Japan vs Kenya: Life expectancy

Life expectancy in 2023: 84.7 years in Japan and 63.7 years in Kenya, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Japan, by 21.1 years, or 1.33 times that in Kenya.

Watch it change on the map

years · UN

JapanKenyaEstimates, Our World in DataUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Japan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Japan at 94.4 years and Kenya at 74.4 years in 2100.
The world as a whole: 73.2 years in 2023.

Every year

years · UN

Year	Japan	Kenya	World
2023	84.7	63.7	73.2
2022	84.1	63.6	72.6
2021	84.6	61.2	70.9
2020	84.7	61.6	71.9
2019	84.4	62.9	72.6
2018	84.3	62.8	72.4
2017	84.2	62.7	72.1
2016	84.1	62.5	71.9
2015	83.9	62.3	71.6
2014	83.6	62	71.4
2013	83.4	61.7	71.1
2012	83.2	61.5	70.8
2011	82.7	61.3	70.4
2010	82.9	60.9	70.1
2009	83	60.5	69.7
2008	82.6	60	69.3
2007	82.6	59.4	69
2006	82.4	59.1	68.6
2005	82	58.5	68.1
2004	82.1	58	67.7
2003	81.9	57.4	67.4
2002	81.8	56.8	67.1
2001	81.5	56.5	66.8
2000	81.2	56.1	66.4
1999	80.6	55.9	66
1998	80.7	55.6	65.7
1997	80.6	55.5	65.5
1996	80.4	55.6	65.2
1995	79.7	55.9	64.9
1994	79.8	56.1	64.3
1993	79.5	56.7	64.4
1992	79.3	57.1	64.3
1991	79.3	57.8	64.1
1990	79	58.3	64
1989	79	60	63.8
1988	78.6	60.3	63.4
1987	78.6	60.7	63.2
1986	78.2	60.8	62.7
1985	77.8	60.9	62.2
1984	77.5	60.6	61.9
1983	77.1	60.3	61.5
1982	77.1	59.9	61.3
1981	76.6	59.6	60.9
1980	76.1	59.2	60.5
1979	76.2	58.7	60.2
1978	75.7	58.2	59.5
1977	75.3	57.7	59.2
1976	74.8	57.2	58.6
1975	74.4	56.6	58.3
1974	73.9	56	58.1
1973	73.4	55.5	57.7
1972	73.3	55	57.2
1971	72.8	54.5	56
1970	72	54.1	56.3
1969	71.9	53.7	56
1968	71.7	53.3	55.6
1967	71.4	52.8	55.1
1966	71.1	52.4	54.6
1965	70.3	51.9	54
1964	70.2	51.3	54.3
1963	69.8	50.8	53.7
1962	68.7	50.1	53.2
1961	68.4	49.3	50.4
1960	67.7	48.5	47.8
1959	67.5	47.5	49.6
1958	67	46.5	51.6
1957	65.4	45.3	51.1
1956	65.6	43.5	50.7
1955	65.7	42.3	50.2
1954	64.5	41	49.7
1953	63.3	39.8	48.8
1952	63	38.6	48.2
1951	61	38	47.1
1950	59.3	36.9	46.4
1949	57.7	–	–
1948	56.8	–	–
1947	51.7	–	–
1945	30.5	28.8	–
1937	–	26.4	–
1935	48.2	–	–
1927	45.7	23.9	–
1922	42.6	–	–
1920	42	–	–
1915	40.9	–	–
1910	40	–	–
1905	39.2	–	–
1900	38.6	–	–
1895	38.1	–	–
1890	37.7	–	–
1885	37.3	–	–
1880	37	–	–
1875	36.8	–	–
1870	36.6	–	–
1865	36.4	–	–

12.3Estimates, Our World in Data

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Japan	Kenya	World
2024	84.984–85.8	63.862.4–65.3	73.3
2025	8583.7–86.4	6461.9–66	73.5
2026	85.283.5–86.8	64.261.7–66.6	73.8
2027	85.383.4–87.3	64.461.5–67.2	73.9
2028	85.483.3–87.5	64.561.4–67.6	74.1
2029	85.683.3–87.9	64.761.1–68	74.2
2030	85.783.3–88.3	64.961.1–68.4	74.4
2031	85.983.3–88.6	65.160.9–68.9	74.5
2032	8683.3–88.7	65.260.8–69.3	74.7
2033	86.283.3–89.1	65.460.9–69.7	74.8
2034	86.383.3–89.3	65.560.9–69.9	75
2035	86.483.4–89.6	65.760.8–70.3	75.1
2036	86.683.4–89.8	65.860.9–70.7	75.3
2037	86.783.5–90	6660.8–70.9	75.4
2038	86.883.5–90.4	66.260.9–71.2	75.5
2039	8783.6–90.7	66.360.7–71.6	75.7
2040	87.183.5–90.9	66.561.2–71.9	75.8
2041	87.283.4–91.1	66.661.1–72.2	75.9
2042	87.483.6–91.2	66.761–72.3	76.1
2043	87.583.6–91.4	66.961.1–72.8	76.2
2044	87.683.7–91.7	6760.8–73	76.3
2045	87.883.8–92.1	67.260.9–73.4	76.5
2046	87.984–92.2	67.361–73.6	76.6
2047	8883.8–92.4	67.561.2–74.1	76.7
2048	88.283.9–92.7	67.661.2–74.2	76.8
2049	88.384–93.1	67.761.2–74.4	76.9
2050	88.483.9–93.2	67.961.4–74.6	77
2051	88.583.9–93.3	6861.4–74.8	77.1
2052	88.784–93.6	68.161.5–75.1	77.2
2053	88.884–93.6	68.261.6–75.1	77.3
2054	88.984.1–93.8	68.461.6–75.4	77.4
2055	8984.2–94	68.561.4–75.5	77.6
2056	89.284.2–94.4	68.661.5–75.6	77.7
2057	89.384.4–94.5	68.861.5–75.7	77.8
2058	89.484.4–94.7	68.961.6–76	77.9
2059	89.584.5–95	6961.3–76.2	78
2060	89.784.4–95.2	69.261.4–76.3	78.1
2061	89.884.4–95.2	69.361.3–76.5	78.2
2062	89.984.7–95.6	69.461.4–76.8	78.3
2063	9084.6–95.8	69.561.6–77	78.4
2064	90.184.6–96	69.761.5–77.3	78.5
2065	90.384.6–96.2	69.861.8–77.5	78.6
2066	90.484.6–96.4	69.961.7–77.8	78.7
2067	90.584.7–96.6	70.161.7–78	78.8
2068	90.684.9–96.8	70.261.9–78.2	78.9
2069	90.785–97	70.361.9–78.4	79
2070	90.985–97.2	70.461.8–78.6	79.1
2071	9185.1–97.4	70.662.1–78.8	79.2
2072	91.185–97.6	70.762.3–78.9	79.3
2073	91.285–97.6	70.862.4–79.1	79.4
2074	91.485.2–98.1	70.962.5–79.7	79.4
2075	91.585.3–98.2	71.162.5–79.7	79.5
2076	91.685.5–98.4	71.262.5–80	79.6
2077	91.785.5–98.4	71.362.4–80.1	79.7
2078	91.885.6–98.5	71.462.5–80.4	79.8
2079	91.985.6–98.7	71.662.4–80.6	79.9
2080	92.185.8–98.9	71.762.7–80.8	80
2081	92.285.8–99	71.862.7–81.2	80.1
2082	92.385.8–99.5	7262.6–81.3	80.2
2083	92.485.9–99.5	72.162.7–81.6	80.3
2084	92.586.1–99.8	72.262.8–81.7	80.3
2085	92.686.2–99.9	72.462.7–82.1	80.4
2086	92.785.9–100	72.562.9–82.1	80.5
2087	92.986.1–100.1	72.663.1–82.4	80.6
2088	9386.3–100.2	72.863–82.6	80.7
2089	93.186.4–100.3	72.963.2–82.8	80.8
2090	93.286.4–100.8	7363.2–83.1	80.9
2091	93.386.7–100.8	73.263.3–83.2	81
2092	93.586.4–101.1	73.363.6–83.5	81
2093	93.686.5–101.4	73.463.3–83.6	81.1
2094	93.786.5–101.5	73.663.5–83.9	81.2
2095	93.886.4–101.6	73.763.7–84.1	81.3
2096	93.986.6–101.8	73.863.5–84.4	81.4
2097	9486.7–102.2	7463.7–84.5	81.5
2098	94.286.6–102.3	74.163.7–84.6	81.6
2099	94.386.7–102.2	74.263.7–84.8	81.7
2100	94.486.7–102.4	74.464.1–85.2	81.7

Each country on its own

Good to know

How long a newborn would live on average if the year’s death rates held all its life.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
Before 1950: Our World in Data, long-run life expectancy.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Japan vs Kenya: Life expectancy

What the numbers say

Every year

Each country on its own

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