Japan vs Kenya

Japan vs Kenya: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 12.9 °C in Japan and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 12.9 °C, or 2 times that in Japan.

°C · ERA5

Japan vs Kenya: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 12.9 °C in Japan and 25.9 °C in Kenya, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Kenya, by 12.9 °C, or 2 times that in Japan.
JapanKenyaCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Japan ranked 177 and Kenya ranked 80 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Japan at 14.8 °C and Kenya at 27.4 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearJapanJapan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
202512.912.925.926
202413.513.126.126.2
202313.513.125.726
202212.812.925.725.9
202112.812.725.825.9
202012.812.725.525.9
201912.712.825.925.8
201812.612.725.125.9
20171212.725.925.8
201612.612.625.825.7
201512.612.625.825.8
201411.912.325.525.7
201312.112.625.225.6
201211.712.525.425.6
201111.912.425.525.7
201012.412.525.525.6
200912.212.325.825.6
200812.112.325.325.5
200712.412.225.425.4
20061212.425.425.5
200511.712.225.625.5
200412.612.125.325.5
200311.712.125.325.5
20021212.325.125.5
200111.612.22525.6
200011.912.225.225.4
199912.1122525.4
199812.411.924.825.4
199711.811.924.925.3
199611.11225.125.3
199511.511.725.125.2
199412.311.82525.1
199311.211.524.725
199211.611.524.824.9
19911211.724.825.2
199012.711.924.625.3
19891211.724.425.2
19881111.72525.2
198711.611.625.325.2
198610.811.624.625.2
198511.311.524.525
198410.711.324.725.1
198311.211.225.225
198211.411.524.625.1
198110.711.524.625.2
198010.811.42525.2
197911.611.424.225.1
197811.511.624.125.1
197711.311.524.325.1
197610.811.324.625
197511.411.524.425
197410.911.424.525
197311.411.425.125.1
197211.711.524.725
19711111.324.325
197010.911.324.524.9
196910.811.424.624.9
196811.211.223.724.9
196711.211.524.224.8
196610.511.424.724.9
196510.111.424.324.9
196411.411.52424.7
196311.211.623.924.8
196211.311.42425
196111.911.724.325
196011.411.624.425
195911.911.524.625
195811.511.724.425
19571111.724.125
195610.911.824.225
195511.611.624.325
195411.211.62425
195310.911.723.125
19521011.623.525
195110.411.623.525
195010.711.723.525
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearJapanJapan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianKenyaKenya: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–13.112.2–13.9–2625.4–26.7
2027–13.112.4–13.9–2625.4–26.6
2028–13.112.2–13.8–26.125.6–26.6
2029–13.212.7–14.1–26.225.6–26.7
2030–13.212.3–14–26.125.7–26.6
2031–13.212.2–14.1–26.225.8–26.7
2032–13.212.5–13.9–26.225.8–26.8
2033–13.512.7–14.1–26.325.7–26.8
2034–13.412.4–14.2–26.225.7–26.8
2035–13.412.5–14.3–26.325.7–26.8
2036–13.512.6–14.3–26.225.7–26.8
2037–13.312.6–14.2–26.325.8–26.9
2038–13.612.7–14.2–26.425.7–26.9
2039–13.512.5–14.2–26.425.8–26.8
2040–13.512.7–14.5–26.325.9–26.9
2041–13.412.7–14.6–26.525.8–27.2
2042–13.512.5–14.4–26.525.9–27.1
2043–13.612.6–14.7–26.325.8–27
2044–13.612.8–14.5–26.525.9–27
2045–13.612.7–14.4–26.526–27.2
2046–13.712.8–14.7–26.626–27.4
2047–13.812.8–14.6–26.726–27.3
2048–13.912.8–14.7–26.626.1–27.4
2049–13.712.8–14.8–26.826.1–27.4
2050–13.812.9–14.9–26.626.1–27.4
2051–13.912.8–14.9–26.826.1–27.4
2052–13.712.7–14.5–26.826.2–27.4
2053–1413.1–14.8–26.726–27.3
2054–13.913.1–14.8–26.726–27.3
2055–1413–15–26.826.1–27.4
2056–14.113.1–15–26.826–27.5
2057–1412.9–15.1–26.826.3–27.6
2058–14.113.1–15.1–26.926.1–27.6
2059–14.312.9–15–26.926.2–27.7
2060–14.113.1–15.1–27.126.1–27.7
2061–14.113–15.1–2726.2–27.7
2062–14.213.1–15.3–26.926.2–27.8
2063–14.313.2–15.3–2726.4–27.6
2064–1413.1–15–27.126.2–27.6
2065–14.213–15.3–2726.4–27.8
2066–14.113–15.1–2726.4–27.7
2067–14.313.2–15.3–27.126.3–27.8
2068–14.113–15.6–27.126.3–27.8
2069–14.313.3–15.3–2726.3–27.9
2070–14.213.2–15.6–2726.3–27.8
2071–14.313.3–15.5–27.226.4–28
2072–14.313.1–15.3–27.226.5–27.8
2073–14.413.3–15.3–27.226.5–28
2074–14.313.3–15.3–27.126.4–28
2075–14.513.1–15.3–27.126.3–28
2076–14.413.5–15.4–27.326.5–28.1
2077–14.613.3–15.6–27.326.5–28.1
2078–14.413.3–15.6–27.126.5–27.9
2079–14.513.4–15.6–27.326.5–28.1
2080–14.513.3–15.7–27.326.5–28.1
2081–14.613.6–15.6–27.326.6–28.1
2082–14.613.5–15.9–27.426.5–28.1
2083–14.513.6–15.8–27.326.6–28.4
2084–14.513.2–15.8–27.426.6–28.2
2085–14.613.5–15.8–27.326.6–28.3
2086–14.513.5–15.9–27.526.5–28.3
2087–14.713.4–16.1–27.426.6–28.3
2088–14.713.4–15.9–27.426.6–28.3
2089–14.813.5–16.1–27.426.7–28.1
2090–14.913.6–16–27.426.7–28.4
2091–14.813.6–15.9–27.626.6–28.4
2092–14.713.6–15.5–27.426.6–28.3
2093–14.913.7–15.9–27.526.7–28.3
2094–14.813.4–15.7–27.526.8–28.3
2095–14.813.7–15.8–27.626.7–28.4
2096–14.713.7–16–27.526.5–28.5
2097–14.813.7–15.7–27.526.5–28.3
2098–14.713.8–15.9–27.626.7–28.4
2099–14.813.4–15.9–27.526.5–28.6
2100–14.813.7–16–27.426.5–28.4

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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