	121.383.8–153.9	155.2118.4–190.6
2073	123.983.3–169.2	154.8115.7–196.8
2074	11687.9–166.7	151.6114.2–195.8
2075	122.684.7–159.9	158.4117.9–190.2
2076	125.490.5–160.5	154.5120–193.1
2077	131.784.8–166.8	164121.3–203.7
2078	124.491.3–167.3	158.9117–196.9
2079	126.291.1–167.2	157.6123.7–192.5
2080	133.487.6–167.9	161.3118.7–197.4
2081	126.987.5–168.1	158.9119.1–200.5
2082	129.288.4–165.5	156.9118.5–201.5
2083	132.494.6–169.2	160.4121.6–203.2
2084	127.892.7–171.2	157.7118.3–198.5
2085	137.888.9–172.9	165.1122.6–201.9
2086	132.287–173.9	160.4122–201.3
2087	132.885.3–171.4	164.1121.4–199.1
2088	134.791.8–167.8	162.3124.7–205.8
2089	125.491.5–169.8	157.8122.5–206.2
2090	131.190.3–174.7	163124.3–204.5
2091	135.297.5–170.9	167.5124.5–204.5
2092	139.392.5–177.8	173.2125.1–206.7
2093	13597.2–186.1	166.1126.9–212.1
2094	133.396.3–178.3	167.8130.5–205.1
2095	146.494.3–184.7	173.9123–212.7
2096	136.392.5–185.8	164.5127.5–213
2097	129.791.7–176.8	161.2123.5–206.8
2098	136.895.3–175	167.8128.2–206.2
2099	139.485.6–189.1	171129.1–212.5
2100	138.296.8–187.7	163.6126.1–210.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Ghana vs Nigeria: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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