Côte d’Ivoire vs South Africa: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 341.6 nights in Côte d’Ivoire and 27.1 nights in South Africa, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Côte d’Ivoire, by 314.5 nights, or 13 times that in South Africa.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

Côte d’IvoireSouth AfricaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Côte d’Ivoire has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Côte d’Ivoire at 359.6 nights and South Africa at 58.7 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Côte d’Ivoire	South Africa
2014	341.6	27.1
2013	339.6	28.3
2012	342.3	27.9
2011	340.1	26.1
2010	338.6	26
2009	337.3	25.8
2008	337.1	24.8
2007	336.7	24.7
2006	336.6	25.5
2005	337.6	25.3
2004	334.8	25.8
2003	337.3	25.1
2002	336.1	25
2001	339.5	24.5
2000	334.6	23.3
1999	331.3	23
1998	332.7	23.4
1997	331.8	22.5
1996	329.9	20.4
1995	330.5	19.3
1994	327.9	20
1993	327.2	18.1
1992	322	18.1
1991	331.7	22.3
1990	334	22.7
1989	328.9	22
1988	327.5	21.2
1987	327.9	21.9
1986	329.2	21
1985	324.9	18.9
1984	325.8	20
1983	325.4	19
1982	324	20.3
1981	327	20
1980	323.1	21.2
1979	327.1	19.9
1978	324.2	19.8
1977	325.5	19.2
1976	321.7	19.2
1975	322.8	18.8
1974	322	19.7
1973	323.8	19.6
1972	322.4	19
1971	322	19.1
1970	322.2	18.6
1969	320.9	18.7
1968	319.8	17.8
1967	317.1	17.5
1966	318.4	17.8
1965	320	17.2
1964	314.7	14.9
1963	317.4	16.5
1962	324.1	19.6
1961	323.1	19.7
1960	325.5	19.8
1959	322.1	18.5
1958	322.4	19.3
1957	321.2	19.4
1956	321.2	18
1955	320.1	19.5
1954	325.6	18.4
1953	322.9	18.4
1952	319.4	19.3
1951	323.9	18.9
1950	317.8	18.1

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Côte d’Ivoire	South Africa
2015	339.1321.9–350.7	28.620–39.5
2016	339.9324.6–349.1	26.817.8–37.9
2017	340.5322.4–349.6	28.919.6–37.8
2018	341.6327.4–351.6	29.620.6–40.6
2019	338.5323.6–350.3	29.820.8–41.5
2020	340.6324.2–352.9	29.518.9–39.1
2021	340.8325.2–353.8	31.121.4–42.9
2022	344327.2–353.4	3223.7–43.1
2023	341.2327.2–352.6	31.922.9–41.8
2024	344.9331–353.9	3324–45.6
2025	342.4327.8–352.1	31.920.7–44.5
2026	342.3326.6–353.3	34.521.9–46.9
2027	343.9325.6–352.9	34.423–47.7
2028	347.4333.6–355.5	33.522.9–46
2029	347.2332.4–355.2	36.226.5–48.3
2030	347.2332.1–353.8	36.124.9–49
2031	349.3333.1–357.2	36.324.5–50.3
2032	347.8331.5–356.9	36.424.5–49.2
2033	348332.6–360.4	36.924.5–48.3
2034	346.6331.7–355.8	37.626.4–51.8
2035	348.9333.7–357.8	37.625.2–49.5
2036	350.5332.7–359.1	3826.5–50.5
2037	349.8334.6–357.5	39.928.2–53.4
2038	351.3338.9–358.2	41.528.4–54.2
2039	350.6333.1–358.9	39.227–52.9
2040	351.1336.2–359.6	38.125.6–55.6
2041	350.8335.9–358	40.227.4–54.3
2042	349.8337.3–358.6	4229–56.4
2043	348.4336.1–357.8	42.128.2–58.4
2044	350.3337.5–359.2	41.929.5–57.8
2045	351339.5–359.5	42.728.2–59
2046	351.7337.6–358.6	44.130–59.5
2047	352335.4–360.1	44.630.7–61.2
2048	351.6339.9–360.3	4531.9–61.5
2049	353339.6–360.9	45.632.3–61.4
2050	352340.6–359.3	46.931–63.6
2051	353340.5–360.5	47.532–65
2052	352339–359.8	48.332.7–64.3
2053	352.7339–360.5	45.733.7–62.1
2054	354.7339.5–360.9	4833.3–64.3
2055	353.4343.4–360.8	46.833–68.4
2056	355.9339.6–362.8	47.933.2–64.8
2057	356.3343–362	50.232.6–68.9
2058	354.3344.5–361.3	47.934–66.4
2059	355343.4–361.7	51.333.1–66.9
2060	354.6343.3–362.1	51.936–69.9
2061	354.6341.3–362.5	50.534.8–71.3
2062	354.4340.8–361.3	50.532.7–71
2063	355.4345.2–362.1	50.434.3–69.7
2064	356.1344.6–362.9	5134.1–67.7
2065	355.5346.4–362.4	50.433.6–70.2
2066	355.2344.5–361.2	5335.7–72.4
2067	355.3341.4–361.8	50.634.8–70.4
2068	357.3346.3–363.6	54.837.8–72.5
2069	355344.3–362.7	54.339.1–73.4
2070	355.6344.2–362.3	54.337.2–73.3
2071	356.8344.7–362.9	55.837.9–76.9
2072	357.7346.2–363.1	5639.4–78.6
2073	356.6345.2–362.2	60.443.4–80.3
2074	354.4342.1–362.7	57.439.1–75.3
2075	356343.7–362.5	56.137.7–76
2076	357.4348.5–363.3	58.538.4–75.3
2077	358.1347.7–362.8	57.341–80.5
2078	357.3346.8–363.2	5639.5–79
2079	357.4346.6–363.6	57.639.3–78
2080	359.1349.4–364.7	59.540.3–80.9
2081	358.8347.5–363.5	5841.5–79.6
2082	357346.9–363.4	58.839.7–77.7
2083	357.8349.5–363.1	60.839.1–82.9
2084	358.8349.3–363.4	62.540.4–82.9
2085	359.7350.1–364	60.741.3–87.6
2086	359347.7–363.8	60.542.1–83.3
2087	358.8348.8–364.1	57.941–82.9
2088	358347.4–363.7	64.243.4–85.3
2089	357.4347.3–363.5	61.541.3–81.2
2090	358.8346.1–363.9	61.641.5–86.8
2091	358.3349.1–363.3	63.341.6–86.3
2092	359.2347.5–364	63.144.9–84.8
2093	359349.8–363.8	62.443.2–86.1
2094	359.3350.1–363.1	63.145.6–87.4
2095	358.1349.7–364	65.342.6–91.7
2096	358.8348.3–365.1	6142.7–90.1
2097	358.9342.5–362.5	58.841.2–84.6
2098	357.8348.1–363.6	65.143.8–89.8
2099	359.2349.5–363.2	64.345–87
2100	359.6348.3–363.8	58.742–88.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time