Italy vs Nigeria

Italy vs Nigeria: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 14.1 °C in Italy and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 13.7 °C, or 1.97 times that in Italy.

Watch it change on the map

°C · ERA5

Italy vs Nigeria: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 14.1 °C in Italy and 27.8 °C in Nigeria, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Nigeria, by 13.7 °C, or 1.97 times that in Italy.
ItalyNigeriaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Nigeria has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Italy ranked 167 and Nigeria ranked 16 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 15.6 °C and Nigeria at 29.6 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearItalyItaly: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202514.113.927.827.9
202414.413.827.828
202314.413.827.627.8
202214.414.12727.9
202113.413.927.527.8
202013.713.727.327.7
201913.813.727.327.7
201813.913.627.227.7
201713.513.527.427.7
201613.513.527.427.6
201513.813.527.327.7
201413.713.227.127.7
201313.113.227.327.7
201213.413.22727.7
201113.413.227.227.6
201012.613.327.727.6
200913.313.127.527.5
200813.313.226.827.5
200713.413.12727.4
20061313.127.527.5
200512.313.127.527.4
200412.81327.127.4
200313.413.127.127.5
200213.212.826.927.4
200113.212.826.727.6
200013.31326.727.4
19991312.726.927.3
199812.912.727.427.3
199713.112.626.827.3
199612.212.626.827.2
199512.412.526.727.2
199413.512.626.527.1
199312.512.426.826.9
199212.612.226.226.9
199111.912.626.727.2
199012.712.72727.3
198912.312.626.227.1
198812.612.326.827.2
198712.312.327.427.1
198612.212.226.827.2
198512.112.326.627
198411.512.326.827.1
198312.312.326.927
198212.612.326.627.1
198111.912.326.427.1
198011.412.326.727.1
197911.912.226.627.1
197811.612.326.327
197712.31226.527.1
197611.712.126.226.9
197512.112.22627
19741212.326.127
197312.112.327.127.1
197211.912.226.727
19711212.126.426.9
197012.11226.527
196911.812.226.627
19681212.126.327
196712.212.226.226.9
196612.112.126.826.9
196511.61226.626.9
196412.112.226.726.7
196311.612.226.626.7
196212.112.326.327.1
19611312.226.227
196012.412.426.627.1
195912.412.526.527
195812.312.326.527
195712.212.225.527.1
195611.312.325.826.9
195512.412.425.827
195411.712.22627
195312.312.425.927
195212.512.425.927
195112.212.425.927.1
195012.812.425.827
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearItalyItaly: CMIP6 historical run, model medianNigeriaNigeria: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–14.113.3–15.1–2827.1–28.5
2027–13.913.4–15–2827.2–28.6
2028–1413.4–15.2–2827.5–28.6
2029–14.113.4–15–28.227.6–28.6
2030–13.913.3–14.8–28.127.4–28.7
2031–13.913–15–28.127.5–28.8
2032–14.313.4–15–28.127.6–28.7
2033–14.113.3–14.9–28.227.5–28.8
2034–14.213.3–15.1–28.127.5–28.7
2035–14.313.6–15.3–28.327.5–28.8
2036–14.413.6–15.3–28.227.5–28.8
2037–14.413.4–15–28.427.8–28.9
2038–14.413.6–15.3–28.527.9–29
2039–14.313.6–15.1–28.427.7–28.8
2040–14.213.5–15.3–28.327.8–29
2041–14.113.6–15.1–28.427.9–29.1
2042–14.413.7–15.2–28.527.8–29.1
2043–14.513.4–15.3–28.427.8–28.9
2044–14.313.4–15.4–28.427.8–29.2
2045–14.513.9–15.3–28.527.8–29.1
2046–14.513.4–15.3–28.727.9–29.3
2047–14.713.3–15.4–28.727.9–29.3
2048–14.713.8–15.7–28.728–29.3
2049–14.513.7–15.7–28.728–29.4
2050–14.814–15.7–28.628.1–29.5
2051–14.613.5–15.7–28.728.1–29.5
2052–14.713.8–15.8–28.928–29.5
2053–14.813.9–15.8–28.827.9–29.5
2054–14.713.9–15.9–28.928–29.6
2055–14.713.9–15.8–28.928.3–29.6
2056–14.713.8–15.8–28.928.1–29.7
2057–14.813.9–16–2928.2–29.8
2058–1514.2–16.1–28.928.2–29.7
2059–1513.9–15.9–2928.4–29.8
2060–1514–15.9–2928.4–29.8
2061–15.114.1–15.9–29.128.1–29.9
2062–1514.1–16.2–29.128.2–30
2063–15.214.1–16.1–29.128.3–29.9
2064–1514.2–15.9–2928.3–29.9
2065–15.114–16.2–29.228.5–29.9
2066–15.114.2–16.1–29.228.4–30.1
2067–15.314.2–16.1–2928.3–30.2
2068–15.314.4–16.3–29.228.4–30.1
2069–15.214.4–16.2–29.228.3–30.1
2070–15.114.1–16.3–29.228.5–30.2
2071–15.314.1–16.4–29.328.5–30.3
2072–15.314.6–16.4–29.328.5–30.2
2073–15.214.3–16.2–29.428.5–30.4
2074–15.314.2–16.5–29.228.3–30.4
2075–15.114.4–16.5–29.428.4–30.1
2076–15.114.3–16.6–29.428.6–30.3
2077–15.214.2–16.2–29.628.6–30.6
2078–15.314.3–16.8–29.428.5–30.4
2079–15.314.4–16.8–29.428.7–30.2
2080–15.414.5–16.5–29.528.5–30.4
2081–15.214.3–16.5–29.528.5–30.4
2082–15.514.6–16.6–29.428.6–30.5
2083–15.414.3–16.4–29.528.6–30.6
2084–15.614.4–16.6–29.428.6–30.6
2085–15.614.7–16.6–29.628.7–30.6
2086–15.614.5–16.7–29.628.6–30.6
2087–15.514.5–16.9–29.528.6–30.6
2088–15.814.7–16.8–29.528.6–30.7
2089–15.714.6–16.8–29.528.7–30.7
2090–15.814.6–16.7–29.628.7–30.6
2091–15.614.6–16.7–29.728.7–30.7
2092–15.714.5–16.6–29.828.7–30.7
2093–15.514.3–16.9–29.728.8–30.7
2094–15.614.4–17.1–29.728.9–30.7
2095–15.614.2–16.8–29.928.8–30.9
2096–15.714.5–17–29.528.9–30.8
2097–15.714.6–16.8–29.528.7–30.7
2098–15.714.8–16.8–29.828.7–30.7
2099–15.914.5–16.6–29.728.8–30.8
2100–15.614.4–16.8–29.628.9–30.8

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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