Mozambique vs Zambia: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 186.3 nights in Mozambique and 62.9 nights in Zambia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Mozambique, by 123.4 nights, or 2.96 times that in Zambia.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

MozambiqueZambiaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Mozambique has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Mozambique at 254.4 nights and Zambia at 171.5 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Mozambique	Zambia
2014	186.3	62.9
2013	186.9	64.7
2012	185.2	63.9
2011	184.1	61.5
2010	182.2	59.3
2009	178.2	57.5
2008	176.8	56
2007	178.9	55.1
2006	177.4	55.9
2005	176.9	54.5
2004	181	58.4
2003	180	56.6
2002	177.1	55
2001	180.6	59
2000	173.6	52.9
1999	171.5	48
1998	174.1	51.3
1997	169.9	47.8
1996	164.7	43.5
1995	165.8	43.9
1994	163.1	41.6
1993	155.5	35.3
1992	156	36
1991	167.5	42.7
1990	170.2	46.4
1989	164	45
1988	166.4	43.6
1987	166	44
1986	166.6	43.8
1985	159.3	38.7
1984	161.1	38.7
1983	159.7	38.8
1982	160.6	40
1981	164.5	41.7
1980	161.9	39.7
1979	162.2	40.7
1978	160.2	38.9
1977	160.2	40
1976	157.4	35.7
1975	157.7	37.1
1974	159.1	37.4
1973	160.4	38.8
1972	157.6	35
1971	155.6	36
1970	159.7	38.1
1969	157.8	37.1
1968	153	34.1
1967	152.8	32.2
1966	152.5	33.1
1965	153.1	34.9
1964	145.9	31.3
1963	146.8	30.5
1962	158.5	38.8
1961	158.8	37
1960	160.6	39.3
1959	159.7	38.3
1958	159.5	39
1957	156.9	37.8
1956	153.4	34.6
1955	159.6	38.2
1954	155.4	38
1953	156.8	35.4
1952	156.6	37.6
1951	157.4	36.9
1950	156.3	36

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Mozambique	Zambia
2015	191170.1–212.1	72.150.1–93.9
2016	187.6168.6–208.2	66.845.9–85.7
2017	190.1169.4–210.1	71.449.7–92.5
2018	189.8163.6–212.8	73.852.7–94.8
2019	189.7171.9–208.8	73.354–97.6
2020	191.3169–213.8	77.556.9–100.4
2021	193.1172.7–212.9	76.755.7–104.5
2022	199.9176.3–216.7	84.861.6–109.7
2023	196.8176.4–217.3	84.763–108
2024	199.7173.4–222.8	85.158.2–113.9
2025	195.7173–219.1	84.957.1–116
2026	197.7172.6–219.3	83.658.4–119.4
2027	199.9177.9–221.8	89.562.5–115.7
2028	202.5181.1–221.1	89.965–118.6
2029	207.6187.3–227.3	9669.8–122.8
2030	203.6183.2–223.8	9166.7–118.1
2031	207.3188.7–225	97.668.2–121.3
2032	207.4186.7–230.9	94.970.3–122.2
2033	206.1180.7–226.1	98.270.1–123.6
2034	206.3181.3–227.7	97.370.4–135.2
2035	208.2184.1–233.6	104.168.4–137.8
2036	208.3183.8–226.4	99.568.7–131.5
2037	213.7191.8–234.3	107.177.4–139.8
2038	218.4195.7–240.9	110.383.2–138.8
2039	212.6192.3–233.5	101.874.3–139.1
2040	212.7189–233.9	100.872.5–145.3
2041	213.1187.1–238	113.978.7–147.6
2042	214.9190.4–241.3	111.379.1–155.1
2043	216196.2–238.9	106.678.3–150.6
2044	220.2196.1–242.1	110.574.3–145.5
2045	217.2198.6–237.6	109.882.2–148.2
2046	224.4200.5–247.6	119.485.9–160
2047	224.5201.3–246.3	123.191.1–159.4
2048	225.7205–247.5	124.590.6–160.2
2049	226.4199.2–247.8	124.586.1–167.1
2050	225.5198.1–246.6	130.592–166
2051	227.5206.2–248.7	128.498.1–169.8
2052	230.5208.6–255.2	130.798.6–170.4
2053	226.3200.4–250	128.488–168.8
2054	227.8203.9–256.1	132.193–169.6
2055	231.5208.3–254.4	132.1100.1–176.1
2056	227.8204.6–253.1	132.492.7–179.6
2057	227.6205.7–252.2	133.298.5–178.5
2058	230.2208.3–251.8	137.299.2–179.7
2059	235.5212.5–261.4	139.8105.8–189.5
2060	237.5208.9–257.9	145.4102.9–191
2061	232.1204.8–256.1	136.692.8–196.9
2062	233.2208.6–257.9	143.9101–194.7
2063	233.3207.3–261.6	144.5101.7–187.8
2064	234.6209.3–255.8	147.998.4–180.9
2065	236208.7–261	148.6104.3–199.8
2066	239.4213.6–261.8	152.1109.4–193.6
2067	235.5205.9–259.4	140.6103.2–195.7
2068	237.7211–264.3	150.8105.7–200.3
2069	241.1212.2–263.4	150.5106.3–197
2070	240.7212.1–266	145.8104.7–202.4
2071	244.1214.3–272.8	153.1112.7–212
2072	244.7215.8–267.8	157.2120–195.7
2073	246214.2–267.6	161.5115.2–210.9
2074	242.2219.9–271.1	149.2115–198.7
2075	244.4215.6–267.9	148.2111.5–202.2
2076	240.8211–264.8	150.4112–201.9
2077	241.4214.7–272.4	156.5120.3–208.3
2078	245.4220.8–271.1	157.2122.2–209.5
2079	244.1214.3–276.4	156.8118.1–207.3
2080	246.1221–273.6	159.8116–211.9
2081	245.6214.5–268.1	160.2117.1–208.6
2082	246.9220.6–268.3	159.6119.6–200.6
2083	247.3217.4–276.4	159.5110.7–219.9
2084	248.5223.3–270.9	166124.3–210.3
2085	253.4221.5–277.6	172.9126.8–221.1
2086	242.9216.4–272.3	161.9120.6–224.1
2087	247.4222.8–271.3	158.3129.2–219.6
2088	253221.1–274.9	168.4123.9–218.5
2089	251.6221.9–277.3	168.5129.9–217.9
2090	249.9218.6–277.9	165.7124–223.8
2091	253.2221.4–280.8	177.4129.5–227.2
2092	252.7221.5–279.5	170.6127.8–221.5
2093	256221.7–279.4	173.6123.6–223.3
2094	251.8221–280.3	171.4130.3–220.7
2095	255.6225.8–278.1	179131.6–228.6
2096	254.7225.8–280.4	170.8124.8–233.3
2097	253.2221.8–281.6	167.2122.2–224.3
2098	256.1225.2–279.6	172.5131.9–226.9
2099	254.9223.4–278.7	171.7126.5–229.1
2100	254.4226.1–279.1	171.5124.3–228

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Mozambique vs Zambia: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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