Italy vs Pakistan: Days above 35 °C

Days above 35 °C in 2014: 0.5 days in Italy and 118.6 days in Pakistan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Pakistan, by 118.1 days, or 240 times that in Italy.

Watch it change on the map

days a year · CMIP6

ItalyPakistanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Pakistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 9.6 days and Pakistan at 147.6 days in 2100.

Every year

days a year · CMIP6

Year	Italy	Pakistan
2014	0.5	118.6
2013	0.2	117.5
2012	0.2	117.5
2011	0.3	118
2010	0.4	114.3
2009	0.3	115.3
2008	0.3	115.4
2007	0.1	112.5
2006	0.2	112.9
2005	0.1	114.9
2004	0.3	116.1
2003	0.2	114.6
2002	0.1	115.9
2001	0.1	114.4
2000	0.2	114.6
1999	0.1	114.2
1998	0.1	111.7
1997	0.1	112
1996	0.1	108.3
1995	0.1	110
1994	0	108.6
1993	0	107.2
1992	0	105.2
1991	0	110.6
1990	0.1	110.7
1989	0	110.9
1988	0	109.8
1987	0	108.3
1986	0	108.7
1985	0	105.6
1984	0	108
1983	0	104.7
1982	0	108
1981	0	109.5
1980	0.1	109.7
1979	0	108.7
1978	0	108.6
1977	0	106.5
1976	0	108.2
1975	0	105
1974	0	108.8
1973	0	108
1972	0	104.5
1971	0	106.2
1970	0	106.5
1969	0.1	105.8
1968	0	104.4
1967	0	106.4
1966	0	106.4
1965	0	106
1964	0.1	103
1963	0	104.3
1962	0	106.7
1961	0	108.7
1960	0	108.7
1959	0.1	110.4
1958	0	108.5
1957	0	110.7
1956	0	108.8
1955	0.1	108.3
1954	0	107
1953	0.1	107.6
1952	0.1	108.9
1951	0	108.1
1950	0.1	110.5

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Italy	Pakistan
2015	0.40.1–1.7	122100.8–136.6
2016	0.40–2.6	119.5104.9–132
2017	0.60–3.2	119.999.5–134.3
2018	0.60.1–3.2	119.7103–133.8
2019	0.80.1–2.4	118.997.2–133.8
2020	0.60–3	122.8105–136.3
2021	0.70–3.2	122.9103.2–138.2
2022	0.90–4.3	120.7101.9–136.4
2023	0.70–3.4	123.3104.8–138.8
2024	1.10–3.9	124.4105.4–139.1
2025	0.90.1–4.3	123.8102.8–139.1
2026	10.1–6.1	122.5101.9–141.8
2027	0.90–3.8	124.4101.5–141
2028	1.40.2–5	124.8103.6–140.2
2029	1.20.1–5.5	126.499.2–141.6
2030	0.90.1–4.8	122.5103.5–140.1
2031	10.1–4.1	122.7105.6–139.9
2032	1.20.3–4.7	126104–143.9
2033	1.60–4.3	125.9106.6–144.1
2034	1.70.2–6.9	130.9113.2–147.8
2035	1.90.2–6.5	127.1107.6–143.6
2036	1.90.2–7	125.5108.3–143.4
2037	1.90.4–6.2	130.7112.4–147.9
2038	1.90.2–7.5	130.9108.6–144.9
2039	20.3–5.6	128.6110.2–144.9
2040	2.20.3–6.7	133.2115.1–146.1
2041	2.10.3–7	127.2108.3–143.5
2042	1.80.2–6.9	134.6112.8–150.7
2043	2.10.2–5.7	131.6112.5–149.3
2044	2.40.4–6.4	128.2108.1–145.9
2045	2.10.2–6.2	133.4116.7–148.7
2046	2.70.5–8.8	133.8109–151.1
2047	3.30.9–8.1	134.6110–150.9
2048	2.10.1–9.3	136117.1–152.3
2049	2.80.3–9.4	133.3115.2–152.5
2050	3.80.8–8.5	138.4119.4–157.4
2051	3.20.6–11.6	138115.5–158.2
2052	2.90.2–9.6	138.3120.3–155.3
2053	30.6–9.8	137.4117.7–155.8
2054	3.70.4–11.5	137116–152.4
2055	3.30.3–10.2	139.6120–157.2
2056	3.40.9–11.1	135.8117.3–154.1
2057	3.10.6–8.5	141.5119.5–158.8
2058	4.80.6–12.3	137.1114.3–154.7
2059	4.20.6–12.5	141.4122.6–156.6
2060	3.80.9–11.3	142.5124.1–158.6
2061	4.51.2–10.3	142.3123.2–157.4
2062	4.50.8–10.7	141.3118.8–161.2
2063	5.70.8–13.2	143.1125.6–160.6
2064	5.51–13.9	140.7119.8–163.5
2065	4.80.9–13	141.1121.5–159.3
2066	4.40.6–12.7	143.8122.5–163.4
2067	7.31.3–17	144.2125.9–162.3
2068	5.71.2–13.8	143.2126–162.2
2069	6.11.5–11.5	144.7119.8–163.2
2070	5.71.3–15.6	143.7126.5–163
2071	7.11.2–15.6	145.5121.8–164.4
2072	6.52.1–14.7	147.1125.5–165.1
2073	4.51.1–11.8	149.2122.1–164.7
2074	5.30.7–12.8	145.8126.7–162.2
2075	5.81.3–18	145.1126.2–160.5
2076	5.81–15.9	145.7126.4–165.9
2077	5.81.5–14.7	146.1126.2–164.4
2078	5.41.4–20.3	146.5121.4–164.4
2079	6.71.2–20	144.6122.7–161
2080	6.41.8–17.3	148.2123.7–166.4
2081	61.5–16.9	145.8122.2–167
2082	9.42.3–18.9	146123.3–168.8
2083	6.11.1–15.3	148.3127–167.4
2084	7.72.6–20.2	150.5128.5–167.6
2085	8.22.7–17.8	149.9126.1–170.8
2086	8.12.4–18.1	146.3124.2–165
2087	8.12–20	149.9124.3–167.3
2088	10.63.1–22.1	149.3127.9–169.7
2089	9.23–22.4	148.9129.6–166.7
2090	8.62.9–17.7	150.3131.5–166.7
2091	9.73–19.4	151.1128.4–168.7
2092	6.70.5–17.5	150.5129.8–170.2
2093	6.42–17.4	151.6131.8–167.9
2094	7.62–19.9	151.5130.4–168.6
2095	9.71.3–19.2	152.5130.6–169.2
2096	7.61.6–21.4	150.8124.2–169
2097	8.61.8–18.9	149.4130.3–167.5
2098	9.92.4–19	151.7125.4–168.2
2099	9.51.7–19.7	151.6124.4–170.6
2100	9.62.4–20.4	147.6125.2–167.5

Each country on its own

Good to know

Days in a year whose highest temperature passes 35 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Italy vs Pakistan: Days above 35 °C

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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