Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: Temperature

Temperature in 2025: 2.9 °C in Tajikistan and 15.5 °C in Uzbekistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Uzbekistan, by 12.6 °C, or 5.28 times that in Tajikistan.

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°C · ERA5

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan: TemperatureTemperature in 2025: 2.9 °C in Tajikistan and 15.5 °C in Uzbekistan, by ERA5 observations. In 2025 the value was higher in Uzbekistan, by 12.6 °C, or 5.28 times that in Tajikistan.
TajikistanUzbekistanCMIP6 historical run, model medianCMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road)models’ 10th–90th percentile

What the numbers say

  • Uzbekistan has been higher in every year both have figures for since 1950.
  • In 2025, Tajikistan ranked 227 and Uzbekistan ranked 164 of 233 countries, counting from the highest.
  • The CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) puts Tajikistan at 3.2 °C and Uzbekistan at 16.3 °C in 2100.

Every year

°C · ERA5

YearTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUzbekistanUzbekistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
20252.91.215.514.4
20241.31.114.414.4
20231.60.815.314.1
20221.70.814.414
202110.814.513.9
20200.30.913.414.1
201910.614.513.8
20180.80.613.514
20171.10.813.714.1
20161.60.614.513.6
20150.80.514.113.9
201400.512.713.7
20130.90.514.413.8
2012-0.70.413.113.7
20110.50.413.113.5
20100.50.114.213.5
2009-0.20.113.613.6
20080.4-013.213.4
20070.80.213.913.6
20060.90.213.613.5
2005-0.301413.4
20040.30.114.313.4
2003-0.20.112.913.4
20020.40.313.613.8
20010.5-0.113.813.2
2000-0.3-0.213.613.1
1999-0.3-013.713
19980.5-0.21313.2
19970.2-0.313.713.1
1996-1-0.112.113.2
1995-0.5-0.313.712.9
1994-0.2-0.512.412.6
1993-0.6-0.711.612.4
1992-0.3-0.812.412.3
1991-0.4-0.312.812.8
19900.7-0.413.313
1989-1.5-0.412.812.5
19880.2-0.613.212.5
1987-0.3-0.412.512.6
1986-0.5-0.712.812.5
19850-0.512.712.7
1984-0.3-0.911.512.1
19830-1.113.812
1982-0.9-0.712.112.5
1981-0-0.513.212.6
19800.5-0.612.612.7
19790.3-0.713.212.4
19780.2-0.712.412.4
19770.4-0.912.812.3
1976-0.4-111.612.2
1975-1.1-0.81312.2
1974-1.3-0.811.712.3
1973-0.2-112.712.2
1972-1.9-0.91112.2
19710.1-113.411.9
1970-0.1-112.712
1969-1-110.812.3
1968-0.6-1.212.412
1967-1.1-0.912.612.3
1966-0.5-113.412.2
1965-0.8-11311.9
1964-1.6-111.812.2
19630.2-113.412.2
1962-0.9-0.712.712.5
1961-0.4-0.813.412.4
1960-0.9-0.711.912.2
1959-0.4-0.711.612.6
1958-0.7-112.812.2
1957-1.7-0.611.912.7
1956-0.1-0.912.312.2
1955-0.4-0.713.512.5
1954-1.1-0.711.412.4
1953-0.3-112.612.4
1952-0.2-0.912.212.3
1951-0.4-0.711.912.4
1950-0.9-0.611.112.7
  • 12.3Projected
CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road) · 2026–2100
YearTajikistanTajikistan: CMIP6 historical run, model medianUzbekistanUzbekistan: CMIP6 historical run, model median
2026–0.9-0–2.3–1412.9–15.2
2027–1.10.3–1.9–14.513.4–15.2
2028–1.10.3–2.1–14.213.4–15.4
2029–1.20.2–2–14.213–15.2
2030–1.10.1–2–14.413.1–15.5
2031–1.20.5–2–14.613.7–15.4
2032–1.30.2–2.1–14.713.4–15.4
2033–1.10.5–2.2–14.413.5–15.6
2034–1.30.2–2.3–14.413.5–15.6
2035–1.30.3–2.3–14.613.6–15.6
2036–1.30.6–2.1–14.613.4–15.5
2037–1.80.6–2.6–14.813.3–15.6
2038–1.50.6–2.4–14.713.7–15.8
2039–1.40.5–2.4–14.613.4–15.5
2040–1.60.7–2.7–14.913.8–16.2
2041–1.50.7–2.7–14.713.8–16.2
2042–1.50.4–2.7–14.713.3–15.7
2043–1.40.4–2.6–14.513.6–15.6
2044–1.81–2.7–14.813.8–16
2045–1.70.8–2.7–14.713.7–16.1
2046–2.11.1–2.9–15.314.2–16.1
2047–1.90.8–2.8–1514–16.3
2048–1.71–2.9–14.913.9–16.3
2049–1.91–2.9–15.413.8–16.3
2050–2.11.1–3.2–1514–16.5
2051–1.90.8–3–15.213.8–16.2
2052–20.7–3.1–15.213.9–16.4
2053–21.1–3–15.314.1–16.4
2054–20.9–3.4–15.214–17
2055–2.21.1–3.4–15.313.9–16.6
2056–2.21.4–3.2–15.414.5–16.6
2057–2.21.1–3.5–15.513.9–16.9
2058–2.11.2–3.1–15.214.3–16.5
2059–2.41.4–3.6–15.514.2–16.9
2060–21.1–3.7–15.114.2–16.8
2061–2.21.4–3.1–1514.1–16.5
2062–2.51.2–3.7–15.514.2–16.9
2063–2.41.6–3.5–15.514.4–16.8
2064–2.31–3.7–15.513.9–17
2065–2.41.4–3.5–15.814.4–16.9
2066–2.41.6–4–15.414.7–17.2
2067–2.61.8–3.5–15.514.5–17
2068–2.71.6–3.9–15.814.5–17.2
2069–2.71.7–3.8–15.814.7–17.1
2070–2.61.6–3.5–15.714.5–16.7
2071–2.61.4–3.8–15.714.2–17.1
2072–2.41.3–4.2–15.614.3–17.6
2073–2.91.6–4.3–15.814.9–17.6
2074–2.91.8–4.5–1614.8–17.4
2075–2.71.8–4.3–15.614.8–17.4
2076–2.41.2–4–15.614.4–17.2
2077–31.5–4.4–16.114.5–17.5
2078–2.81.5–4.3–15.814.5–17.4
2079–2.61.5–3.9–15.714.3–17.1
2080–2.71.7–4–15.614.6–16.9
2081–2.51.7–4.2–15.614.7–17.6
2082–2.91.9–3.9–1615–17.2
2083–3.12.2–4.3–16.314.9–17.7
2084–3.11.9–4.1–16.314.8–17.4
2085–2.91.9–4.6–16.114.8–18.1
2086–2.71.3–4.4–16.114.4–17.6
2087–2.91.9–4.3–16.114.8–17.7
2088–2.81.7–4.5–1614.6–17.4
2089–3.12.1–4.6–16.215–17.6
2090–3.21.9–4.4–16.115–17.9
2091–3.11.6–4.3–16.414.3–17.8
2092–3.12–4.5–16.415–17.7
2093–3.12.3–4.4–16.315.2–17.4
2094–3.22–4.8–16.215–18
2095–3.11.4–4.7–16.214.8–17.7
2096–3.21.9–4.6–16.114.9–18
2097–32.1–4.4–16.315.2–17.8
2098–3.52–4.8–16.614.8–18
2099–3.11.4–4.7–16.214.9–17.9
2100–3.22.1–4.6–16.315.2–18.1

Each country on its own

Good to know

  • The average air temperature near the ground, over the whole country and the whole year.
  • Source: ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus, ECMWF) and CMIP6, via the World Bank Climate Change Knowledge Portal.
  • The dashed line is the CMIP6 model median (SSP2-4.5, middle of the road), a scenario rather than a forecast; the band is its models’ 10th–90th percentile.
  • Climate model values are the median of the CMIP6 models, run on past emissions to 2014 and on SSP2-4.5, a middle-of-the-road path, after: they are not measurements.
  • Ranks count the 233 countries with a value in 2025, highest first.

How the layers work, where their data comes from and what they can’t tell you: Countries through time

Tajikistan vs Uzbekistan

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