Kenya vs Sudan

Kenya vs Sudan: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 242.4 nights in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 3.2 nights, or 1.01 times that in Sudan.

nights a year · CMIP6

Kenya vs Sudan: Tropical nightsTropical nights in 2014: 245.6 nights in Kenya and 242.4 nights in Sudan, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Kenya, by 3.2 nights, or 1.01 times that in Sudan.
KenyaSudanCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Kenya has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Kenya at 277 nights and Sudan at 278.6 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

YearKenyaSudan
2014245.6242.4
2013245.4240
2012244.7242
2011245242.2
2010243.8240.6
2009242.3236.5
2008240.3237.1
2007240.9236
2006241.5235.3
2005241.2233.1
2004241.8233.5
2003240.8235.6
2002240.7234.7
2001242235.4
2000239.5230.5
1999237.8232.1
1998239.2230.2
1997236.9231.1
1996234.2227.3
1995232.9227.8
1994231.9225.3
1993227.4219.1
1992224.8217.8
1991233.8227.3
1990236.4227.5
1989234.5223
1988233.1223.1
1987232.6224.4
1986233226.4
1985228.7222.1
1984230.2220.7
1983226.7217
1982230.6216.3
1981232.9223.2
1980231.3220
1979229.6218.4
1978228.7218.5
1977229.9219.3
1976227.8220.1
1975225.9215.7
1974230.5217.5
1973230.4220
1972228.7217.9
1971226215.5
1970226.3217
1969225.9213.1
1968222.9214
1967224210.3
1966225.2213.3
1965224.2213.4
1964221.8213.2
1963220.2210.1
1962227.2217
1961228.3216.9
1960228.8221.3
1959228.3217.8
1958229.1216.2
1957228218.9
1956225.5217.2
1955228.7216.6
1954227.4218.9
1953227.6215.1
1952228.5216.4
1951228.3218.5
1950226.3214.1
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100
YearKenyaSudan
2015246.9232.3–256.1242.3225.3–258.3
2016244.9230.1–255241.4223.3–254.1
2017248.1233.1–257.7243.2223–259.1
2018248.7237–257.4242.3226.4–258.5
2019247.1234.8–256.7243.1221.7–260.4
2020248.6233.2–259.2244.9225.9–261.7
2021249.5236.3–258.1245.6229.1–261.5
2022251.5239.7–259.5249230.9–262.3
2023251.8239–260.8247.1226.8–263.1
2024254.2239.1–263251.5232.8–266.1
2025251.5238.1–261.8250.7232.4–265.6
2026252.2237.2–263.3250230.8–266.6
2027252.8238.4–263.8248.8228.4–265.6
2028254.9241.9–264.2249232.2–263.1
2029256243.4–264.6251.4232.1–266
2030253.6240.6–263.1252235.4–266.7
2031256244.7–264.4253.3234.4–268.9
2032257243.8–267.1250.4232.3–266.6
2033256241.8–265.9254.4235.3–269.4
2034256.2241.2–267.9254.2234.5–269.9
2035256.7243.3–266.7258.3240.2–273.6
2036256.2242.4–266.7252.8235.6–268.6
2037258.7245.9–268.4256.7238.6–271.8
2038260.3244.5–268.9258.7244.8–272.1
2039259244.4–268259.5241.2–272.5
2040258.3246.2–269.8256.4236.7–272.3
2041260.7244.8–271.2259.1241.2–274.5
2042260.3246.5–272.7258.7242–274.7
2043259246.6–270.5258.1240.3–272.6
2044261.2248.8–270.9257.3238.6–274.7
2045261.8248.7–272.9258.8243.1–276.2
2046264.8249.6–275.3261.1241.7–277.6
2047264.4249.8–275.3261.4244.6–278.4
2048264.2252.3–274.9260.4243.4–279.5
2049265.2252.8–275.6261.9242.6–275.9
2050263.9249.8–275.1263.5245.4–279
2051265.4252.1–275.1263.6246.6–278.8
2052266.3252.6–276.2263.8248.7–278.3
2053265.2251–275.4262.8242.4–279.2
2054265.2250.2–277.2266.3246.6–282.9
2055266.8251.6–277.6265.6245.9–281.4
2056266.2251.2–277.8264.1242.6–281.5
2057266.8253–278266.4247.6–283.4
2058266.7251.5–277.9265.2247.4–280.3
2059269.8254.7–280.5268.4249.6–285.4
2060271.1253.9–280.7263.6246.7–284.4
2061267.5253.9–281.7266.9250.1–281.9
2062268.1254–281.2266.4248.5–285
2063268.9255–280.1267.1246.9–283.4
2064270254.1–279.8269250.7–284.7
2065269.4255.8–282.3269.8253.9–285.6
2066270.6258.1–281271.4251.9–287.3
2067270.7256.1–283270.9250–288.4
2068270.2256–283271.9251.7–289.8
2069269.8256.1–283.3268251.1–286.2
2070270.1255.8–282.6269252.3–285.8
2071271.9257.9–284.4275.5254.1–290.4
2072273.5260.3–283.8273.3254.2–289.4
2073273.1259.9–285.4271.9250.7–287.6
2074271.9257.5–285.4270.9249–290.1
2075271.1256.5–284.7273.1254–291.9
2076274.1258.6–285.8272.7255.2–290.9
2077273.4259–286.6274.6255.2–292.7
2078273.1260–284.4274.3255.6–291.2
2079273.3258.7–286.6272255.2–288.5
2080275.5259.4–286.9276.6256–292.2
2081274.7259.8–285.6275.1254.1–294.8
2082274.8261.3–286.4272.9258.7–288.6
2083274259.6–289.3276.5258–291.7
2084276.8259–288.8275.4253–294.9
2085276.2261.5–289.1275.3258.6–291.6
2086275.1260–289.1276.4256.9–296.6
2087276.2260.3–288.5273.5253.1–293.3
2088276.8261.6–289.7273.6253.7–293.6
2089275.9260.3–288.8276.5256.6–293.4
2090275.3260.5–290.5276.6256.4–294.6
2091277.7260.4–290.9277.4256.4–296.6
2092276.2261.2–290.7274.6254.3–294.9
2093276.9262–290.1278261.9–292.1
2094277262.8–288.9280.3262.2–294
2095278.4262.3–290.4277.5262.6–294
2096277.6260.5–292279.7258.7–297
2097277261–290.2276.3254.1–297.6
2098277.6262.3–291.5277.7258.2–295.5
2099277.9260.8–292.4276.8257.2–296.2
2100277261.8–290.4278.6259–294.3

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
  • Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

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