Italy vs Poland

Italy vs Poland: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 26.3 nights in Italy and 0.4 nights in Poland, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Italy, by 25.9 nights, or 63 times that in Poland.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Italy vs Poland: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 26.3 nights in Italy and 0.4 nights in Poland, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Italy, by 25.9 nights, or 63 times that in Poland.
ItalyPolandCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Italy has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Italy at 65.1 nights and Poland at 7.9 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearItalyPoland
201426.30.4
201324.70.2
201224.80.2
201124.60.2
201027.10.4
200923.70.2
200824.10.1
200721.50.1
200624.60.2
200522.50.2
200424.50.4
200323.80.1
200220.60
200120.80.2
200021.70.1
199920.30.1
199818.90
199718.90
199618.90.1
199517.90.1
199417.40
199316.30
199215.10
1991180
199018.20
198916.60
198815.50
1987160
1986150
198514.50
198415.70
198315.30
198214.10
198115.30
198015.90
197914.50
197816.50.1
197713.50
197613.80
1975140
197414.80
197313.50
197213.70
197115.30
1970140
196914.50
196813.80
196713.60
196613.20
196512.80
196413.20
196314.20
196215.50
196113.90
196014.90
195916.60
195814.40
195715.50
195616.70
195516.60
195415.70
195315.40
195216.60
1951160
195015.30
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearItalyPoland
20153021.7–40.40.40–3.3
201629.618–42.20.60–4.2
201731.820.2–43.70.70–3.4
20183122–44.30.40–3.8
201931.521.3–43.20.60–3.5
202031.619.7–44.30.90–4.5
20213420.8–46.90.60–4.4
202237.121.3–50.610–5.4
202333.121.3–47.40.80–5.2
202435.521.6–48.40.90–4.7
202537.720.5–51.11.20–8.4
202638.926.6–52.21.20–6.2
202734.322.4–49.71.10–4.1
202837.724.4–53.11.20–5
202937.824.9–551.40–7.7
203037.925.7–54.710–5.9
203137.223.8–510.70–4.8
203239.226.2–53.81.20–8.4
203340.426–50.31.40–6
203442.525.1–57.21.70–6.8
203542.728.9–58.31.40–6.7
203641.127.7–59.92.40–8.9
20374328.1–54.820–8.4
203841.628.5–61.31.40–8.4
20394129.4–56.43.30–9.4
204042.428.1–59.12.20–6.7
204141.927.2–58.72.10.1–7.6
204243.529.6–592.40.1–8.6
20434528.7–59.52.70–9.9
204444.929.4–59.93.30.1–10.7
204545.230.3–59.22.40–7.8
20464627.3–62.42.80.2–11.4
204749.132.4–63.64.30.2–11.6
204846.228.3–65.74.20.1–13.2
204948.229.5–65.74.40–11
205049.536.4–64.42.70.1–11.2
205148.831.6–68.32.10–11.6
205250.330.9–68.130.3–10.9
205348.235.9–672.70–8.2
205449.435.3–66.12.70.2–8.7
205552.233.7–67.72.40.1–12.2
205650.836.2–71.63.50.2–11.8
205750.232.8–65.63.20.3–13.1
205855.337.5–70.84.40.3–13.8
205951.934.5–74.13.40.2–15.2
206052.938.2–68.13.90.2–10.8
206154.338.3–69.85.40.6–12.4
206253.936.9–693.30.4–14.5
206356.437.6–72.14.90.3–15.7
206455.938.5–71.34.60.4–12.5
20655537.3–73.35.30.4–16.1
206653.935.8–73.85.60.7–14
206761.141.2–76.64.10.2–13.6
206856.241.7–733.80.2–13.6
206958.741.8–735.50.5–16.8
207055.738.9–74.44.50.2–17.2
207159.637.8–76.63.80.3–16
207259.643.5–74.651.1–12.6
207356.939.4–71.65.31.3–17.1
207454.836.7–73.74.50.8–17.1
207556.941.8–75.46.20.4–18.6
207659.941.9–77.750.5–19.1
207757.437.9–74.14.60.3–18.1
207860.540.5–80.76.81–18.1
207960.637.1–83.36.80.5–25.3
208059.743.1–786.31.5–15.6
20815943.7–78.95.51–20.5
208263.945.5–80.27.70.8–26.5
208360.842–79.760.4–17.4
208462.547.3–82.16.20.5–16.8
208565.246.3–796.40.7–19.1
208664.445.6–80.17.70.6–24.6
208763.743.8–847.60.7–25.8
208867.247.4–84.47.11.6–20.5
208964.546–82.97.20.5–21.9
209065.842.8–80.55.40.5–25.2
209166.745.3–84.710.30.6–23.7
209264.838.5–82.39.21.5–20
209363.644.7–836.20.6–20.8
209462.445–829.20.8–18.4
20956643.6–83.591.3–20.5
20966542.9–85.86.80.9–17.5
209765.844.9–84.46.40.3–19.6
209864.647.9–84.28.41.8–20.1
209967.742.2–81.96.10.8–17.6
210065.142.5–83.27.91.2–18.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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