Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: Population growth

Population growth in 2023: 1.96% a year in Tajikistan and 2.01% a year in Uzbekistan, by UN estimates. In 2023 the value was higher in Uzbekistan, by 0.05 percentage points, or 1.02 times that in Tajikistan.

Watch it change on the map

% a year · UN

TajikistanUzbekistanUN projection (medium variant)95% prediction intervalWorld

What the numbers say

Uzbekistan has been higher since 2023, when it overtook Tajikistan.
In 2023, Tajikistan ranked 52 and Uzbekistan ranked 47 of 229 countries, counting from the highest.
The UN projection (medium variant) puts Tajikistan at 0.03% a year and Uzbekistan at 0.33% a year in 2100.
The world as a whole: 0.87% a year in 2023.

Every year

% a year · UN

Year	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan	World
2023	1.96	2.01	0.87
2022	2.08	2.03	0.88
2021	2.2	1.99	0.8
2020	2.22	1.89	0.9
2019	2.34	1.85	1.03
2018	2.39	1.77	1.07
2017	2.43	1.68	1.13
2016	2.49	1.71	1.17
2015	2.58	1.74	1.18
2014	2.53	1.71	1.22
2013	2.49	1.62	1.23
2012	2.51	1.51	1.27
2011	2.27	1.51	1.26
2010	2.19	1.55	1.27
2009	2.09	1.62	1.28
2008	2.01	1.59	1.28
2007	1.95	1.48	1.28
2006	1.89	1.33	1.28
2005	1.91	1.25	1.27
2004	2	1.25	1.28
2003	1.92	1.21	1.29
2002	1.93	1.23	1.3
2001	1.91	1.23	1.33
2000	1.95	1.21	1.35
1999	0.48	1.32	1.35
1998	0.55	1.49	1.37
1997	0.64	1.66	1.39
1996	1.77	1.8	1.42
1995	2.16	1.96	1.45
1994	2.02	2.05	1.47
1993	1.45	2.23	1.52
1992	1.21	2.4	1.57
1991	2.67	2.52	1.63
1990	2.54	2.28	1.76
1989	2.4	2.55	1.78
1988	3.49	2.7	1.79
1987	3.51	2.83	1.84
1986	3.36	2.9	1.83
1985	3.16	2.84	1.8
1984	2.95	2.79	1.8
1983	2.9	2.7	1.78
1982	2.87	2.64	1.86
1981	2.8	2.62	1.82
1980	2.81	2.63	1.8
1979	2.91	2.62	1.79
1978	3.07	2.7	1.74
1977	3.15	2.88	1.75
1976	3.15	2.9	1.78
1975	3.14	2.91	1.8
1974	3.13	2.91	1.88
1973	3.12	2.9	1.94
1972	3.1	2.89	1.97
1971	3.07	2.87	1.97
1970	3.11	2.98	2.06
1969	3.23	3.23	2.06
1968	3.31	3.39	2.09
1967	3.32	3.49	2
1966	3.32	3.57	2.04
1965	3.33	3.71	2.09
1964	3.34	3.77	2.16
1963	3.37	3.81	2.28
1962	3.33	3.9	2.11
1961	3.28	3.85	1.67
1960	3.21	3.52	1.58
1959	3.22	3.25	1.73
1958	3.1	3.05	2
1957	3	2.92	2.07
1956	2.99	2.82	1.98
1955	3.02	2.72	2.01
1954	3.1	2.57	1.99
1953	3.23	2.49	1.9
1952	3.41	2.4	1.94
1951	3.68	2.29	1.75
1950	4.03	2.31	1.74

UN projection (medium variant) · 2024–2100

Year	Tajikistan	Uzbekistan	World
2024	1.871.04–2.7	1.931.66–2.25	0.86
2025	1.790.69–2.78	1.841.51–2.23	0.84
2026	1.740.61–2.79	1.751.36–2.22	0.83
2027	1.690.5–2.83	1.671.23–2.17	0.81
2028	1.660.36–2.76	1.611.11–2.13	0.8
2029	1.630.34–2.79	1.561.03–2.12	0.78
2030	1.590.24–2.78	1.510.94–2.07	0.76
2031	1.580.18–2.83	1.460.88–2.07	0.75
2032	1.580.22–2.82	1.420.83–2.04	0.73
2033	1.570.13–2.82	1.380.76–2.03	0.72
2034	1.570.17–2.88	1.350.71–2.02	0.7
2035	1.580.21–2.99	1.320.64–1.98	0.69
2036	1.60.21–2.93	1.30.59–1.99	0.67
2037	1.560.2–3.01	1.290.59–1.98	0.65
2038	1.530.11–2.94	1.280.58–2	0.64
2039	1.50.08–2.92	1.270.53–1.99	0.62
2040	1.470.09–2.86	1.270.52–2.03	0.61
2041	1.440.01–2.86	1.280.5–2.03	0.59
2042	1.410.03–2.84	1.290.48–2.05	0.57
2043	1.35-0.06–2.85	1.290.49–2.09	0.56
2044	1.33-0.08–2.8	1.280.44–2.08	0.54
2045	1.27-0.1–2.73	1.280.41–2.09	0.52
2046	1.23-0.29–2.67	1.260.4–2.12	0.5
2047	1.19-0.31–2.63	1.240.38–2.12	0.48
2048	1.15-0.32–2.61	1.220.37–2.1	0.46
2049	1.09-0.38–2.56	1.20.31–2.07	0.44
2050	1.06-0.41–2.54	1.170.29–2.1	0.42
2051	1.02-0.5–2.6	1.150.23–2.06	0.4
2052	1.01-0.57–2.54	1.120.19–2.04	0.38
2053	0.96-0.6–2.46	1.10.17–2.05	0.36
2054	0.95-0.56–2.51	1.070.11–2.03	0.34
2055	0.93-0.6–2.56	1.040.07–2.04	0.33
2056	0.92-0.6–2.56	1.010.05–2.01	0.31
2057	0.92-0.66–2.58	0.990.02–1.99	0.3
2058	0.9-0.66–2.55	0.960.02–1.98	0.28
2059	0.88-0.65–2.62	0.94-0.02–1.97	0.27
2060	0.86-0.74–2.49	0.91-0.07–1.98	0.25
2061	0.82-0.81–2.44	0.88-0.08–1.98	0.24
2062	0.81-0.77–2.48	0.86-0.11–1.96	0.23
2063	0.81-0.75–2.45	0.84-0.13–1.98	0.22
2064	0.77-0.77–2.43	0.82-0.13–1.99	0.21
2065	0.74-0.86–2.41	0.8-0.17–1.95	0.2
2066	0.74-0.99–2.35	0.79-0.16–1.94	0.19
2067	0.7-1.01–2.31	0.77-0.19–1.94	0.18
2068	0.67-1.02–2.32	0.76-0.22–1.93	0.17
2069	0.66-0.99–2.33	0.74-0.23–1.95	0.16
2070	0.62-1.05–2.28	0.73-0.26–1.91	0.15
2071	0.59-1.04–2.27	0.73-0.28–1.92	0.14
2072	0.55-1.11–2.21	0.71-0.33–1.92	0.13
2073	0.52-1.14–2.22	0.71-0.33–1.94	0.12
2074	0.5-1.15–2.27	0.69-0.31–1.93	0.1
2075	0.48-1.2–2.17	0.69-0.34–1.91	0.09
2076	0.47-1.26–2.17	0.68-0.43–1.96	0.08
2077	0.42-1.3–2.23	0.68-0.4–1.94	0.07
2078	0.4-1.37–2.18	0.66-0.44–1.92	0.06
2079	0.38-1.41–2.12	0.65-0.52–1.95	0.05
2080	0.38-1.37–2.12	0.64-0.5–1.95	0.04
2081	0.34-1.5–2.06	0.63-0.49–1.94	0.03
2082	0.34-1.49–2.13	0.61-0.52–1.95	0.02
2083	0.34-1.45–2.13	0.61-0.56–1.91	0.01
2084	0.32-1.45–2.14	0.6-0.58–1.95	-0
2085	0.3-1.54–2.11	0.58-0.63–1.92	-0.01
2086	0.28-1.57–2.05	0.56-0.66–1.91	-0.02
2087	0.28-1.55–2.11	0.55-0.67–1.89	-0.03
2088	0.25-1.58–2.03	0.54-0.69–1.89	-0.04
2089	0.24-1.66–2.08	0.53-0.68–1.88	-0.05
2090	0.22-1.7–2.06	0.5-0.71–1.89	-0.05
2091	0.22-1.73–2.03	0.49-0.72–1.85	-0.06
2092	0.2-1.68–2.08	0.47-0.72–1.84	-0.07
2093	0.16-1.94–2	0.46-0.71–1.85	-0.07
2094	0.16-1.9–1.93	0.44-0.73–1.84	-0.08
2095	0.13-1.86–2.01	0.42-0.8–1.81	-0.09
2096	0.12-1.92–2.01	0.4-0.82–1.83	-0.1
2097	0.09-2.03–1.96	0.39-0.81–1.81	-0.11
2098	0.07-2.08–1.98	0.37-0.87–1.8	-0.11
2099	0.04-2.18–1.94	0.35-0.86–1.77	-0.12
2100	0.03-2.15–1.93	0.33-0.92–1.74	-0.13

Each country on its own

Good to know

How fast the population grew or shrank in a year: births minus deaths, plus people moving in minus people moving out.
Source: UN DESA, World Population Prospects 2024.
The dashed line is the UN projection (medium variant), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its 95% prediction interval.
Ranks count the 229 countries with a value in 2023, highest first.
The faint line is the world as a whole, as the same source counts it.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: Population growth

What the numbers say

Every year

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