Rwanda vs Somalia: Tropical nights

Tropical nights in 2014: 2.4 nights in Rwanda and 295.2 nights in Somalia, in the CMIP6 climate models’ median run. In 2014 the value was higher in Somalia, by 292.8 nights, or 130 times that in Rwanda.

Watch it change on the map

nights a year · CMIP6

RwandaSomaliaCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

Somalia has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Rwanda at 34.2 nights and Somalia at 328.2 nights in 2100.

Every year

nights a year · CMIP6

Year	Rwanda	Somalia
2014	2.4	295.2
2013	2.8	296.8
2012	2.9	296.7
2011	2.7	297.1
2010	2.3	294.6
2009	2.5	293.5
2008	2	292.2
2007	1.9	293.3
2006	2.2	292.4
2005	2	292.3
2004	1.8	293.8
2003	1.8	293.5
2002	2.4	292.1
2001	2.4	292.4
2000	1.7	290.2
1999	1.6	288.6
1998	1.5	289.9
1997	1	288.8
1996	1.1	285
1995	1.1	285.2
1994	1.2	284.2
1993	0.9	280.2
1992	0.6	278.1
1991	1.2	286.6
1990	1.7	288.5
1989	1.5	285.1
1988	1.2	285.6
1987	1.3	282.5
1986	1.2	283.4
1985	0.8	279.6
1984	1	281.4
1983	0.9	277.1
1982	0.8	283.7
1981	1.1	282.5
1980	1.1	280
1979	0.9	280.4
1978	0.7	280.5
1977	1.1	282.9
1976	0.8	278.7
1975	1	276.8
1974	0.9	279.3
1973	1.3	280.8
1972	0.7	278.3
1971	0.7	278.2
1970	0.6	278.3
1969	0.8	276.8
1968	0.8	276.3
1967	0.5	274.3
1966	0.6	275.9
1965	0.6	275.2
1964	0.4	275.1
1963	0.6	272.9
1962	0.9	277.9
1961	0.8	280.3
1960	1.1	280.8
1959	0.7	278.8
1958	0.9	280.9
1957	0.8	280.3
1956	0.7	276.1
1955	0.8	280.1
1954	0.9	278.2
1953	0.8	277.2
1952	0.8	279.4
1951	1	279
1950	0.9	278.8

CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2015–2100

Year	Rwanda	Somalia
2015	3.41.5–7.6	299.3283.7–311
2016	2.91.2–5.6	296.8282.3–308.3
2017	3.41.8–5.5	299.6284.6–310.1
2018	3.81.8–7.1	301.3287.9–310.2
2019	3.61.3–6.9	299.1286.1–311.9
2020	4.32.1–7.9	299.4285.3–310.3
2021	4.22.6–7.5	302.4289.1–313.6
2022	42.9–7.8	304.5289.7–314.6
2023	4.41.9–8.4	304.1290.6–312.4
2024	52–9.6	303.4290.1–317
2025	4.42.1–9.5	303.1288.8–317.8
2026	4.81.7–8.9	303.2288.7–315.4
2027	4.92.1–8.7	303.8287.7–314.9
2028	5.21.7–8.7	305.4291.3–316.8
2029	5.43–9.2	307.8294–317.8
2030	5.33.1–10.2	304.5289.6–314.9
2031	6.63.4–10.4	307.4292.3–317.9
2032	6.34–12.2	308.3292.4–319.6
2033	6.52.8–12	307.2292–317.6
2034	6.13.3–12.4	305.9292.3–321.2
2035	6.83.2–12.7	308.7293.4–321.1
2036	6.83.7–12.7	307.5295.4–317.7
2037	7.94.3–14.6	310.1298.4–319.9
2038	8.44.1–15.3	311.1296.4–323.2
2039	7.23.6–15.9	308.6295.9–321.9
2040	7.74.3–14.8	311.7295.9–324.2
2041	8.44.7–15	312296.6–321.5
2042	8.44.4–20.2	311.7295–325.7
2043	7.83.8–16.5	312298–323.1
2044	7.24.1–14.5	311.4297.3–323
2045	9.24.6–21	312.3298.6–323
2046	124.6–24.1	314.4299–327.7
2047	11.25.4–26	315.8300.2–327.9
2048	11.74.6–25.4	316.9302.8–327.5
2049	12.25.7–26.7	314.9303.2–325.2
2050	11.75.4–22.9	315.9300.6–324.5
2051	12.36.4–24	314.9301.9–326.9
2052	14.56–26.1	316.2301.6–329
2053	12.55–23.9	314.8302.3–326.8
2054	12.85.6–34.3	316.2301.5–330.1
2055	12.66.2–32.8	317.4302.7–327.8
2056	145.6–31.6	316.5302.9–332.3
2057	14.96–32.3	316.8302.5–329.8
2058	15.15.3–38.7	316.9300.7–330.9
2059	14.96.7–38.1	320.8305.2–332.5
2060	18.46.1–38.2	321.3305.7–331.9
2061	16.65.9–40.7	317.8304.8–330.3
2062	17.25.6–49.3	319.6304.3–336
2063	16.46.3–39.1	320.9305.3–332
2064	21.76.3–40.1	319.7306.8–330.5
2065	17.17.2–40.5	318.3304.6–334.6
2066	18.37.2–42.5	321307.9–333.9
2067	16.86.3–50.2	320.5304.3–334.4
2068	19.76.6–53.2	321.7305.6–336.3
2069	17.66–55	322.3308.6–335.4
2070	18.17.6–53.8	321.1305.3–335.6
2071	19.36.3–60	324.5308.4–336.9
2072	22.18.7–49.3	324.1308.2–334.1
2073	24.39.2–61.7	323.7308.1–337.9
2074	23.28.3–57.2	322306–334.6
2075	21.86.3–53.9	323.6307.6–336.4
2076	26.77–59.7	323.6309–333.3
2077	24.19.1–64.8	324.2309.6–335.9
2078	21.48.3–62.1	324.7310.1–333.7
2079	26.47.8–64.8	323.2307.6–336.3
2080	28.78.2–62.2	324.7310.6–337.8
2081	25.79–66.4	323.2311.1–335.3
2082	27.59.2–63.2	324.3309.4–336.4
2083	31.68.7–87	323.6308.3–342.4
2084	31.39.4–78.4	326.2309.4–337.5
2085	35.29.2–79.6	327.7311.9–339.4
2086	299.7–76.5	326.6311.1–340.2
2087	30.69.5–80	327.3311.5–339.1
2088	32.59.4–76.8	328.6308.2–341.6
2089	27.49.3–82.1	326.7312–340.2
2090	25.911.4–96.6	326.5311.7–339.5
2091	43.28.7–89.1	328.6311.5–340.9
2092	33.910.5–89.6	329.1312.2–341.8
2093	35.510.9–91	327.3312.1–342.8
2094	34.79.4–91.6	325.6312–336.2
2095	40.412.9–106.1	329314–341.2
2096	35.99.8–99.9	327.9311.6–341.9
2097	32.69.9–89.6	325.6311–340
2098	35.69.8–105.9	327.7311.4–341.1
2099	32.810.9–105.8	327.3311.9–339.3
2100	34.211.1–102.5	328.2313.4–341.2

Each country on its own

Good to know

Nights in a year when the temperature stays above 20 °C, averaged over the country.
Source: World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal, CMIP6 multi-model median.
The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Rwanda vs Somalia: Tropical nights

What the numbers say

Every year

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