Italy vs Kenya: Infant mortality

Infant mortality in 2023: 2.2 per 1,000 live births in Italy and 29.7 per 1,000 live births in Kenya, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Kenya, by 27.4 per 1,000 live births, or 13 times that in Italy.

Watch it change on the map

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

ItalyKenyaUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
In 2023, Italy ranked 213 and Kenya ranked 44 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Italy at 0.3 per 1,000 live births and Kenya at 12.5 per 1,000 live births in 2100.
The world as a whole: 27.3 per 1,000 live births in 2023.

Every year

deaths per 1,000 live births · UN

Year	Italy	Kenya	World
2023	2.2	29.7	27.3
2022	2.6	30.2	28.2
2021	2.3	31.1	28.4
2020	2.5	31.4	28.7
2019	2.5	31.9	29.2
2018	2.8	32.5	29.7
2017	2.9	33.2	30.3
2016	2.8	33.9	31.1
2015	2.9	34.6	32.1
2014	2.8	35.3	32.9
2013	2.9	36.1	33.9
2012	3	36.9	35
2011	3.1	37.9	36.8
2010	3.2	39.1	37.7
2009	3.4	40.5	39.1
2008	3.3	42.4	40.4
2007	3.3	44.5	42
2006	3.5	47	43.7
2005	3.6	49.6	45.4
2004	3.8	52.4	47.2
2003	3.7	55.2	48.8
2002	4.4	58.1	50.6
2001	4.6	60.8	52.2
2000	4.5	63.3	53.7
1999	5.1	65.6	55.5
1998	5.4	67.6	57.1
1997	5.5	69	58.3
1996	6.1	69.9	59.6
1995	6.2	70.4	60.8
1994	6.4	70.5	62
1993	6.9	70.1	62.9
1992	8.2	69.2	64.1
1991	8.4	68.2	64.9
1990	8.1	67	64.9
1989	8.6	65.9	66.2
1988	9.3	65.1	68
1987	9.7	64.6	68.6
1986	9.9	64.5	70.8
1985	10.2	64.8	72.9
1984	11.1	65.5	74.6
1983	11.9	66.7	76.1
1982	13	68.1	76.6
1981	14	69.8	78.7
1980	14.3	71.7	80.6
1979	15.2	73.7	82.5
1978	16.7	76	84.7
1977	17.6	78.3	86.4
1976	18.9	80.5	88.1
1975	20.5	82.6	89.6
1974	22.9	84.7	90.9
1973	25.9	86.7	92.1
1972	26.9	88.6	93.6
1971	28.8	90.3	96.1
1970	29.1	92	96.9
1969	31	93.6	98.3
1968	32.2	95.1	100.2
1967	32.7	96.6	103.1
1966	34.4	98.2	104.9
1965	35.3	99.9	106.4
1964	37	101.8	106.1
1963	40.5	104	107.7
1962	42.2	106.6	110.2
1961	41.6	109.6	121.5
1960	43.8	112.9	131.8
1959	46.1	116.5	125.7
1958	47.9	120.5	117.7
1957	50.3	124.7	120
1956	48.6	129.2	121.9
1955	50.5	133.6	124.8
1954	54	138	127.7
1953	57.8	142.2	130.1
1952	62.8	146.3	132.7
1951	64.2	150.2	136
1950	63.6	154.2	138.1

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Italy	Kenya	World
2024	2.21.8–2.7	2924.4–33.7	26.9
2025	2.11.6–2.8	28.622.2–35.7	26.4
2026	2.11.5–2.9	28.220.4–36.5	25.9
2027	21.4–2.9	27.819–37.3	25.4
2028	1.91.2–3	27.417.7–37.9	24.9
2029	1.91.1–3	2716.7–39.3	24.5
2030	1.81.1–3	26.615.7–39.5	24
2031	1.81–3	26.214.6–40.1	23.6
2032	1.71–3	25.913.7–40.8	23.2
2033	1.70.9–3.1	25.512.8–40.6	22.8
2034	1.60.8–3	25.212.6–40.9	22.3
2035	1.60.8–3	24.911.6–41.5	21.9
2036	1.50.7–3.1	24.611.1–41.7	21.5
2037	1.50.7–3	24.310.8–42.3	21.1
2038	1.40.7–2.9	23.910.3–41.8	20.8
2039	1.40.7–3	23.710–42.5	20.4
2040	1.40.6–2.9	23.49.5–41	20
2041	1.30.6–2.9	23.19.1–42	19.7
2042	1.30.6–2.8	22.89.1–42.3	19.4
2043	1.30.5–2.8	22.68.5–42.5	19
2044	1.20.5–2.8	22.38.3–43.4	18.7
2045	1.20.5–2.8	22.18–43.8	18.4
2046	1.20.5–2.8	21.97.8–43.5	18.2
2047	1.10.5–2.7	21.67.5–43	17.9
2048	1.10.5–2.7	21.37.4–43	17.7
2049	1.10.4–2.7	217.3–42.7	17.5
2050	10.4–2.7	20.77.2–42.4	17.3
2051	10.4–2.6	20.57–42.2	17.1
2052	10.4–2.7	20.26.9–42.2	16.9
2053	10.4–2.7	206.9–42.1	16.7
2054	0.90.3–2.7	19.76.7–42.1	16.5
2055	0.90.3–2.6	19.56.8–43.2	16.3
2056	0.90.3–2.6	19.26.7–42.6	16.1
2057	0.90.3–2.6	196.8–42.9	15.9
2058	0.90.3–2.5	18.86.6–42.5	15.7
2059	0.80.3–2.5	18.56.5–43.8	15.5
2060	0.80.3–2.4	18.36.5–44.1	15.3
2061	0.80.2–2.5	18.16.4–43.8	15.1
2062	0.80.2–2.6	17.96.3–44	14.9
2063	0.80.2–2.5	17.76.2–43.3	14.7
2064	0.80.2–2.5	17.56–43.1	14.5
2065	0.70.2–2.4	17.35.8–42.5	14.3
2066	0.70.2–2.4	17.15.8–42.9	14.1
2067	0.70.2–2.3	16.95.7–42.7	13.9
2068	0.70.2–2.2	16.75.6–42.1	13.8
2069	0.70.2–2.2	16.55.5–42.3	13.6
2070	0.70.1–2.2	16.45.6–43.6	13.4
2071	0.60.1–2.2	16.25.5–42.4	13.2
2072	0.60.1–2.1	165.5–41.2	13
2073	0.60.1–2.1	15.95.4–40.9	12.9
2074	0.60.1–2.1	15.75.1–40.7	12.7
2075	0.60.1–2	15.65.2–41	12.6
2076	0.60.1–2	15.45.2–40.6	12.4
2077	0.60.1–1.9	15.35.1–41.3	12.3
2078	0.50.1–1.9	15.14.9–41.2	12.1
2079	0.50.1–2	155–41.8	12
2080	0.50.1–1.9	14.84.8–40.5	11.8
2081	0.50.1–1.9	14.74.7–40.4	11.7
2082	0.50.1–1.9	14.54.7–40.8	11.6
2083	0.50.1–1.9	14.44.6–40.7	11.5
2084	0.50.1–1.9	14.24.6–40.3	11.4
2085	0.50.1–1.9	14.14.5–40.7	11.3
2086	0.40.1–1.8	144.5–39.8	11.1
2087	0.40–1.8	13.84.4–39.6	11
2088	0.40–1.8	13.74.3–39.8	10.9
2089	0.40–1.8	13.64.2–39.4	10.8
2090	0.40–1.7	13.54.2–39.6	10.7
2091	0.40–1.7	13.44.2–39.3	10.6
2092	0.40–1.7	13.34.1–38.7	10.5
2093	0.40–1.6	13.24.1–39.4	10.4
2094	0.40–1.6	13.14–40	10.3
2095	0.40–1.6	134–38.9	10.1
2096	0.40–1.6	12.93.9–39.7	10
2097	0.30–1.6	12.83.9–39.4	9.9
2098	0.30–1.6	12.73.9–39.5	9.8
2099	0.30–1.5	12.63.8–39.3	9.7
2100	0.30–1.5	12.53.7–38.2	9.6

Each country on its own

Good to know

Babies who die before their first birthday, per 1,000 born alive.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Italy vs Kenya: Infant mortality

What the numbers say

Every year

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