Italy vs Kenya

Italy vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 14.1 °C in Italy and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 11.8 °C, or 1.84 times that in Italy.

°C · ERA5

Italy vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 14.1 °C in Italy and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 11.8 °C, or 1.84 times that in Italy.
ItalyKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Italy ranked 167 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 15.6 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearItalyItaly: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202514.113.925.926
202414.413.826.126.2
202314.413.825.726
202214.414.125.725.9
202113.413.925.825.9
202013.713.725.525.9
201913.813.725.925.8
201813.913.625.125.9
201713.513.525.925.8
201613.513.525.825.7
201513.813.525.825.8
201413.713.225.525.7
201313.113.225.225.6
201213.413.225.425.6
201113.413.225.525.7
201012.613.325.525.6
200913.313.125.825.6
200813.313.225.325.5
200713.413.125.425.4
20061313.125.425.5
200512.313.125.625.5
200412.81325.325.5
200313.413.125.325.5
200213.212.825.125.5
200113.212.82525.6
200013.31325.225.4
19991312.72525.4
199812.912.724.825.4
199713.112.624.925.3
199612.212.625.125.3
199512.412.525.125.2
199413.512.62525.1
199312.512.424.725
199212.612.224.824.9
199111.912.624.825.2
199012.712.724.625.3
198912.312.624.425.2
198812.612.32525.2
198712.312.325.325.2
198612.212.224.625.2
198512.112.324.525
198411.512.324.725.1
198312.312.325.225
198212.612.324.625.1
198111.912.324.625.2
198011.412.32525.2
197911.912.224.225.1
197811.612.324.125.1
197712.31224.325.1
197611.712.124.625
197512.112.224.425
19741212.324.525
197312.112.325.125.1
197211.912.224.725
19711212.124.325
197012.11224.524.9
196911.812.224.624.9
19681212.123.724.9
196712.212.224.224.8
196612.112.124.724.9
196511.61224.324.9
196412.112.22424.7
196311.612.223.924.8
196212.112.32425
19611312.224.325
196012.412.424.425
195912.412.524.625
195812.312.324.425
195712.212.224.125
195611.312.324.225
195512.412.424.325
195411.712.22425
195312.312.423.125
195212.512.423.525
195112.212.423.525
195012.812.423.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearItalyItaly: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–14.113.3–15.1–2625.4–26.7
2027–13.913.4–15–2625.4–26.6
2028–1413.4–15.2–26.125.6–26.6
2029–14.113.4–15–26.225.6–26.7
2030–13.913.3–14.8–26.125.7–26.6
2031–13.913–15–26.225.8–26.7
2032–14.313.4–15–26.225.8–26.8
2033–14.113.3–14.9–26.325.7–26.8
2034–14.213.3–15.1–26.225.7–26.8
2035–14.313.6–15.3–26.325.7–26.8
2036–14.413.6–15.3–26.225.7–26.8
2037–14.413.4–15–26.325.8–26.9
2038–14.413.6–15.3–26.425.7–26.9
2039–14.313.6–15.1–26.425.8–26.8
2040–14.213.5–15.3–26.325.9–26.9
2041–14.113.6–15.1–26.525.8–27.2
2042–14.413.7–15.2–26.525.9–27.1
2043–14.513.4–15.3–26.325.8–27
2044–14.313.4–15.4–26.525.9–27
2045–14.513.9–15.3–26.526–27.2
2046–14.513.4–15.3–26.626–27.4
2047–14.713.3–15.4–26.726–27.3
2048–14.713.8–15.7–26.626.1–27.4
2049–14.513.7–15.7–26.826.1–27.4
2050–14.814–15.7–26.626.1–27.4
2051–14.613.5–15.7–26.826.1–27.4
2052–14.713.8–15.8–26.826.2–27.4
2053–14.813.9–15.8–26.726–27.3
2054–14.713.9–15.9–26.726–27.3
2055–14.713.9–15.8–26.826.1–27.4
2056–14.713.8–15.8–26.826–27.5
2057–14.813.9–16–26.826.3–27.6
2058–1514.2–16.1–26.926.1–27.6
2059–1513.9–15.9–26.926.2–27.7
2060–1514–15.9–27.126.1–27.7
2061–15.114.1–15.9–2726.2–27.7
2062–1514.1–16.2–26.926.2–27.8
2063–15.214.1–16.1–2726.4–27.6
2064–1514.2–15.9–27.126.2–27.6
2065–15.114–16.2–2726.4–27.8
2066–15.114.2–16.1–2726.4–27.7
2067–15.314.2–16.1–27.126.3–27.8
2068–15.314.4–16.3–27.126.3–27.8
2069–15.214.4–16.2–2726.3–27.9
2070–15.114.1–16.3–2726.3–27.8
2071–15.314.1–16.4–27.226.4–28
2072–15.314.6–16.4–27.226.5–27.8
2073–15.214.3–16.2–27.226.5–28
2074–15.314.2–16.5–27.126.4–28
2075–15.114.4–16.5–27.126.3–28
2076–15.114.3–16.6–27.326.5–28.1
2077–15.214.2–16.2–27.326.5–28.1
2078–15.314.3–16.8–27.126.5–27.9
2079–15.314.4–16.8–27.326.5–28.1
2080–15.414.5–16.5–27.326.5–28.1
2081–15.214.3–16.5–27.326.6–28.1
2082–15.514.6–16.6–27.426.5–28.1
2083–15.414.3–16.4–27.326.6–28.4
2084–15.614.4–16.6–27.426.6–28.2
2085–15.614.7–16.6–27.326.6–28.3
2086–15.614.5–16.7–27.526.5–28.3
2087–15.514.5–16.9–27.426.6–28.3
2088–15.814.7–16.8–27.426.6–28.3
2089–15.714.6–16.8–27.426.7–28.1
2090–15.814.6–16.7–27.426.7–28.4
2091–15.614.6–16.7–27.626.6–28.4
2092–15.714.5–16.6–27.426.6–28.3
2093–15.514.3–16.9–27.526.7–28.3
2094–15.614.4–17.1–27.526.8–28.3
2095–15.614.2–16.8–27.626.7–28.4
2096–15.714.5–17–27.526.5–28.5
2097–15.714.6–16.8–27.526.5–28.3
2098–15.714.8–16.8–27.626.7–28.4
2099–15.914.5–16.6–27.526.5–28.6
2100–15.614.4–16.8–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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